Tennessee Volunteers vs. Florida Gators Picks, Prediction, Odds and Line Movement for Saturday, January 10, 2026
It’s a contest on the hardwood between SEC foes as the #21 Tennessee Volunteers battle the Florida Gators Saturday afternoon and we have you covered with our Tennessee vs. Florida prediction. Tennessee dropped Texas 85-71 at home in their previous contest Tuesday night, covering the line as an 11.5-point favorite. Florida dropped #18 Georgia 92-77 at home Tuesday night, covering the line as a 9.5-point favorite, in their previous contest. In the all-time series between the programs, the Volunteers own an 82-61 advantage but the Gators picked up an 86-77 win in Nashville as part of the SEC Tournament in the most recent matchup March 16, 2025. Read more about this Tennessee vs. Florida prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!
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Tennessee Looking to Pick Up Win in the Swamp
Tennessee rebounded from a loss to #18 Arkansas as they dropped Texas at home Tuesday night for their fourth win in five games. The Volunteers improved to 11-4 overall on the year and stand 1-1 in SEC play on the year entering this contest. Against Texas, Tennessee led 8-2, trailed 14-13 and took control with a 15-3 run that put them in front 28-17 with 7:25 remaining in the first half. The Volunteers were up 48-33 at the half and didn’t let the Longhorns closer than 10 the rest of the way. Tennessee shot 52.7% from the floor, including six of 15 from three-point range, and forced 16 turnovers in the contest. Ja’Kobi Gillespie led the Volunteers with 34 points, four rebounds and five assists in the win.
The Volunteers put up 83.4 points per game on the season, leaving them 73rd in the nation in scoring offense. Tennessee pulls down 42.7 rebounds a night (13th) while dishing out 19 assists (15th) per game. The Volunteers are excellent on the defensive end, ranking 25th in the country by allowing 65.7 points per game. Ja’Kobi Gillespie leads three Tennessee players in double figures as he averages 18.7 points plus 5.7 assists per game this season. Nate Ament (14.7 points, 6.5 rebounds) and J.P Estrella (10.5 points, five rebounds) each are solid secondary scoring options. Jaylen Carey, Felix Okpara, Bishop Boswell, DeWayne Brown II, Amaree Abram, Amari Evans, Cade Phillips, Ethan Burg and Troy Henderson have to step up and help out on both ends of the floor for coach Rick Barnes. Tennessee shoots 49.3% from the field as a team this season. The Volunteers knock down 7.3 triples a night while shooting 35% from beyond the arc. Tennessee knocks down 68.9% of their attempts at the charity stripe this season, which puts them 281st in the nation.
Key Injury Report for Tennessee:
- Forward Cade Phillips (shoulder) is out.
Gators Seek to Remain Unbeaten at Home
Florida won for the fifth time in six games as they took care of business against #18 Georgia at home their last time out. The Gators improved to 10-5 overall and are 1-1 in SEC action on the year as they take the floor here. Against Georgia, Florida trailed by as many as four in the first half before rallying to lead 41-40 at intermission. The Gators opened the second half on an 18-7 run to go up 59-47 with 14:04 remaining and controlled the contest from there. Florida shot 46.7% from the field, including six of 25 from beyond the arc, and dominated the glass by a 56-35 margin. Alex Condon and Thomas Haugh (12 rebounds, five assists) each had 21 points to lead the Gators.
The Gators are above average offensively as they are 59th in the nation in scoring offense with an average of 84.8 points per game on the year. Florida averages 47.3 rebounds per contest (1st) and dishes out 15.5 assists per game. The Gators are above average defensively, ranking 129th by allowing 71.2 points per contest. Thomas Haugh is one of five players averaging in double figures as he puts up 17.5 points, 6.8 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game this season. Boogie Fland (10.8 points, 3.2 assists), Alex Condon (14.8 points, 8.6 rebounds) and Xaivan Lee (11.7 points, 4.3 rebounds, 3.4 assists) are solid secondary scoring options. Micah Handlogten, Rueben Chinyelu (10.5 points, 10.3 rebounds), Urban Klavzar, Alex Lloyd, Isaiah Brown and CJ Ingram are key pieces in Florida’s rotation this season for Todd Golden. The Gators shoot 45.7% from the field as a team this season. Florida knocks down an average of 7.3 triples a night while hitting 27.7% from beyond the arc, which is just 361st in Division I. The Gators are below average at the charity stripe, shooting 70.3% as a team this season, which is 237th in the nation.
Key Injury Report for Florida:
- No Key Injuries
Tennessee vs. Florida Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tony Karpinski | +2,976.00 |
| 2 |  Joe Duffy | +2,595.00 |
| 3 |  The Insiders Room | +2,320.00 |
| 4 |  Mark Ruelle | +1,627.00 |
| 5 |  Jackie Mack | +1,451.00 |
Tennessee vs. Florida Spread Pick
- Florida -5.5 (4 units)
Tennessee is the ranked team here but there are no pushovers in the SEC, especially if you’re the visiting team. The Volunteers own a neutral floor win over Houston but they are 0-2 in road games this season, falling to Syracuse and Arkansas. Florida is a perfect 7-0 at home on the year and just showed a ranked foe in Georgia that Gainesville isn’t a friendly environment if you’re the visiting team. The Gators are terrific on the glass as they lead the nation in rebounding and they can hold their own on both ends of the floor. Seeing how Tennessee has struggled on the road and knowing how tough Florida is at home, give the advantage to the Gators here.
Tennessee vs. Florida Over/Under Pick
- Under 151.5 (4 units)
Tennessee is one of the stingiest teams in the nation when it comes to shutting opposing teams down this season. The Volunteers are 25th in the nation in scoring defense, 13th in defensive efficiency, 10th in effective field goal percentage defense (44.7%), 12th in field goal percentage defense (38.2%) and 29th in the nation in three-point defense (29.1%) this season. Tennessee is a slow-paced team as they are 232nd in the nation with 67.3 possessions per game. Florida is 26th in offensive efficiency, second in offensive rebounding percentage (44.2%) and 53rd in two-point shooting (57.9%) and first in the nation by pulling down 17.3 offensive boards a night. The Gators are 69th in adjusted tempo according to KenPom with 70.4 possessions a night. Both teams are good on the glass and stingy defensively so this one ends up just short of the number.
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