Toledo Rockets vs. Ohio Bobcats Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 28th, 2026
Use Code WWWC The Toledo Rockets (15-13, 13-13 ATS,11-15 O/U) meet the Ohio Bobcats (15-13, 11-15 ATS, 13-13 O/U) in a MAC clash on Saturday afternoon, and we have you covered with the prediction. The Rockets earned a home win against Northern Illinois on Wednesday. The Bobcats recorded a win against Northern Illinois in their recent action. Toledo earned a home win in the first meeting.
Can the Bobcats record a third straight win on Saturday? Check out the Toledo vs. Ohio Prediction. Do you need a boost in your handicapping? Try our NCAAB Picks!
Toledo Seeks 10th MAC Win
The Toledo Rockets are eying their 10th MAC win of the season. They stand at 9-6 in MAC play. Toledo is having an inconsistent season, but it has a potent offense. The Rockets had a great start to conference action, amassing a 3-0 record after wins against Central Michigan and Northern Illinois.
Toledo has been hit or miss since. They lost by 10 points against Akron and another 10 points against Bowling Green in their previous road game. The Rockets posted a 79-69 home win against Northern Illinois on Tuesday to cover the 12-point spread. Toledo connected on 47% of its shots and kept NIU to a 47% efficiency. The Rockets have covered the spread in three of their past five games.
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Sonny Wilson has scored at least 15 points in five straight games. The junior guard dropped 17 points on Tuesday and has delivered an average of 17.2 PPG on the year. Leroy Blyden Jr. has scored double digits in every conference game. The freshman guard has issued an average of 15.7 PPG.
Sean Craig has sunk at least 12 points in three of his past five efforts. The senior forward is averaging 12 PPG. Austin Parks has been a threat, sinking 50% of his field goals in five of his past six games. The junior center has yielded 11.2 PPG on 61% shooting. Kyler Vanderjagt scored five points on Tuesday. The senior guard has issued an average of 9.5 PPG.
The Rockets are ranked 155th in DI in Ken Pomeroy’s ratings and are 4-7 on the road, including a win against Northern Illinois. Toledo is scoring an average of 81.3 points on the season, ranking them 96th. The Rockets have conceded 73 or more points in three of their past five games and are squandering an average of 77.2 points, placing them 245th.
Ohio Records Second Straight Win
The Ohio Bobcats are seeking their third straight victory. Ohio is having a solid season and has reported a 9-6 mark in conference play. Ohio won five games in a row earlier in MAC action, including a loss against borrowing Green and a win against Eastern Michigan.
The Bobcats stand at 3-2 in their past five clashes. They lost a road meeting against Miami, Ohio, two weeks ago, and have answered with two straight wins. Ohio took down Ball State along with a 74-66 road win against Northern Illinois in their recent action last week to cover the six-point spread. They shot 48% in the win while NIU shot 50%. The Bobcats have covered the spread in three of their past five games.
Jackson Paveletzke has been consistent most of the season. The senior guard has reached 20 points six times in conference play, including 22 points in the defeat against Miami OH. Paveletzke is sporting an average of 16.7 PPG. Javan Simmons scored 23 points in the win last weekend. The junior forward is averaging 14.1 PPG.
Aidan Hadaway has scored at least 12 points in five of his last six outings. The senior forward has recorded 14 PPG. JJ Kelly has shot above 50% in three of his past five games. The freshman guard has netted an average of 9 PPG. Ajay Sheldon has reached double digits in three of his last five efforts. The senior guard has posted 7.6 PPG.
The Bobcats are ranked 220th in the country in Ken Pomeroy’s ratings and are 10-4 at home, including a defeat vs. Akron. Ohio is averaging 77.1 points on the year, marking them 188th. The Bobcats have conceded 71 or fewer points in three of their past five games and are squandering an average of 76.6 points, pegging them 222nd.
Toledo vs. Ohio Pick
Spread Pick for Toledo vs. Ohio
- Ohio Bobcats -1 (5 units)
The Toledo Rockets have been inconsistent and have posted a subpar 3-3 record in their past six games. They have not been able to get it done on the road, dropping five of their past six road games. The Ohio Bobcats are in a groove, winning two straight games, covering in each win.
Furthermore, the Rockets' defense has been exposed in MAC play. They are pegged 320th in DI in field goal defense and 250th in adjusted defensive efficiency. Toledo leans heavily on the scoring, but has been kept in check, scoring 73 or fewer points in three of their past six games. The Bobcats have the better adjusted defensive efficiency rating. Toledo is a huge threat offensively, but Ohio has also been a threat in the past few weeks, averaging 79 points in its past five games. Ohio shot 50% in the first meeting against the Rockets.
Over/Under Pick for Toledo vs. Ohio
- Over 158.5 (5 units)
I expect plenty of scoring. Toledo pushes the pace, standing 3130th in adjusted tempo, and as mentioned, is a threat from beyond the arc, seen in its 35.9% efficiency. This is key as the Bobcats are pegged 332nd in the country in three-point defense.
In addition, the Bobcats are clicking in the offensive end on their home court, averaging 79 points in their past five home games. The Rockets' defense is a weakness. The Rockets have squandered at least 75 points in four of their past six games. The over cashed by 25 points in the first meeting. The over is a convincing 6-0 in the past six meetings between these squads.
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