Tennessee Volunteers vs Missouri Tigers Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Tuesday February 24 2026

By: Kyle Kargel Published 02/24/2026, 08:21 AM ET
Tennessee vs Missouri Prediction
Use Code WWWC

Tennessee vs Missouri picks take on added weight with SEC positioning and NCAA Tournament implications in play. The Vols arrive hot, but the Tigers are desperate and dangerous at home. If you are looking for sharp college basketball predictions, this matchup offers value on both the side and total.

Quick Picks and Prediction

  • Spread Pick: Missouri +3.5
  • Total Pick: Over 144.5
  • Projected Final Score: Missouri 76, Tennessee 74

Odds and Line Movement

Opening Odds

Market Tennessee Missouri
Spread -4.5 (-110) +4.5 (-110)
Total Over 143.5 (-110) Under 143.5 (-110)

Current Odds

Market Tennessee Missouri
Spread -3.5 (-110) +3.5 (-110)
Total Over 144.5 (-108) Under 144.5 (-112)

Line Movement - Spread

Date Time Tennessee Missouri Public ($, #)
02/23 05:56:29PM -3.5 -110 3.5 -110
02/23 05:01:31PM -3.5 -115 3.5 -105
02/23 04:55:47PM -4.5 -102 4.5 -118
02/23 04:55:44PM -3.5 -102 3.5 -118
02/23 04:55:17PM -4.5 -108 4.5 -112
02/23 04:23:22PM -3.5 -110 3.5 -110
02/23 03:53:20PM -3.5 -102 3.5 -118
02/23 03:53:17PM -3.5 -118 3.5 -102
02/23 03:53:14PM -4.5 -102 4.5 -118
02/23 03:04:52PM -3.5 -110 3.5 -110
02/23 01:00:30PM -4.5 -110 4.5 -110

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under Public ($, #)
02/23 05:56:29PM 144.5 -108 144.5 -112
02/23 05:23:25PM 144.5 -112 144.5 -108
02/23 05:01:31PM 143.5 -112 143.5 -108
02/23 03:53:14PM 144.5 -115 144.5 -105
02/23 01:00:30PM 143.5 -110 143.5 -110

Tennessee

The Volunteers have won eight of their last nine games and already appear secure for an at-large NCAA Tournament bid. Saturday’s win at Vanderbilt reinforced their standing and continued a stretch of tense but successful performances.

Nate Ament, the 6-10 freshman, has been a matchup problem at 18 points per game. Ja’Kobi Gillespie leads the backcourt, but at 6-1, he may face size challenges against Missouri’s long perimeter defenders.

Missouri

The Tigers are still fighting for their tournament lives. A missed opportunity at Arkansas left them needing a strong finish. Missouri has won four of its last six games and has shown grit in close contests, including two recent one-point wins.

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Mark Mitchell continues to be a force inside, averaging 17.2 points per game while shooting 53.4 percent from the field. He is coming off a 26-point effort at Arkansas. Trent Pierce has added length and scoring punch, with 22 points at Arkansas and 23 against Texas A&M.

Tennessee vs Missouri Key Matchups and Handicap

This game features contrasting motivations. Tennessee is steady and confident, but Missouri is urgent and capable at home. The Tigers shoot nearly 50 percent from the field and create matchup issues with size on the perimeter.

The spread has shifted from -4.5 to -3.5, signaling market respect for Missouri at home. Tennessee has survived tight games recently and could be due for a slight letdown after several high-pressure efforts.

The total has climbed from 143.5 to 144.5. With Missouri shooting efficiently and Tennessee possessing scoring options of its own, I lean toward a higher-scoring contest than the early number suggested.

  • Tennessee has won eight of its last nine games.
  • Missouri has won four of its last six games.
  • The spread moved from Tennessee -4.5 to -3.5.
  • The total has increased from 143.5 to 144.5.
  • Missouri has posted recent one-point wins at Texas A&M and against Vanderbilt.

Key Injuries and Notes - UT and MIZZ

  • Mark Mitchell averages 17.2 points per game and shoots 53.4 percent from the field.
  • Trent Pierce has scored 22 and 23 points in recent games.
  • Nate Ament averages 18 points per game for Tennessee.
  • Missouri is shooting nearly 50 percent from the field as a team.

ATS and Total Picks

  • ATS Pick: Missouri +3.5
  • Total Pick: Over 144.5

Final Score Prediction

Missouri 76, Tennessee 74

How to Bet

Before placing your wager, compare the latest lines across books. Take advantage of the newest sportsbook promo codes and review the best sportsbooks for the best available number.

If you prefer alternative wagering platforms, explore social sportsbooks. You can also maximize your bonus with the bet365 bonus code or the fliff promo code. With Missouri’s urgency and Tennessee’s tight-game fatigue, grabbing the points and leaning over provides strong betting value.

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