Troy Trojans vs San Diego State Aztecs Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, November 18, 2025
Use Code WWWC On Tuesday, the Troy Trojans (3-2) are on the road with a visit to San Diego and Viejas Arena to play the San Diego State Aztecs (2-0). Troy lost its most recent game 94-85 to CSU Northridge. The Trojans have lost two straight after opening the season with three consecutive wins. San Diego has won each of its first two games, opening the season with a 77-45 victory over Long Beach State, followed by a 73-57 win over Idaho State. Make sure to read this in-depth Troy Trojans vs San Diego State prediction. Court-side insights! Don’t miss our free NCAAB picks for the Troy Trojans at San Diego State Aztecs prediction today.
Troy has performed well at both ends
The Troy Trojans are scoring an average of 87.8 points per game, while allowing an average of just 72.0 points per game. The Trojans are shooting 48.1% overall and 37% from three-point range. Troy is holding opponents to 44.6% shooting overall and 36.8% from three-point land.
Troy’s top two scorers are Cooper Campbell, who averages 16.5 points per game on 58.7% shooting, and Victor Valdes, who averages 15.2 points per game on 48% shooting. Troy has three other players who average double figures in scoring. Troy averages 34.2 rebounds per game, led by Thomas Dowd with an average of 9.8 boards per contest. Dowd is the rim protector as well, averaging 1.0 blocks per game. Campbell is the dish leader, averaging 5.2 assists per game and the leader in steals at 2.8 per contest. As a team, Troy averages 18.0 assists and 12.4 turnovers per game.
Injuries: Troy does not have any players listed on its injury report
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San Diego State is all about defense
The San Diego State Aztecs score an average of 75.0 points per game, but it's the defense that is their key to success, holding opponents to an average of 51.0 points per game, which is currently second in the country. San Diego State shoots 50.5% overall and 42.5% from 3-point territory, while holding opponents to 37.5% shooting overall and 26.7% from three-point land.
The top two scorers for San Diego State are Reese Dixon-Waters, who averages 15.0 points per game on 75% shooting, and Elzie Harrington, who averages 10.5 points per game on 53.8% shooting. San Diego State has one other player who averages double figures in scoring. The Aztecs average 30.0 rebounds per game, led by Miles Heide with an average of 5.0 boards per contest. Miles Byrd is the dish leader, averaging 4.5 assists per game, and the leader in steals at 3.5 per game. Pharaoh Compton is the rim protector, averaging 1.5 blocked shots per game. San Diego State averages 16.5 assists and 13.5 turnovers per game.
Injuries: Magoon Gwath is probable
Troy Trojans vs. San Diego State Aztecs Pick
Spread Pick for Troy vs. San Diego State
- San Diego State Aztecs (4 units)
The San Diego State Aztecs have one of the best defenses in the nation, holding opponents to 51.0 points per game on 37.5% shooting overall and 26.7% shooting from 3-point land. At the same time, San Diego State's offense, although methodical, is performing well, scoring 75 points per game on 50.5% shooting overall, and 42.5% from 3-point land. San Diego State is 1-1 ATS, covering as a 25-point favorite over Long Beach State and failing to cover as a 21-point favorite, although winning straight up by 22 points, over Idaho State. Troy is 2-2 ATS but has failed to cover each of its last two with losses to Loyola Marymount and CSN Northridge. Opponents are shooting 44.6% overall versus Troy, and the Trojans are committing 12.4 turnovers per game. Troy is averaging just 34.2 rebounds per game and allowing opponents 40.8 rebounds per game.
Over/Under Pick for Troy vs. San Diego State
- Under (4 units)
San Diego State plays a very slow-paced game and will dictate the flow at home on Tuesday. The Aztecs have an adjusted tempo per KenPom of 69.6, which is 263rd, while Troy’s AdjT is 70.9, which is 169th. These two AdjTs combined are more conducive to a low-scoring outcome. The total has finished over in each of San Diego State’s first two games and in two of Troy’s last three games.
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