Texas vs Connecticut College Basketball Picks and Predictions For December 12, 2025

By: Kyle Kargel Published 12/12/2025, 11:24 AM ET
Texas guard Tramon Mark
Use Code WWWC

Texas and Connecticut meet in a high-profile neutral-site matchup that has quickly become one of the most discussed college basketball picks on the board. UConn is closing out a demanding non-conference stretch, while Texas looks to prove it can hang defensively against elite competition.

Quick Picks and Prediction

  • Spread: Texas +14.5
  • Total: Over 145
  • Projected Final Score: Connecticut 79, Texas 68

Odds and Line Movement

Opening Odds

Team Spread Total
Texas +13.5 (-115) Over 147 (-115)
Connecticut -13.5 (-105) Under 147 (-105)

Current Odds

Team Spread Total
Texas +14.5 (-104) Over 145 (-110)
Connecticut -14.5 (-118) Under 145 (-110)

Line Movement - Spread

Date Time Texas Connecticut Public
12/11 01:21PM +13.5 (-115) -13.5 (-105) CONN 83%, 50%
12/11 09:25PM +14.5 (-110) -14.5 (-110) CONN 89%, 67%
12/12 09:30AM +14.5 (-104) -14.5 (-118) CONN 83%, 50%

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under
12/11 01:21PM 147 (-115) 147 (-105)
12/11 07:10PM 146 (-110) 146 (-110)
12/12 03:22AM 145 (-110) 145 (-110)

Connecticut

UConn is looking to wrap an impressive two-week stretch that has already featured wins away from home against Illinois, Kansas and Florida. The Huskies earned a 77-73 win over the defending champs from Gainesville on Tuesday at Madison Square Garden.

Solo Ball led the way with 19 points and a trio of made three-pointers against the Gators. This will be UConn’s fourth marquee game since Black Friday, and the first three all came away from home as Dan Hurley continues to challenge his roster with aggressive scheduling.

Texas

Texas needs to show something on defense in this matchup because the Longhorns have been torched in all of their marquee non-conference games thus far. Their best defensive performance came in the opener against Duke when Texas held the Blue Devils to 75 points in Las Vegas.

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Since then, Sean Miller’s team has allowed 87 points to Arizona State, 97 points to NC State and 88 points to Virginia. The biggest issue in those contests was Texas putting opponents on the free throw line, with Arizona State attempting 36, NC State 28 and Virginia 29 free throws.

Key Matchups and Handicap

If Texas can maintain defensive position without fouling, the Longhorns can remain competitive in this matchup. Texas is likely catching Connecticut at an ideal time, with the Huskies nearing the end of a demanding non-conference run before opening Big East play against Butler.

The Longhorns possess several traits you want to see in an underdog at this number. They protect the ball well and are strong on the glass, which should help them shorten possessions and avoid the type of run that could lead to a blowout.

Connecticut has drawn heavy public support throughout its non-conference schedule, while Texas has struggled to cover spreads in step-up matchups against elite opponents.

TEX and CONN Key Injuries and Notes

Both teams enter this matchup without significant rotation changes impacting availability.

ATS and Total Picks

  • Texas +14.5
  • Over 145

Final Score Prediction

Connecticut 79, Texas 68

How to Bet Texas vs Connecticut

Backing an underdog like Texas at this price can make sense when the Longhorns can control tempo and limit free throws. Bettors looking to lock in the best value should compare sportsbook promo codes and shop lines at the best sportsbooks available.

For alternative betting options, social sportsbooks offer a different approach, while traditional bettors can explore offers like the bet365 bonus code or the fliff promo code to maximize their bankroll.

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