Texas Tech vs LSU, Picks and Prediction for Sunday, December 7, 2025

By: Kevin V. Published 12/06/2025, 11:23 PM ET
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On Sunday, the Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-2) play the LSU Tigers (8-0) at Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, Texas, in the tip-off of the USLBM Coast to Coast Challenge. Texas Tech, ranked 19th entering this matchup and 6-2, defeated Wyoming 76-62 last Sunday for its fourth win in the last five games. LSU defeated Boston College 78-69 in overtime on Wednesday, extending its winning streak to eight games to open the season. Make sure to read this in-depth Texas Tech Red Raiders vs LSU Tigers prediction. Elevate your game with our expert NCAAB picks for the Texas Tech Red Raiders at the LSU Tigers prediction and win big!

Texas Tech needs Improvement on offense, but its defense is solid

The Texas Tech Red Raiders score an average of 81.5 points per game, which is 183rd, while allowing an average of 71.5 points per game, which is 108th.Β  Texas Tech is shooting 44.0% overall and 35.2% from 3-point territory, while holding opponents to 44.5% shooting overall at 31.5% from 3-point territory.

JT Toppin leads Texas Tech in scoring, rebounding, and blocked shots, averaging 22.1 points, 11.0 rebounds, and 1.0 blocked shots per game. Christian Andersen is second in scoring, the leader in assists, and the leader in steals, averaging 18.1 points, 6.9 assists, and 2.0 steals per game. Texas Tech has four players who average double figures in scoring. The Red Raiders average 39.4 rebounds, 16.4 assists, 7.6 steals, 3.5 blocked shots, and 10.6 turnovers per game.

Injuries: Jaylen Petty, Marial Akuentok, and Josiah Moseley are questionable for Texas Tech

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LSU's offense is tough to stop

The LSU Tigers score an average of 92.3 points per game, which is 46th, while allowing an average of 68.5 points per game, which is 68th. LSU is shooting 52.7% overall, which is sixth-best in the nation, and 33.7% from 3-point territory. The Tigers hold opponents to 38.6% shooting overall, which is 34th, and 31.1% shooting from 3-point territory.

Mike Nwoko leads LSU in scoring, averaging 16.8 points per game on 72.4% shooting, and Dedan Thomas Jr is second, averaging 15.5 points per game on 50% shooting. LSU has four players who average double figures in scoring. The Tigers average 43.5 rebounds per game, led by Marquell Sutton, averaging 9.0 boards per game. LSU averages 17.0 assists per game, led by Thomas Jr, averaging 7.0 assists per contest. Thomas Jr is also the leader in steals at 1.1 per game, and Robert Miller III is the rim protector, averaging 1.2 blocked shots per game.

Injuries: Jalen Reed is out for LSU

Texas Tech Red Raiders at LSU Tigers Pick

Spread Pick for Texas Tech vs. LSU

  • LSU +6 (4 units)

The LSU Tigers are off to a very strong start at both ends of the court, scoring an average of 92.3 points per game, which is 46th, and allowing an average of 68.5 points per game, which is 68th. The Tigers have the sixth-best field goal shooting percentage at 52.7% and hold opponents to 38.6% shooting overall, which is 34th in the country. Texas Tech scores well at 81.5 points per game but is giving up 71.5 points per game, and opponents are shooting 44.5% overall against the Red Raiders, which is nearly 6 percentage points higher than LSU allows. LSU has covered the spread in each of its last two and in five of the first eight. Texas Tech has covered the spread and just two of its first eight. Look for LSU to control the boards, averaging 43.5 rebounds per game to just 39.4 for Texas Tech, and shut down the Red Raiders' offense to win by double digits.

Over/Under Pick for Texas Tech vs. LSU

  • Under 152.5 ( 5 units)

The total has finished under in five of Texas Tech’s eight games this season, including each of the last three. The total has finished under in two of LSU’s last three games. LSU is holding opponents to just 68.5 points per game, and Texas Tech allows just 71.5 points per game. Texas Tech has an adjusted tempo per KenPom of only 67.4, which is 248th, while LSU’s AdjT is 70.7, which is 107th.

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