Texas A&M Aggies vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 14, 2026
It’s a battle of teams from the SEC on the hardwood in the Volunteer State as the Texas A&M Aggies travel to take on the #19 Vanderbilt Commodores Saturday afternoon and we have you covered with our Texas A&M vs. Vanderbilt prediction. Texas A&M was beaten 86-85 at home by Missouri in their previous contest, losing outright as a 6.5-point favorite, Wednesday night. Vanderbilt picked up an 84-76 win on the road over Auburn Tuesday night, winning outright as a 3.5-point underdog, in their previous contest. In the all-time series between the schools, the Commodores own a 12-8 advantage and have won the last two meetings. That includes an 86-84 road win in the most recent meeting February 26, 2025. Read more about this Texas A&M vs. Vanderbilt prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Get our top NCAAB Betting Picks and increase your bankroll!
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Texas A&M Hoping to Get Back in Win Column
Texas A&M suffered a third straight loss as they fell a bucket short at home against Missouri in their previous contest. The Aggies dropped to 17-7 overall and stand tied for fourth in the SEC with a 7-4 mark. Against Missouri, Texas A&M trailed by as many as five and led by as many as six in the first half before taking a 46-41 lead to the locker room. The Aggies opened their biggest lead at seven with 16:18 remaining but gave up a 24-9 run to trail 74-66 with 7:55 to go. Texas A&M traded the lead multiple times down the stretch, taking their last lead at 85-84: after giving up the go-ahead bucket with 17 seconds remaining, the Aggies came up empty twice on their final possession to take the loss. The Aggies shot 50% from the field, including 15 of 33 from three-point range, but lost the rebounding battle 39-26. Zach Clemence led Texas A&M with 20 points in the loss.
The Aggies score an average of 90.7 points per game this season coming into this contest, putting them 8th in the nation in scoring offense. Texas A&M pulls down 38 rebounds per game (68th) on the year and dishes out 19.7 assists a night. The Aggies are 299th in the nation in scoring defense as they allow 78.4 points a night. Ruben Dominguez is second on the Aggies in scoring as he puts up 11.7 points a game this season. Rashaun Agee (13.9 points, 8.8 rebounds) along with Marcus Hill (10.8 points, three rebounds) provide valuable secondary scoring options. Rylan Griffen (11.5 points), Mckenzie Mgbako (10.4 points, 4.9 rebounds), Pop Isaacs (10.2 points), Jacari Lane, Josh Holloway, Ali Dibba, Zach Clemence, Jamie Vinson and Federiko Federiko are critical pieces for coach Bucky McMillan. Texas A&M is shooting 46.8% from the floor as a team, leaving them 89th in the nation. The Aggies splash 11.6 three-pointers a night but are connecting on 37.4% from beyond the arc, which is 29th in Division I. Texas A&M is converting 75.4% of their chances at the charity stripe on the year, putting them 69th in the nation in that department this season.
Key Injury Report for Texas A&M:
- Forward Mckenzie Mgbako (foot) is done for the year.
Commodores Shooting to Beat Aggies for Third Straight Time
Vanderbilt won for the fourth time in five games as they downed Auburn on the road in their previous contest. The Commodores ran their record to 20-4 overall and stand tied for fourth in the SEC with a 7-4 mark in conference play. Against Auburn, Vanderbilt closed the first half on a 16-5 run to take a 42-31 margin at intermission. The Commodores led by as many as 15 in the second half and didn’t let the Tigers get closer than four the rest of the way to earn the victory. Vanderbilt shot 46.3% from the floor, including eight of 23 from beyond the arc, and limited Auburn to 40% shooting in the contest. Tyler Tanner led the Commodores with 25 points and six assists in the win.
On the season, the Commodores rack up an average of 88.7 points per game so far this season, which is 13th in the nation. Vanderbilt pulls down 36.3 rebounds a night while dishing out an average of 17.2 assists per contest. The Commodores are average defensively, ranking 182nd in the nation by allowing 73.8 points per game. Tyler Tanner leads the team with 18.9 points plus 5.3 assists a game this season. Devin McGlockton (9.9 points, 6.8 boards) and Tyler Nickel (14.4 points) provide secondary scoring punch for the Commodores. Duke Miles (16.6 points, 4.3 assists), Jalen Washington, AK Okereke, Frankie Collins, Tyler Harris, Chandler Bing and Mike James are key pieces in the Commodores rotation. Vanderbilt is shooting 48.6% from the floor as a team. The Commodores knock down 10 three-point field goals per game and are hitting 36.1% from long range. Vanderbilt is above average at the stripe, hitting 77.9% from the free throw line as a team this season, putting them 16th in Division I.
Key Injury Report for Vanderbilt:
- Guard Frankie Collins (knee) is questionable.
- Guard Duke Miles (knee) is questionable.
Texas A&M vs. Vanderbilt Pick
Texas A&M vs. Vanderbilt Spread Pick
- Vanderbilt -7.5 (4 units)
We’ve got the potential for a track meet here with a pair of teams ranked in the top 15 in the nation in scoring offense on the year. Texas A&M comes in with three straight losses on the docket and are a pedestrian 4-3 on the road. The Aggies have had issues on the defensive end of the floor all season along and that is something the Commodores can exploit. Vanderbilt is a solid 11-2 at home on the year and even being an average defensive team gives them the edge over Texas A&M. With the Commodores winning four of five and the Aggies sliding a bit, give the advantage to the hosts in this contest.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ricky Tran | +4,680.00 |
| 2 |  David Delano | +4,650.00 |
| 3 |  Nick Parsons | +4,361.00 |
| 4 |  Mark Ruelle | +4,278.00 |
| 5 |  Terry Edelmann | +2,224.00 |
Texas A&M vs. Vanderbilt Over/Under Pick
- Over 166.5 (4 units)
Texas A&M has seen the over post a 15-9 mark in their 24 games with a posted total this year. The Aggies are 33rd in offensive efficiency, 40th in effective field goal percentage (55.8%), 84th in offensive rebounds per game (12.2) and stand 69th in free throw shooting on the year. Texas A&M is 28th in adjusted tempo as they average 70.9 possessions a game. Vanderbilt has seen the under post a 12-11 mark in their 23 games on the year. The Commodores are 13th in offensive efficiency, 13th in scoring offense, 24th in effective field goal percentage (56.6%) and 16th in free throw shooting. Vanderbilt is 51st in adjusted tempo with 70.1 possessions per game according to KenPom. Look for these teams to run and gun, piling up points and pushing this one over the number.
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