Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Houston Christian Huskies Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 28th, 2026
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The Stephen Austin Lumberjacks (25-4, 20-7 ATS, 11-16 O/U) take on the Houston Baptist Huskies (11-18, 13-14 ATS, 14-13 O/U) in a Southland Conference meeting on Saturday, and we have the prediction. The Lumberjacks were hit with a defeat by New Orleans on Monday. The Huskies posted a road win against Texas A&M CC in the previous action. Stephen F. Austin earned a road win in the first meeting
Can the Lumberjacks take this one by 10 points + on Saturday? Check out the Stephen Austin vs. Houston Baptist prediction. Do you need a boost in your handicapping? Try our NCAAB Picks!
Stephen Austin Remains Atop Conference
The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks are targeting their 19th conference win of the season. The Lumberjacks are the best team in the Southland. They stand at 18-2 in conference play, one game ahead of McNeese State entering the last week. Stephen Austin has lost just two games since January 5th, one of which was a road defeat against McNeese State. There have been a few close games, including a narrow win against Northwestern State.
The Lumberjacks covered in a road win against Texas A&M-CC a few weeks ago, along with a home win against Nicholls. The winning streak was snapped in a 77-73 defeat vs. New Orleans on Monday in a game that had the Lumberjacks marked as 12-point favorites. Stephen Austin connected on 36% of its shots, and N.O. posted a 48% efficiency. The Lumberjacks have covered the spread in two of their past five games.
Keon Thompson is enjoying a dominant season. The senior guard has surpassed 20 points on six occasions in conference play. He dropped 19 points on Monday and has delivered an average of 18.3 PPG on the season. Lateef Patrick has been a threat, amassing 20 points in two of his last three games. The junior guard has netted an average of 15.2 PPG.
Narit Chotikavanic has scored double digits in just two of his past five outings. The sophomore guard is averaging 9.6 PPG. Kam Burton added only three points in the defeat on Monday. The junior is a key depth player, averaging 8 PPG. Chrishawn Christmas has been steady, shooting at least 50% in three of his past five efforts. The senior guard has yielded 6.5 PPG.
The Lumberjacks are ranked 92nd in DI in Ken Pomeroy’s ratings and stand at 10-3 on the road this season. Stephen F. Austin is averaging 80 points on the season, rating them 112th. The Lumberjacks have conceded 70 or fewer points in four of their past five games and are keeping opponents to 68.5 points, placing them 36th. 
Houston Christian Earns Road Win
The Houston Christian Huskies are targeting their eighth conference win of the season. Houston Christian is having a tough season due to its weak offense. They had lost their first five conference games before earning a win against Texas A&M CC. Houston Christian also posted a home win against Northwestern State last month.
February has been a bit better. They covered in a defeat loss to McNeese State and posted a home win against Nicholls last week. Next, the Huskies earned a 69-68 road win against East Texas A&M on Monday. They were 2.5-point dogs. Houston Christian shot 44% while East Texas A&M posted a 45% mark. The Huskies have covered the spread in three of their past five games.
Kylin Green has come through with a few big games but has been inconsistent. The senior guard has scored at least 12 points in two of his past three games and has posted an average of 10.2 PPG. Demari Williams has scored double digits in three of his last five efforts. The junior guard scored 10 points on Monday and has netted 9.8 PPG on the season.
Demarco Bethea has been a threat, connecting on 50% of his shots in five straight games. The senior forward is averaging 9.8 PPG on 56% shooting. Ryan Bartley has earned at least 10 points in each of his past five outings. The senior guard has yielded 9 PPG. D’undre Samuels added 13 points on Monday. The junior guard has registered 8.2 PPG.
Houston Christian is marked 296th in the country in Ken Pomeroy’s ratings and is 8-4 on its home court, including a win against Incarnate Word. Houston Christian is scoring an average of 67.5 points on the year, ranking them 346th. The Huskies have conceded 73 or fewer points in six straight games and are squandering an average of 72.6 points, placing them 120th.
Stephen Austin vs. Houston Christian Pick
Spread Pick for Stephen Austin vs. Houston Christian
- Stephen F. Austn Lumberjacks -9 (5 units)
The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks are in first place in the Southland, but need this one, considering McNeese State is just one game behind. They have won nine of their past ten games. The Houston Christian Huskies are one of the worst teams in the conference.
Furthermore, Stephen F. Austin is the better team in all areas. They are averaging 113.1 points per 100 possessions compared to only 104.5 points per 100 by Houston Christian. The Lumberjacks are also conceding 11.5 fewer points per 100. The Lumberjacks easily defeated the Huskies in the first meeting, winning by 18 points. Houston Christian has not been competitive in many of the losses. Nine of Houston Christian's past 11 defeats have been by eight or more points.
Over/Under Pick for Stephen Austin vs. Houston Christian
- Over 139 (5 units)
I expect this one to have scoring. Stephen Austin has scored at least 78 points in two of their past three games. They are shooting 36.5% from beyond the arc, which is key against a Huskies team pegged 280th in three-point defense.
In addition, the Lumberjacks' defense has not been quite as effective. They have squandered an average of 71 points in their past six games, above their season average, so I expect Houston Christian to help with this total. The over cashed by 16 points in the first meeting. The over is 4-2 in the past six meetings between these teams.
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