UAB Blazers vs. South Florida Bulls Picks, Prediction, Odds and Line Movement for Sunday, January 4, 2026
It’s an AAC contest on the hardwood as the UAB Blazers make the trip to the Sunshine State to battle the South Florida Bulls Sunday afternoon and we have you covered with our UAB vs. South Florida prediction. UAB fell 75-70 at home to Wichita State in their previous contest Wednesday, losing outright as a 3.5-point favorite. South Florida downed Georgia College 111-50 at home in their previous contest Monday, in a game with no posted line. In the all-time series between the schools, the Blazers own a 43-21 advantage and have won the last six meetings, including an 85-78 home win in the most recent matchup February 16, 2025. Read more about this UAB vs. South Florida prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!
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Blazers Seek to Tame Bulls for Seventh Straight Time
UAB saw their two-game win streak snapped as they were beaten at home by Wichita State in their previous contest. The Blazers fell to 9-5 overall and stand 0-1 in the AAC on the year as they take the floor here. Against Wichita State, UAB scored the game’s first eight points, led by as many as 16 in the opening half and by 13 at intermission before things unraveled. The Blazers led 64-60 with 5:34 remaining only to get outscored 15-6 the rest of the way en route to the loss. UAB shot 43.9% from the field, including three of 12 from beyond the arc, and lost the rebounding battle 40-30 in the game. Daniel Rivera led the Blazers with 18 points and five rebounds in the loss.
The Blazers enter this contest putting up an average of 82.3 points per contest on the year, putting them 90th in the nation in scoring offense. UAB grabs 41.9 rebounds per contest (25th) and passes out 15.1 assists per contest on the year. The Blazers are above average on the defensive end, ranking 119th in scoring defense by allowing 70.7 points per game. Chance Westry is one of five players in double figures as he puts up 15.1 points plus 3.7 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game this season. Jacob Meyer (13.8 points, 3.7 rebounds), Ahmad Robinson (12.4 points, 3.9 assists), Daniel Rivera (11.1 points, seven rebounds) and KyeRon Lindsay-Martin (10.6 points, 6.9 rebounds) are solid secondary scoring options. Evan Chatman, Salim London, Quaran McPherson, Dayjuan Anderson and Ari Gooch are important role players for Andy Kennedy’s team this season. The Blazers shoot 46% from the field as a team on the year. UAB knocks down 5.7 triples per game while sinking 28.7% from beyond the arc as a team, leaving them 351st in the nation. The Blazers are converting 69.7% of their attempts at the charity stripe this season, which is 246th in the nation.
Key Injury Report for UAB:
- No Key Injuries
South Florida Shooting to Start Conference Play on Right Foot
South Florida won their second straight and fourth in the last five games as they trounced Georgia College in their previous contest. The Bulls enter this contest 8-5 overall and look to start conference play on a positive note. Against Georgia College, South Florida briefly trailed 14-13 before going on a 16-5 run to take a 29-19 lead with 9:27 to play in the opening half. The Bulls were off and running from there, leading 61-31 at the half and by as many as 61 en route to the win. South Florida shot 50.7% from the field, including 13 of 37 from three-point range, owned a 50-36 edge on the glass and forced 23 turnovers in the win. Izaiyah Nelson led the Bulls with 25 points and 12 boards in the win.
The Bulls are solid offensively as they put up an average of 91.1 points per game, which is 16th in the nation in scoring offense. South Florida is good on the glass as they collect 42.2 rebounds per contest and dish out an average of 17.5 assists a night. The Bulls are below average defensively, ranking 304th in the nation by holding opposing teams to 78.4 points per game. Five players are averaging in double figures for South Florida led by Izaiyah Nelson’s 15.3 points and 9.8 rebounds per game. Joseph Pinion (14.5 points), Josh Omojafo (14.3 points, 4.8 rebounds), CJ Brown (12.8 points, 4.2 rebounds, 5.5 assists) and Wes Enis (12.4 points) are solid secondary scoring options. Adriel Nyorha, Isaiah Jones, Damion Collins, Tristan Beckford, Devin Haid, Gavin Hightower and Caleb Sanders are rotation pieces for the Bulls. South Florida shoots 44.5% from the field as a team on the year. The Bulls drain 9.6 triples per game while shooting 32.5% from beyond the arc. South Florida is good at the free throw line as they convert 74.7% of their attempts this season, putting them 87th in the nation.
Key Injury Report for South Florida:
- No Key Injuries
UAB vs. South Florida Pick
UAB vs. South Florida Spread Pick
- South Florida -6.5 (4 units)
UAB has had the upper hand in this series of late but this one is going to be a stiff challenge. We just saw the Blazers cough up a 16-point lead at home against Wichita State and now they have to go on the road for this contest. UAB is 1-2 on the road this season, losing by 24 to NC State and by 15 to Middle Tennessee while downing Drake by five. Meanwhile, South Florida is a perfect 6-0 at home, with five of those wins coming by at least 13 points. That includes a win over Utah State, who is 30th in the KenPom rankings, and their losses have come to good teams away from home. The Bulls run and gun their way past the Blazers to pick up the home win.
UAB vs. South Florida Over/Under Pick
- Over 162.5 (4 units)
Both teams are capable of putting up big offensive numbers. UAB is 103rd in offensive efficiency, 228th in effective field goal percentage (49.9%), 4th in turnover percentage (13.2%) and 46th in offensive rebounding percentage (36.3%) on the year. The Blazers like to run, ranking 121st in adjusted tempo with 70 possessions a night. UAB has seen the under post an 8-5 mark in their 13 games with a posted total. South Florida has gone over the total in seven of their 12 games with a posted total so far this season. The Bulls rely on their offense as they are 83rd in offensive efficiency, 187th in effective field goal percentage (50.9%), 74th in turnover percentage (15.3%) and 20th in offensive rebounding percentage (38.8%) this season. South Florida plays at an above average tempo as they are 21st with 73.1 possessions per game. Look for these teams to pile up points and fly past the total.
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