Texas Longhorns vs. Texas A&M Aggies Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 28, 2026
Use Code WWWC It’s a contest on the hardwood as the Texas Longhorns travel within the Lone Star State to battle the Texas A&M Aggies Saturday afternoon in a SEC matchup and we have you covered with our Texas vs. Texas A&M prediction. Texas fell 84-71 at home to #7 Florida in their previous contest Wednesday night, failing to cover the line as a 7.5-point underdog. Texas A&M fell 99-84 to #20 Arkansas on the road Wednesday, failing to cover the line as a 7.5-point underdog, in their previous contest. In the all-time series between the schools, the Longhorns own an 82-61 advantage, but the Aggies picked up a 74-70 road win in the first matchup, which came January 17. Read more about this Texas vs. Texas A&M prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Get our top NCAAB Betting Picks and increase your bankroll!
Texas Trying to Stop Skid
Texas suffered a second straight loss as they were downed at home by #7 Florida in their previous contest as they faded down the stretch. The Longhorns enter this game 17-11 overall, 8-7 in SEC play, and look to pick up an important win here. Against Florida, Texas led by as many as eight in the opening half and held a three-point margin at the half. The Longhorns were up 64-61 with 7:27 remaining only to be outscored 23-7 the rest of the way to wind up with the loss. Texas shot 43.1% from the floor, including five of 13 from beyond the arc, while allowing Florida to shoot 59.3% in the contest. Dailyn Swain led the Longhorns with 21 points, seven rebounds and three steals in the loss.
On the season, Texas has put up an average of 84.6 points per contest, putting them 24th in the nation in scoring offense on the year. The Longhorns are pulling down an average of 38 rebounds per game (58th) while dishing out an average of 12.3 assists (301st) per contest. Texas is giving up an average of 75.7 points per game this season, leaving them 234th in the nation in scoring defense. Motas Vokietaitis is one of four Longhorns in double figures as he puts up an average of 15.6 points plus 6.9 rebounds per game this season. Dailyn Swain (18 points, 7.3 rebounds), Jordan Pope (13 points, two assists) and Tramon Mark (13.1 points) are good secondary scoring options. Simeon Wilcher, Chendall Weaver, Lassina Traore, Camden Heide, Nic Codie and Declan Duru Jr. are other rotation pieces for Sean Miller. Texas is shooting 49.5% from the field as a team this season, which is 22nd in Division I. The Longhorns are knocking down 7.4 three-pointers a night while sinking 35.4% of their attempts from beyond the arc, which is 104th in the country. Texas has been above average at the charity stripe as they are cashing in 74.9% of their attempts this season, putting them 92nd in the nation.
Key Injury Report for Texas:
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- Forward Lassina Traore (knee) is questionable.
Aggies Shooting for Season Sweep
Texas A&M fell for the fifth time in seven games as they were taken down by #20 Arkansas on the road Wednesday night, snapping a two-game skid. The Aggies dropped to 19-9 overall and stand tied for fifth in the SEC with a 9-6 mark. Against Arkansas, Texas A&M started strong, leading 11-2 five minutes into the game, but things unraveled from there. The Aggies were outscored 35-17 the rest of the half to trail by nine at intermission. They got no closer than four in the second half as they went down in defeat. Texas A&M shot 52.6% from the floor, including eight of 25 from beyond the arc, turned the ball over 16 times and allowed Arkansas to shoot 50.8% from the field in the contest. Zach Clemence piled up 29 points off the bench in a losing effort to lead the Aggies.
The Aggies score an average of 88.7 points per game this season coming into this contest, putting them 10th in the nation in scoring offense. Texas A&M pulls down 37.7 rebounds per game (72nd) on the year and dishes out 19 assists a night. The Aggies are 314th in the nation in scoring defense as they allow 79 points a night. Ruben Dominguez is fourth on the Aggies in scoring as he puts up 10.8 points a game this season. Rashaun Agee (14.1 points, 8.8 rebounds) along with Marcus Hill (11.1 points, three rebounds) provide valuable secondary scoring options. Rylan Griffen (11 points), Mckenzie Mgbako (10.4 points, 4.9 rebounds), Pop Isaacs (9.5 points), Jacari Lane, Josh Holloway, Ali Dibba, Zach Clemence, Jamie Vinson and Federiko Federiko are critical pieces for coach Bucky McMillan. Texas A&M is shooting 46.6% from the floor as a team, leaving them 108th in the nation. The Aggies splash 11.1 three-pointers a night but are connecting on 36.7% from beyond the arc, which is 46th in Division I. Texas A&M is converting 74.2% of their chances at the charity stripe on the year, putting them 118th in the nation in that department this season.
Key Injury Report for Texas A&M:
- Forward Mckenzie Mgbako (foot) is done for the year.
Texas vs. Texas A&M Pick
Texas vs. Texas A&M Spread Pick
- Texas A&M -3.5 (4 units)
Both teams have struggled down the stretch as they try to secure an at-large berth in March Madness. Texas has dropped two straight while Texas A&M has lost five of their past seven games entering this one. The Aggies took the first meeting this season in Austin and stand 13-3 at home on the season. Texas is a pedestrian 3-5 as the visiting team on the year. The Longhorns wilted down the stretch against Florida and they have a matchup in Fayetteville to take on Arkansas next. After seeing Texas A&M earn the win in the first meeting on the road, coupled with a variety of scoring options and home court advantage, gives the Aggies the upper hand here.
Texas vs. Texas A&M Over/Under Pick
- Under 161.5 (4 units)
Texas has gone over the mark in 17 of their 27 games with a posted total on the year. The Longhorns are 6th in offensive efficiency, 32nd in effective field goal percentage (55.9%), 62nd in offensive rebounds per game (12.32), 22nd in field goal percentage (49.5%), 37th in two-point shooting (57.5%), 5th in made free throws (20) and 9th in free throws attempted (26.6) per game this season. Texas is 240th in adjusted tempo with 66.3 possessions per contest. Texas A&M has seen the over post a 16-11 mark in their 27 games with a posted total this year. The Aggies are 38th in offensive efficiency, 48th in effective field goal percentage (55.2%), tied for 64th in offensive rebounds per game (12.29) and stand 118th in free throw shooting on the year. Texas A&M is 29th in adjusted tempo as they average 70.6 possessions a game. We saw the first meeting total just 144 points and while both teams are good offensively, this number is a couple points too high. Take the under as a result.
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