Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane, Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, March 17, 2026

By: Liam Keating Published 03/17/2026, 06:45 AM ET
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The NIT begins with some great matchups on Tuesday, March 17. Read our Stephen F. Austin vs Tulsa prediction along with along with our NCAAB picks. SFA is 28-5 overall this season and they reached the Southland Conference Tournament title game, before losing by 17-points to McNeese. The Lumberjacks have won 16 of their last 18 games. Tulsa is 26-7 and they ended the year in a tie for second-place in the American Conference. They lost in the semifinals of the league tournament, but they have also won six of their last seven games. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 9 P.M. EST.

Stephen F. Austin upended in Southland Conference title game

Stephen F. Austin is 28-5 overall this season. They won the Southland Conference regular season title with a 20-2 league record. The Lumberjacks went 12-3 when playing on the road this season. SFA lost 76-59 to McNeese in the Southland championship game. The Lumberjacks have won 16 of their last 18 games.

Keon Thompson leads the team with 18.2 points and 4.4 assists per game. Jerald Colonel is grabbing a team-high 7.4 rebounds, too.

SFA has the 91st ranked team in the nation, according to KenPom. They are the 110th ranked offensive team, while they are also the 81st ranked defensive team.

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SFA is averaging 80 points per game, which ranks 107th in the nation. They are shooting 45.2% from the field, which ranks 192nd. The Lumberjacks are making 36.7% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 41st.

On defense, SFA is allowing 68.1 points per game, which ranks 33rd. They are the 56th ranked defensive team, allowing 42% from the field. The Lumberjacks are giving up 29.1% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks fifth-best.

SFA is 22-9 against the spread this season. The Lumberjacks are 5-2 against the spread when playing as an underdog this season. SFA is 12-3 against the spread when they have played on the road. The under is 18-13 when SFA has played this season. The under is 9-6 when SFA has played on the road.

Tulsa winners of six of last seven games

Tulsa is 26-7 overall this season. They finished in a tie for second-place in the American Conference with a 13-5 record. The Golden Hurricanes reached the semifinals of the conference tournament before losing to Wichita State last weekend. Tulsa has a 13-2 home record this season. They ended the season winning six of their last seven games.

David Green leads the team with 16.1 points per game. Tyler Behrend is grabbing 4.9 rebounds, while Tylen Riley is dishing out 4.3 assists per game.

Tulsa is the 63rd ranked team in the nation, according to KenPom. They are ranked 34th in the country on the offensive end. They are also the 148th ranked defensive team.

Tulsa is averaging 86.3 points per game, which ranks 24th in the nation. They are the 35th ranked shooting team, making 48.5% from the field. The Golden Huricanes are making 39% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 11th.

On defense, Tulsa is allowing 72.3 points per game, which ranks 115th. They are the 93rd ranked defensive team, allowing 42.7% from the field. The Golden Hurricanes are also the 126th ranked 3-point defensive team, giving up 32.7% from behind the arc.

Tulsa is 16-15 against the spread this season. The Golden Hurricanes are 7-6 against the spread when playing at home. Tulsa is 12-13 against the spread when playing as a favorite. The over is 21-19 when Tulsa has played this year. The over is 10-3 when Tulsa has played at home.

Stephen F. Austin vs Tulsa Picks

SFA vs Tulsa Spread Pick

  • Take Tulsa to cover (5 units)

Stephen F. Austin did not look like they could compete with McNeese in the Southland title game. McNeese thrives on the offensive side of the ball as they rank 91st in offensive rating. Tulsa is the 34th ranked offensive team. The Golden Hurricanes can jump out to a big lead early, they can really pressure the Lumberjacks. SFA ranks 110th in offensive rating and they may struggle on the road with many empty possessions. The always competitive American Conference should have Tulsa prepared for this game.

Take Tulsa to cover.

SFA vs Tulsa Over/Under Pick

  • Take the over (5 units)

The tempo of this game will not be played at a blazingly fast pace. The Lumberjacks ranks 269th in adjusted tempo this season, but they are averaging over 80 points per game. Tulsa is averaging over 86 points per game. The offensive efficiency numbers from both teams remain high and will be a main reason for the over to hit in this game. The over is 10-3 when Tulsa has played at home this season.

Take the over on Tuesday. 

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