SMU vs. Texas A&M, Picks, Trends, Prediction for Sunday, Dec. 7, 2025
Use Code WWWC This is not the ACC/SEC Challenge, but it's Hoop Hype XL on Sunday afternoon in this SMU vs. Texas A&M prediction. Both teams are off to strong starts with SMU opening up at 8-1 overall. The Aggies are 7-2 and will host the Mustangs on Sunday afternoon at 5pmET. Texas A&M is a 2-point favorite and the total is 162 with the money line at Texas A&M -150/SMU +125. These teams last met in 2023, with the Aggies winning 79-66 as a 5.5-point favorite. The Aggies are now in the SEC and the Mustangs in the ACC. Check out more free College Basketball Free Picks and NFL predictions on Sunday from Winners and Whiners.
SMU loses first game to another SEC foe
SMU will face an SEC foe on Sunday in Texas A&M, but on Wednesday, they fell at another SEC squad in Vanderbilt in the ACC/SEC Challenge, 88-69. The Mustangs couldn't keep up with Vandy's offense as they shot just 2 of 17 from 3-point range (12%) and allowed the 'Dores to shoot 57% from the field. Boopie Miller led the Mustangs with 17 points and six assists with seven rebounds on 5-of-13 shooting, but also turned the ball over five times.
Before that loss, the Mustangs faced another SEC team and defeated Mississippi State 87-81 in overtime. They've won eight of nine games and own the 204th-ranked strength of a schedule according to KenPom. They've also had some luck with health as Sam Walters (5ppg last year) is the only player who is on the injured list. Walters played at Michigan last season and has played sparingly in the first five games before going out with an ankle injury.
Miller leads SMU with 20.8 points per game and 7.1 assists. Jason Pierre Jr. adds 17.8 points and 6.1 rebounds, while shooting 45% from the field. KenPom has SMU ranked 43rd overall, 48th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and 59th in Adjusted Defense.
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Key Injury Report for SMU:
- F Sam Walters (ankle) is questionable.
Aggies on a 5-game winning streak
Texas A&M comes into this game pretty hot after losing to former Big 12 rival Oklahoma State (87-63) on the road on Nov. 9 and 86-74 to UCF (86-74) at home as a 10-point favorite. Since then, they've won five straight, including three straight against mid-majors at home. They also took care of Florida State, 95-59 on Nov. 28 in the Battle of the Bay tournament in Tampa, and won their ACC/SEC challenge game over Pitt, 81-73 on the road on Dec. 2 as a 3.5-point favorite.
In their latest win over the Panthers, Rashaun Agee led the Aggies with 21 points and 13 rebounds, while Ruben Dominguez added 18 points on 4-of-8 three-point shooting. There wasn't any huge statistical edge in this game except at the free-throw line, where A&M shot 20 of 22 (91%), and Pitt shot just 7 of 11.
This is a very balanced Aggies' squad led by Spanish freshman Dominguez (6-6, 213), who is averaging 15.9 points per game and is shooting 50% from the floor and 49.3% from beyond the arc. Agee (6-8, 231) adds 11.7 points and leads in rebounds with 7.9. The USC transfer is producing in just 21 minutes per game as this is a very deep team, as Bucky McMillan doesn't play any starter over 25 minutes per game.
KenPom has the Aggies ranked 44th overall and in Adjusted Offense, while posting a 65th ranking in Adjusted Defense.
Key Injury Report for Texas A&M:
No key injuries
Betting Trends for SMU vs. Texas A&M:
SMU is:
- 4-1 Under last 5 games.
Texas A&M is:
- 3-1 ATS last 4 games.
- 1-3 ATS last 4 at home.
Spread Pick for SMU vs. Texas A&M
SMU vs. Texas A&M Pick and Prediction
- SMU 86-Texas A&M 80
- SMU +2 (4 units)
Both teams want to run here, but I'm going with the better team, who should bounce back from a poor performance against a good Vandy team, which was an 11-point favorite for a reason. The Aggies are still getting used to a new coach and system after Buzz Williams left for Maryland. Pitt and FSU are not SMU and my concern is their earlier performances against Oklahoma State and UCF, who are not exactly powerhouses in the Big 12. SMU shoots it very well from the field (49%) and the Aggies struggle on defense, allowing teams to shoot 45.6% from the field and 37.1% from long range. The Mustangs are much better defensively, holding teams to just 29% from long range.
- Over 162.5 (4 units)
Both of these teams love to run. The Aggies are 55th in Adjusted Tempo, while SMU is at 80. Texas A&M has allowed 75 points per game and is averaging 92.2 points per game. They're also shooting well from beyond the arc, making 38.1% of their shots. The Aggies have gone over in four of their last five games.
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