Syracuse vs. Duke, Picks and Prediction, Monday, February 16, 2026

By: Bosun Akinpelu Published 02/16/2026, 06:00 AM ET
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Syracuse (15-11, 6-7 ACC) will be trying to keep their NCAA Tournament hopes alive when they visit Cameron Indorr Stadium on Monday night to face #4 Duke (23-2, 12-1 ACC) at 7 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Orange vs. Blue Devils prediction. Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!

The Orange are coming off a 79-78 win over SMU as 2.5-point underdogs. The Blue Devils are coming off a 67-54 win over Clemson as 13-point favorites.

Duke is 10-0 in its last 10 games against Syracuse.

Syracuse Going For Upset

The Orange bounced back from their two-game losing streak with two straight wins. They will try to keep the momentum going and pull off the upset when they play on Monday night.

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Syracuse averages 76.5 points per game. They’ve made 47 percent of their field goals and 33 percent of their three-pointers.

Donnie Freeman leads the Orange with 17.6 points and 7.2 rebounds per game. J.J Starling averages 12.1 points and 2.8 rebounds per game, while Nate Kingz averages 11.7 points and 3.9 rebounds per game.

Syracuse is giving up 72.2 points per game. Opponents have made 43 percent of their field goals and 33 percent of their three-pointers against them.

Injuries: Ibrahim Souare (Undisclosed) is questionable for this game.

Duke Trying To Increase Conference Lead

The Blue Devils bounced back from their loss to North Carolina with wins over Pittsburgh and #20 Clemson. They are on top of the ACC standings, with a 1.5-game lead over Virginia, and will try to increase their lead with a win on Monday.

Duke averages 82.2 points per game. They’ve made 50 percent of their field goals and 34.1 percent of their three-pointers.

Cameron Boozer leads Duke with 22.8 points and 9.9 rebounds per game. Isaiah Evans averages 14.4 points and 3.1 rebounds per game, while Patrick Ngongba II averages 10.5 points and 6.2 rebounds per game.

Duke is giving up 63.1 points per game. Opponents have made 39.1 percent of their field goals and 31 percent of their three-pointers against them.

Injuries: Ifeanyi Ufochukwu (Undisclosed) has been ruled out of this game.

Syracuse vs. Duke Picks

Point Spread Pick for Syracuse vs. Duke

  • Duke Blue Devils to cover. (4 Units)

The Blue Devils have won 12 straight home games, while the Orange have lost four straight road games. Duke has the advantage here because they play well offensively at home, scoring more than 85 points per game, while making 50  percent of their shots. They’ve also done a better job at the charity stripe, making over 73 percent of their free throws, while the Orange make less than 65 percent of theirs on the road. They do a great job of finding the open man, and they rebound the ball well, grabbing more than 11 offensive rebounds per game, which will give them more scoring chances. They don’t turn the ball over much, so don’t expect them to give up many easy-scoring opportunities. The Orange aren’t very good defensively, and they gave up more than 83 points per game in their last three games, so expect them to struggle defensively in this game. Take Duke to cover the spread.

Over/Under Pick for Syracuse vs. Duke

  • Under (4 Units)

The Orange played under the total in two of their last three games, while the Blue Devils played under the total in their last six games. Syracuse averages 76.5 points per game. They play at the 134th-fastest pace in the nation, averaging 71.7 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that gave up 59.7 points per game in their last three games. The Blue Devils average 82.2 points per game. They play at the 247th-fastest pace in the nation, averaging 69.6 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that is giving up 76.6 points per game on the road. Don’t expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total. The Blue Devils and Orange played under the total in two of their last three meetings.

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