Southern Miss vs. Marshall Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, February 4, 2026
Use Code WWWC On Wednesday, the Southern Miss Eagles will take on the Marshall Thundering Herd in a Sun Belt Conference basketball game, and we have you ready to go with our Southern Miss vs. Marshall prediction, odds, and preview. Tip-off from Huntington, WV, is at 7:00 p.m. ET.
The Thundering Herd is an 8.5-point spread favorite, and the game total is 147.5 points scored.
This is the first matchup of the season between these college basketball squads. The Golden Eagles beat the Thundering Herd 68-66 last season. Marshall is 6-4 both straight-up and against the spread in its last ten matchups with Southern Miss. The over/under was split 5-5. If you want the Southern Miss vs. Marshall prediction, read on to get our top NCAAB predictions and increase your bankroll!
Eagles have lost five of their last six games
Southern Miss (12-12 SU, 8-14 ATS, and 12-10 O/U) beat James Madison 73-65 in its previous game, covering the spread as 1.5-point favorites. The Eagles, who never trailed by more than two points, shot 46 percent from the field and scored 28 points at the charity stripe. JMU shot 4-for-20 from beyond the arc and missed 11 free throws.
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USM is 6-6 in Sun Belt play this season, ranked eighth in the conference's hoops standings. The Eagles, who have dropped five of their last six, are 5-5 straight-up (4-6 ATS) in their last ten games. KenPom ranks Southern Miss 249th in the nation, including 281st in offensive efficiency and 188th in defensive efficiency. The Eagles average 76.7 points per game (207th) on 44.9 percent shooting (203rd), including 28.6 percent from beyond the arc (361st). Southern Miss gives up 76.4 points per game (219th), and its opponents shoot 42.8 percent from the field (118th), including 35.9 percent from long distance (312th).
Junior forward Tylik Weeks paces the Eagles in scoring at 18.3 points per game on 47.7 percent shooting. He also contributes 6.0 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game. A few other USM stars to watch against Marshall are senior forward Djahi Binet (9.8 PPG and 7.3 RPG), senior forward Dylan Brumfield (9.0 PPG and 3.1 RPG), and senior guard Israel Hart (7.3 PPG).
Southern Miss Eagles Injury Report:
- G Isaac Taveras (15.8 PPG and 6.7 RPG in 12 games) has been out since December 15.
Marshall is a deadly three-point shooting squad
Marshall (14-8 SU, 9-12 ATS, and 10-11 O/U) beat Arkansas State 70-61 on Saturday as 3.5-point road underdogs. The Thundering Herd led for most of the game and shot 45 percent from the field, including 40 percent from beyond the arc. The Red Wolves were held to 33 percent shooting and missed 25 threes.
The Herd are 6-4 in Sun Belt play this season, good for fourth in the conference standings. They have won seven of their previous ten games, covering the spread four times. Marshall is ranked 159th nationally by KenPom, including 154th in offensive efficiency and 178th in defensive efficiency. The Thundering Herd score 80.2 points per game (133rd) on 46.1 percent shooting (134th), including 36.8 percent from downtown (44th). Marshall allows 74.1 points per game (156th), and its opponents shoot 41.0 percent from the field (45th), including 31.9 percent from beyond the arc (91st).
Senior guard Jalen Speers leads the Herd in scoring at 14.3 points per game on 36.7 percent shooting. He also contributes 5.7 assists and 4.2 boards per game. A few other Marshall stars to watch against Southern Miss are senior forward Wyatt Fricks (14.1 PPG and 5.1 RPG), senior guard Noah Otshudi (14.0 PPG and 4.0 RPG), and 7-foot-4 senior center Matt Van Komen (7.8 PPG, 7.6 RPG, and 2.6 BPG).
Marshall Thundering Herd Injury Report:
- No injuries to report.
Southern Miss vs. Marshall Pick and Preview
Spread Pick for Southern Miss vs. Marshall
- Herd -8.5 (5 Units)
Marshall has been the much better team recently and has played well on both ends of the court in Sun Belt play, leading me to believe they will win by double digits on Wednesday. The Herd has shot 38 percent from beyond the arc in conference play, while the Eagles have struggled to defend the perimeter, ranking 13th (out of 14 teams) in opponent 3PT%. That isn't new, either, as they rank outside the top 300 nationally in three-point defense for the season. On top of this, Marshall is tough to defend around the rim, ranking 28th in near-proximity percentage vs. the average opponent, per Haslametrics.
The Eagles have also hit very few three-balls on offense, as they have connected on just 27.8 percent of their treys in Sun Belt competition. I'm concerned they will fall behind early and find it challenging to climb back into the game, as they don't do much well offensively other than get to the free-throw line. With a comfortable lead, the Herd will play more relaxed defensively, sagging off the Eagles and allowing them to take jump shots instead.
Over/Under Pick for Southern Miss vs. Marshall
- Under 147.5 (5 Units)
I see some value in a bet on the under at 147.5.
USM enters this matchup on a poor offensive streak, ranking 360th nationally in offensive momentum. They have been careless with the basketball, struggled to hit threes, and have been average from two-point range in conference play, contributing to their losing streak. Marshall is ranked third in opponent eFG% in Sun Belt competition, as its perimeter defense (30% opponent 3PT%) has been especially stout. In short, I don't see where the points will come from when the Eagles have the basketball. If they aren't competitive early, I don't predict them climbing back into the game and getting the best out of the Herd's offense in the second half. With a commanding lead, Marshall will likely take out its key contributors and coast late in the game, leading to a lower total.
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