Texas Longhorns vs. Georgia Bulldogs Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 21 2026
Use Code WWWC No, this is not a big football matchup; it's the SEC on Saturday afternoon from Athens at 3:30 p.m. ET, highlighted by this Texas vs. Georgia prediction. Texas (17-9, 8-5 SEC) is coming off a five-game winning streak and an 88-85 home victory over LSU on Tuesday. Georgia (18-8, 6-7 SEC) is coming off an upset road win over Kentucky, breaking their two-game losing streak. These teams last met on Jan. 24 with the Longhorns winning 87-67 as a 2.5-point favorite from Austin. Looking for more solid free College Basketball Predictions? Check out Winners and Whiners!
Longhorns heating up
Texas has won five straight games, its longest winning streak since the 2019-20 season, when it was in the Big 12. Texas is ranked 35th in the NET Rankings so they are in pretty good shape when it comes to the NCAA Tournament. Dailyn Swain led the Horns with 21 points and 10 boards in 21 minutes against LSU on Tuesday. Jordan Pope and Tramon Mark added 18 points apiece to lead a hot-shooting Texas team, which made 56% of their field goal attempts and 54% (7 of 13) of their three-point attempts.
The latest Bracketology report on ESPN has Texas as the ninth-seed in the East, so they still have some work to do. Swain leads the Longhorns with 17.7 points and 7.7 rebounds, while center Matas Vokietaitis adds 15.5 points with 7.0 rebounds. Texas ranks 28th overall by KenPom, 6th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and 97th in Adjusted Defense. They also rank 15th in total rebounding percentage.
Dawgs need a Winning Streak
While Texas is in pretty good shape for the NCAA Tournament, Georgia is 39th and basically on the bubble. However, the latest Bracketology from ESPN has the Dawgs as the 10th seed and not the last four in, despite owning a 6-7 record in the SEC. That doesn't mean that they are a lock, but beating Kentucky 86-78 on the road was a statement and a huge help to their cause, considering they've won just twice in their last seven games. Jeremiah Wilkinson, who returned from a shoulder injury, had 19 points, while Blue Cain added a game-high 20 to help the Bulldogs get past the Wildcats.
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Wilkinson, who missed around two weeks with a shoulder injury, leads the Bulldogs with 17.2 points, while shooting 41.6% from the field. Cain adds 13.9 points and 5.3 rebounds, while shooting 47.1% from the field. According to KenPom, Georgia ranks 41st overall, 26th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and 67th in Adjusted Defense. They rank 153rd in total rebounding percentage.
Spread Pick for Texas vs. Georgia
Texas vs. Georgia Prediction and Odds
- Georgia -1.5 (5 units)
While Texas is playing very well, this is a much more important game for the Georgia Bulldogs. This is also a revenge spot for the Dawgs, who were blasted by 20 in the first game. Getting Wilkinson back from injury was huge and it showed in their win at Kentucky. They can't just rest on their laurels and will need to continue to win to stay in the field of 68. Georgia shoots 47% from the field at home and Texas struggles to defend on the road, allowing opponents to shoot 38.2% from beyond the arc and 46.8% from the field. That will bite them on the road.
Total Picks for Texas vs. Georgia
- Over 164.5 (4 units)
Texas is average in pace of play, but they are incredibly efficient on offense. Georgia ranks 10th in the nation in pace of play, so they will try and dictate that style at home. Texas has gone over in four straight games and five of their last six. Georgia has gone over in two straight and they average 96.1 points per game at home.
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