Texas Longhorns vs. Missouri Tigers Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 14, 2026
Use Code WWWC It’s a contest on the hardwood as the Texas Longhorns travel to the Show-Me State to battle the Missouri Tigers Saturday night in a SEC matchup and we have you covered with our Texas vs. Missouri prediction. Texas dropped Ole Miss 79-68 at home in their previous contest last Saturday, covering the line as a 9.5-point favorite. Missouri edged Texas A&M 86-85 on the road Wednesday night, winning outright as a 6.5-point underdog. In the all-time series between the schools, the Tigers own a 14-13 advantage but it was Texas picking up a 61-53 home win in the most recent matchup, which came on January 21, 2025. Read more about this Texas vs. Missouri prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Get our top NCAAB Betting Picks and increase your bankroll!
Texas Shooting for Fourth Straight Win
Texas ran their win streak to three as they took care of business against Ole Miss in their previous contest last Saturday. The Longhorns enter this game 15-9 on the season, 6-5 in SEC play, and look to put up a fourth straight win here. Against Ole Miss, Texas gave up the first three points of the game before going on an 11-1 run to take an 11-4 advantage. The Longhorns extended to a 29-11 advantage and led the rest of the way en route to the win. Texas shot 52.9% from the floor, including five of 16 three-point attempts, and owned a 35-27 advantage on the boards in the contest. Matas Vokietaitis led the Longhorns with 27 points and seven rebounds in the victory.
On the season, Texas has put up an average of 85.2 points per contest, putting them 24th in the nation in scoring offense on the year. The Longhorns are pulling down an average of 39.2 rebounds per game (44th) while dishing out an average of 13 assists (261st) per contest. Texas is giving up an average of 74.6 points per game this season, leaving them 210th in the nation in scoring defense. Motas Vokietaitis is one of four Longhorns in double figures as he puts up an average of 15.3 points plus 6.8 rebounds per game this season. Dailyn Swain (17.3 points, 7.3 rebounds), Jordan Pope (12.5 points, 2.1 assists) and Tramon Mark (13.4 points) are good secondary scoring options. Simeon Wilcher, Chendall Weaver, Lassina Traore, Camden Heide, Nic Codie and Declan Duru Jr. are other rotation pieces for Sean Miller. Texas is shooting 49.4% from the field as a team this season, which is 25th in Division I. The Longhorns are knocking down 7.7 three-pointers a night while sinking 34.6% of their attempts from beyond the arc, which is 150th in the country. Texas has been above average at the charity stripe as they are cashing in 74.7% of their attempts this season, putting them 93rd in the nation.
Key Injury Report for Texas:
Get Free $30 Credit for Premium Picks + Exclusive Discounts
Subscribe Now
- Forward Lassina Traore (knee) is out.
Tigers Look to Keep Rolling
Missouri earned their third straight win as the slipped past Texas A&M on the road Wednesday night in their previous contest. The Tigers improved to 17-7 overall on the year and were part of a logjam tied for fourth in the SEC with a 7-4 mark. Against Texas A&M, Missouri led by as many as five in the opening half and trailed by six before going to the half down 46-41 at intermission. The Tigers faced their biggest deficit of seven points with 16:18 remaining, rallied to lead by as many as eight, then traded the lead multiple times in the final minutes with the Tigers taking the lead for good on a Shawn Philips Jr. dunk with 17 seconds to go. Missouri survived two shots on the Aggies’ final possession, the second blocked by Philips Jr., to earn the win. The Tigers shot 53.8% from the floor, including seven of 21 from three-point range, and controlled the glass by a 39-26 margin. Trent Pierce led Missouri with 23 points and nine rebounds in the win.
The Tigers are 94th in the nation in scoring offense with 80.5 points per game on the year. Missouri is 97th in rebounding by collecting 37.1 boards a night while the team dishes out 15 assists (122nd) per contest. The Tigers are 188th in the nation in scoring defense by allowing 73.9 points per game. Jacob Crews is one of four players averaging in double figures for the Tigers with an average of 10.5 points per game on the year. Mark Mitchell (17.2 points, 5.7 boards, 3.5 assists), Jayden Stone (14.8 points, five rebounds), Trent Pierce (10.2 points) and Anthony Robinson II (8.9 points, 3.4 assists) are solid secondary scoring options. Sebastian Mack, Shawn Phillips Jr., Jevon Porter, Annor Boateng, T.O. Barrett, Luke Northweather and Nicholas Randall are all important pieces for Missouri. The Tigers are shooting 49.4% from the field as a team this season, which is 24th in the nation. Missouri knocks down an average of 7.4 triples a night while shooting 34.8% from beyond the arc, putting them 139th in the country. The Tigers are below average at the charity stripe, cashing in 67.3% of their attempts this season, which is 337th in Division I.
Key Injury Report for Missouri:
- Forward Jevon Porter (leg) is out.
- Guard Annor Boateng (leg) is out.
- Guard Sebastian Mack (undisclosed) is questionable.
Texas vs. Missouri Pick
Texas vs. Missouri Moneyline Pick
- Missouri -102 (4 units)
Both teams come into this game with three straight wins and four victories in their last five games. There are key injuries that will impact both sides here, which could play a factor in the contest. Texas is just 2-4 on the road, though their victories are Quad I triumphs. The Longhorns have the advantage offensively but the Tigers are better on the defensive end of the floor. Missouri is a stellar 13-1 at home on the year with their lone defeat a two-point loss to Georgia last month. In a game where both teams are scrapping to try and improve their resume for a March Madness bid, take the hosts in a tight game.
Texas vs. Missouri Over/Under Pick
- Over 150.5 (4 units)
Texas has gone over the mark in 14 of their 23 games with a posted total on the year. The Longhorns are 10th in offensive efficiency, 37th in effective field goal percentage (55.9%), tied for 58th in offensive rebounds per game (12.6), 25th in field goal percentage (49.4%), 28th in two-point shooting (58.4%), 5th in made free throws (20) and 8th in free throws attempted (26.8) per game this season. Texas is 211th in adjusted tempo with 66.9 possessions per contest. Missouri has stayed under the total in 14 of their 24 games this season. The Tigers are 51st in offensive efficiency, 41st in effective field goal percentage (55.8%), 255th in turnovers per game (12.5) and 33rd in two-point shooting (57.9%) on the year. Missouri is a team that plays at a slightly slower than average pace as they are 242nd in adjusted tempo according to KenPom with 66.3 possessions a night. Both teams are sound offensively and mediocre on the defensive end, helping this one over the number.
Betting on College Basketball?
- Join Winners and Whiners premium for free and get a free $30 coupon with code FREE30
- Get started and wager on college hoops today with our favorite online sportsbooks
- Claim a CBB betting bonus offer with the best sportsbook promos
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
