Tennessee Volunteers vs Michigan Wolverines, Picks and Prediction for Sunday, March 29, 2026

By: Liam Keating Published 03/29/2026, 06:15 AM ET
Tennessee vs Michigan prediction
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The Elite 8 rolls on and there’s another great matchup on Sunday, March 29. Read our Tennessee Volunteers vs Michigan Wolverines prediction along with our NCAAB picks. Tennessee is 25-11 and they are the No. 6 seed. The Volunteers are coming off of a fantastic win over Iowa State, where the Volunteers dominated throughout the clash. Speaking of dominance, No. 1 Michigan has won by double-digits in every round in the NCAA Tournament. The Wolverines are rolling over the competition as a Final Four spot is on the line in this game. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 2:15 P.M. EST.

Tennessee dominates Iowa State in Sweet 16

Tennessee is 25-11 and they are the No. 6 seed in the Midwest Region. The Volunteers opened the NCAA Tournament with a 22-point win over Miami (OH) and a single-digit win against Virginia. In their last game, Tennessee dominated No. 2 Iowa State 76-62 in the Sweet 16 on Friday, March 27.

Ja’Kobi Gillespie leads the team with 18.3 points and 5.5 assists per game. Nate Ament leads the team with 6.4 rebounds per game.

Tennessee is the 11th ranked team in the nation, according to KenPom. They are the 31st ranked offensive team, while they are also the 11th-best ranked defensive team.

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Tennessee is averaging 80.1 points per game, which ranks 102nd in the nation. They are shooting 46.6% from the field, which ranks 96th. The Volunteers are making 33.8% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 194th.

On defense, Tennessee is allowing 69.5 points per game, which ranks 49th. They are the 35th ranked defensive team, allowing 41.1% from the field. The Volunteers are giving up 30.8% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 34th.

Tennessee is 16-19 against the spread this season. The Volunteers are 4-1 against the spread during the NCAA Tournament and SEC Tournament. Tennessee is 4-2 against the spread as an underdog this year. The under is 18-17 when Tennessee has played this year. The under is 4-1 during the postseason.

Michigan steamrolling competition so far in NCAA Tournament

Michigan is 34-3 overall this season. The Wolverines are the No. 1 seed in the Midwest Region this season. Michigan has dominated the competition in the NCAA Tournament. They won by 21 points in the first round of Howard. The Wolverines followed it with an 23-point win against Saint Louis. Michigan took down No. 4 Alabama 90-77 in the Sweet 16 to advance, as the Wolverines flexed on the Crimson Tide throughout the game.

Yaxel Lendeborg leads the team with 14.9 points per game. Morez Johnson Jr. is grabbing a team-high 7.3 rebounds, while Elliot Cadeau is dishing out 5.7 assists per game.

Michigan is the 1st ranked team in the nation, according to KenPom. They are ranked fifth in the country on the offensive end. They are also the best ranked defensive team.

Michigan is averaging 88.5 points per game, which ranks 11th in the nation. They are the sixth ranked shooting team, making 51% from the field. The Wolverines are making 36.5% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 48th.

On defense, Michigan is allowing 69.1 points per game, which ranks 44th. They are the best ranked defensive team, allowing 38% from the field. The Wolverines are also the eighth-ranked 3-point defensive team, giving up 29.6% from behind the arc.

Michigan is 16-20 against the spread this season. The Wolverines are 2-4 against the spread during the NCAA Tournament and Big Ten Tournament. Michigan has failed to cover in eight of their last 11 games. The Wolverines are 7-4 against the spread when playing as a single-digit favorite. The under is 21-15 when Michigan has played this season. The under is 7-4 in their last 11 games.

Tennessee Volunteers vs Michigan Wolverines Picks

Tennessee vs Michigan Spread Pick

  • Take Michigan to cover (5 units) 

Michigan continues to be one of the best teams in the NCAA Tournament this year. The Wolverines have won by double-digits in every single game so far. Michigan’s defense has been fantastic throughout the tournament, while the team’s efficient offense has not been stopped. Tennessee has been playing great, but the Volunteers run will end in this game. In a low-scoring game, Tennessee will struggle to contend with Michigan down the stretch and the Wolverines will have the best player on the court with Yaxel Lendeborg.

Take Michigan to cover.

Tennessee vs Michigan Over/Under Pick

  • Take the under (5 units)

Michigan’s defense is one of the best in the nation. They allowing just 38% from the field, the best mark in the nation. According to KenPom, the Wolverines have the best defense in the nation. Tennessee’s 31st ranked offense will be coming up short on many possessions thanks to Michigan’s defense. The under is 7-4 during Michigan's last 11 games. The under is 4-1 during the postseason for Tennessee.

Take the under on Sunday. 

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