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TCU vs. Florida, Picks and Prediction, Thursday, November 27, 2025

By: Bosun Akinpelu Published 11/26/2025, 06:54 PM ET
Horned Frogs vs. Gators prediction

TCU (3-2, 0-0 Big 12) will be trying to pull off an upset when they visit Jenny Craig Pavilion on Thursday afternoon to face #10 Florida (4-1, 0-0 SEC) in the Rady Children’s Invitational at 3 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Horned Frogs vs. Gators prediction. Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!

The Horned Frogs are coming off an 81-45 win over Kansas City as 24.5-point favorites. The Gators are coming off an 80-45 win over Merrimack as 36.5-point favorites.

TCU won the lone meeting between the two teams in 2019.

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TCU Going For Second Consecutive Win

The Horned Frogs bounced back from their loss to Michigan with a win over Kansas City in their last game, giving them three wins in their first five games. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their second straight win when they face the Gators.

TCU averages 80 points per game. They’ve made 44 percent of their field goals and 33 percent of their three-pointers.

Jayden Pierre leads TCU with 12.2 points and 2.8 rebounds per game. Micah Robinson averages 10.8 points and six rebounds per game, while David Punch averages 10.6 points and 6.2 rebounds per game.

TCU is giving up 63.6 points per game. Opponents have made 39.4 percent of their field goals and 32.1 percent of their three-pointers against them.

Florida Going For Fifth Consecutive Win

The Gators bounced back from their season-opening loss to Arizona with four straight wins. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their fifth straight win when they play on Thursday.

Florida averages 86.2 points per game. They’ve made 44.1 percent of their field goals and 25.7 percent of their three-pointers.

Thomas Haugh leads the Gators with 17.8 points and 7.6 rebounds per game. Alex Condon averages 17.2 points and nine rebounds per game, while Boogie Fland averages 11 points and 2.8 rebounds per game.

Florida is giving up 69.2 points per game. Opponents have made 35.3 percent of their field goals and 25 percent of their three-pointers against them.

Injuries: AJ Brown (Shoulder and Micah Handlogten (Head) are questionable for this game.

TCU vs. Florida Picks

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Point Spread Pick for TCU vs. Florida

  • Florida Gators to cover. (4 Units)

The Gators have won four straight games, while the Horned Frogs have won three of their last five games. Florida has the edge here because they’re playing well offensively, scoring more than 86 points per game while making over 44 percent of their shots. They do a good job of finding the open man, and they rebound the ball well, grabbing more than 15 offensive rebounds per game, which will give them more scoring chances. They also don’t turn the ball over much and won’t give up many easy-scoring chances. The Horned played well defensively at home, but they’re on the road for the first time against the best offense they have seen so far, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Gators. Take Florida to cover the money line.

Over/Under Pick for TCU vs. Florida

  • Under (4 Units)

The Horned Frogs played under the total in their last three games, while the Gator

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