South Florida Bulls vs. Wichita State Shockers Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026
Use Code WWWC The USF Bulls (16-8, 11-12 ATS, 13-10 O/U) take on the Wichita State Shockers (15-9, 15-8 ATS, 9-15 O/U) in an AAC clash on Wednesday evening, and we have you covered with the prediction. The Bulls earned a home win against Tulsa on Saturday. The Shockers netted a road win against Tulane in their previous action. These squads met last month in a game Wichita State won in overtime.
Can the Bulls record a third straight win on Wednesday evening? Check out the USF vs. Wichita State prediction. Do you need a boost in your handicapping? Try our NCAAB Picks!
USF Eyes Third Straight Win
The USF Bulls are seeking their 10th conference win of the season. USF has been a threat in AAC play, led by its consistent scoring. They earned a home win against FAU, beat Tulane, and dropped a meeting against Temple to conclude January.
USF has enjoyed a promising stretch of games this month and stands at 8-3 in conference action. They netted a dominant home win against UTSA last week. Next, South Florida posted an 80-74 home win against Tulsa on Sunday in a meeting that had the Bulls marked as the five-point favorites. They shot 42% in the win, and the defense was the difference in this game, keeping them to a 39% mark. The Bulls have covered the spread in three of their past five games.
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Izaiah Nelson is capable of big numbers. The senior forward has surpassed 20 points in conference play on five occasions. He scored 25 points on Sunday and has delivered an average of 16.3 PPG and 9.8 RPG on the season. Joseph Pinion has scored 15 or more points in three of his last five games. The senior guard has issued an average of 14.5 PPG. Wes Ennis came through with 20 points in the big win on Sunday. The junior guard is averaging 15.4 PPG.
Josh Omojafo has been kept in check, netting five or fewer points in five straight games. The senior guard has posted an average of 12.3 PPG. CJ Brown has shot below 36% in three of his last five outings. The sophomore guard is averaging 12.1 PPG. Josh Omojafo has connected on 60% of his shots in three of his past five efforts. The senior guard is averaging 12 PPG.
The Bulls are ranked 65th in DI in Ken Pomeroy’s ratings. They are 5-3 on the road. USF is scoring an average of 90 points, rating them 10th. The Bulls have given up at least 75 points in four of their past five games. The Bulls are conceding an average of 79.3 points, pegging them 290th in the country.
Wichita State Posts Big Road Win
The Wichita State Shockers are seeking their eighth conference win of the season. Wichita State is having a decent season. They stand above .500 in C-USA play with a 7-4 record. The squad is 5-1 in its past six games. The squad won their last three games in January, earning wins against UTSA, East Carolina, and a big home win against Memphis.
Wichita State opened February with a road defeat against Tulsa. The Shockers recorded a 75-61 road win against Tulane on Sunday in a bout that had the Shockers as six-point favorites. They shot a decent 46% in the effort and kept Tulsa to a 36% mark. The Shockers have covered the spread in five of their past six games.
Kenyan Giles is capable of taking over a game. The senior guard has reached 20 points on 10 occasions this season. He was quiet in the win on Sunday, sinking seven points, and has recorded an average of 17.9 PPG on the season. Karon Boyd has netted at least 12 points in five of his past six games. The senior guard has issued an average of 11.8 PPG.
Michael Gray Jr. has been shaky, shooting below 35% in five of his last six games. The senior guard is averaging 8.8 PPG on the season. Drew Kindell netted five points on Sunday. The senior center has posted an average of 7.5 PPG. TJ Williams has scored double digits in one of his past five games. The freshman guard has reported 7.5 PPG.
The Shockers are marked 88th in DI in Ken Pomeroy’s ratings. They are 11-2 at home, including a win against North Texas. Wichita State is scoring an average of 77 points on the season, rating them 128th. The Shockers defense has been sharp, keeping the opponent to 61 or fewer points in three of their past five games, and is squandering an average of 70 points, placing them 62nd in the country.
USF vs. Wichita State Pick
Spread Pick for USF vs. Wichita State
- South Florida Bulls -1.5 (5 units)
The USF Bulls are clicking. They have won five of their past seven games. They are having success on the road, posting a win in two of their past three road bouts. The Wichita State Shockers are having an inconsistent season and have dropped upset decisions against Charlotte and Rice.
Furthermore, USF is the better offensive squad here by a big margin. They are averaging 117 points per 100 possessions, ranking them 62nd in DI in adjusted offensive efficiency compared to 112.5 points per 100 by Wichita State. Also, when USF wins, it’s by big margins. Their past six wins have been by double digits.
Over/Under Pick for USF vs. Wichita State
- Over 157 (5 units)
I expect a shootout in this one. USF continues to post mammoth numbers. USF has netted an average of 90 points in its past five games. Not many teams in the country play at a quicker pace; they stand 15th in adjusted tempo. Also, USF takes a ton of threes, averaging 29.5 three-point attempts per game.
In addition, the Bulls give up points due to their pace. The Bulls have surrendered 75 or more points in five straight games. Wichita State has scoring punch. They have scored 75 or more in five of their past six games. The Bulls give up a ton of threes, standing 315th in three-point defense.
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