Texas A&M Aggies vs. Texas Longhorns Picks and Prediction for Saturday, January 17, 2026
It’s a contest on the hardwood as the Texas A&M Aggies travel within the Lone Star State to battle the Texas Longhorns Saturday evening in a SEC matchup and we have you covered with our Texas A&M vs. Texas prediction. Texas A&M fell 87-82 in double overtime at #24 Tennessee in their previous contest Tuesday night, covering the line as a 10.5-point underdog. Texas upended #10 Vanderbilt 80-64 at home Wednesday night, winning outright as a 3.5-point underdog. In the all-time series between the schools, the Longhorns own an 82-60 advantage and have won the last two meetings, including a 94-89 double overtime win in the most recent matchup, which came in the SEC Tournament in Nashville March 13, 2025. Read more about this Texas A&M vs. Texas prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!
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Texas A&M Shooting to Get Back on Track
Texas A&M battled but fell in double overtime at #24 Tennessee, snapping their six-game win streak in the process. The Aggies dropped to 13-4 overall and stand tied for the top spot in the SEC with a 3-1 mark. Against Tennessee, Texas A&M led 8-0 out of the gate and took their biggest lead at 26-15 with 6:47 to play in the first half. The Aggies were up four at the half and led by as many as nine in the second half only to wind up in overtime. Texas A&M took their last lead at 79-77 with 3:58 remaining in the second overtime but gave up the next six points. They failed to get even after that, sending them to defeat. Texas A&M shot 36.4% from the floor, including 13 of 43 from beyond the arc, and lost the rebounding battle 60-35 in the game. Jacari Lane led the Aggies with 20 points and nine assists in the loss.
The Aggies score an average of 93 points per game this season coming into this contest, putting them 6th in the nation in scoring offense. Texas A&M pulls down 38.4 rebounds per game (86th) on the year and dishes out 20.1 assists a night. The Aggies are 293rd in the nation in scoring defense as they allow 78 points a night. Ruben Dominguez is leading the Aggies in scoring as he puts up 13.8 points a game this season. Rashaun Agee (13.1 points, 8.6 rebounds) along with Marcus Hill (11 points, 2.9 rebounds) provide valuable secondary scoring options. Rylan Griffen (10.7 points), Mckenzie Mgbako (10.4 points, 4.9 rebounds), Pop Isaacs (10.7 points), Jacari Lane, Josh Holloway, Ali Dibba, Zach Clemence, Jamie Vinson and Federiko Federiko are critical pieces for coach Bucky McMillan. Texas A&M is shooting 47.8% from the floor as a team, leaving them 67th in the nation. The Aggies splash 11.5 three-pointers a night but are connecting on 36.9% from beyond the arc, which is 43rd in Division I. Texas A&M is converting 73.8% of their chances at the charity stripe on the year, putting them 118th in the nation in that department this season.
Key Injury Report for Texas A&M:
- Forward Mckenzie Mgbako (foot) is done for the year.
Longhorns Look to Lasso Home Victory
Texas won their second straight and their fourth in the last six games as they took down #11 Vanderbilt at home Wednesday night. The Longhorns enter this game 11-6 on the season, 2-2 in SEC play, and look to put up a third straight win here. Against Vanderbilt, Texas never trailed by more than two in the contest and owned a 42-37 advantage at the half. The Longhorns didn’t let the Commdores closer than two the rest of the way and led by as many as 20 en route to the win. Texas shot 52.9% from the field, including seven of 17 from beyond the arc, and controlled the glass by a 42-24 margin. Matas Vokietaitis led the Longhorns with 22 points and seven rebounds in the win.
On the season, Texas has put up an average of 87.3 points per contest, putting them 26th in the nation in scoring offense on the year. The Longhorns are pulling down an average of 41.5 rebounds per game (24th) while dishing out an average of 13.4 assists (248th) per contest. Texas is giving up an average of 74.4 points per game this season, leaving them 205th in the nation in scoring defense. Motas Vokietaitis is one of four Longhorns in double figures as he puts up an average of 15.2 points plus 6.3 rebounds per game this season. Dailyn Swain (15.6 points, 7.2 rebounds), Jordan Pope (13 points, 2.4 assists) and Tramon Mark (13.4 points) are good secondary scoring options. Simeon Wilcher, Chendall Weaver, Lassina Traore, Camden Heide, Nic Codie and Declan Duru Jr. are other rotation pieces for Sean Miller. Texas is shooting 48.9% from the field as a team this season, which is 39th in Division I. The Longhorns are knocking down eight three-pointers a night while sinking 34.9% of their attempts from beyond the arc, which is 138th in the country. Texas has been slightly above average at the charity stripe as they are cashing in 72.8% of their attempts this season, putting them 155th in the nation.
Key Injury Report for Texas:
- No Key Injuries.
Texas A&M vs. Texas Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ben Burns | +1,203.00 |
| 2 |  Joseph D'Amico | +791.00 |
| 3 |  Bryan Power | +507.00 |
| 4 |  MIT Simulator | +449.00 |
| 5 |  Joe Duffy | +374.00 |
Texas A&M vs. Texas Spread Pick
- Texas -3.5 (4 units)
Both teams have been solid to this point of the season and come in looking to pick up a conference win here. The Aggies battled against Tennessee but ended up falling in double overtime on the road to drop to 2-2 as the visiting team this year. Texas A&M has their work cut out for them here as Texas is a dangerous offensive team that shoots the ball well from the floor. The Aggies are going to be better than they were against the Volunteers on the glass, especially seeing how the Longhorns are a top-25 team in that department. Texas is 8-2 at home with their losses coming to Virginia and Mississippi State. Playing in Austin, give the advantage to the Longhorns here.
Texas A&M vs. Texas Over/Under Pick
- Over 164.5 (4 units)
Texas A&M has seen the over post a 12-5 mark in their 17 games with a posted total this year. The Aggies are 55th in offensive efficiency, 26th in effective field goal percentage (56.7%), 70th in offensive rebound percentage (34.6%) and stand 57th in free throw rate (.414 FT attempts per FG attempt) on the year. Texas A&M is 21st in adjusted tempo as they average 72.3 possessions a game. Texas has gone over the mark in 10 of their 16 games with a posted total on the year. The Longhorns are 13th in offensive efficiency, 76th in effective field goal percentage (54.3%), 14th in offensive rebounding percentage (38.2%), 39thin field goal percentage (48.9%), 50th in two-point shooting (57.7%) and 1st in free throw rate (.502 FT attempts per FG attempt) this season. Texas is 166th in adjusted tempo with 68.2 possessions per contest. This has the makings of a track meet, so take the over in this contest.
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