UConn Huskies vs Duke Blue Devils, Picks and Prediction for Sunday, March 29, 2026
Use Code WWWC It’s the Elite 8 in the NCAA Tournament on Sunday, March 29. Read our Duke Blue Devils vs UConn Huskies prediction along with our NCAAB picks. Duke is 35-2 and they are the No. 1 seed in the East Region. UConn is the No. 2 seed in the tournament with a 32-5 record. Both teams are capable of reaching the national title game, making this matchup a really great to clash to watch. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 5:05 P.M. EST.
Duke edges St. John’s in Sweet 16 battle
Duke is 35-2 overall this season. They are the No. 1 seed in the East Region. After surviving a first round victory over No. 16 Siena, the Blue Devils took down No. 9 TCU with ease. On Friday, Duke defeated St. John’s 80-75 in the Sweet 16 thanks to a strong a finish in the win. The Blue Devils have won 14 straight games, dating back to early February.
Cameron Boozer leads the team with 22.4 points and 4.4 assists per game, along with 10.3 rebounds per game.
Duke is the 3rd ranked team in the nation, according to KenPom. They are the sixth ranked offensive team, while they are also the second-best ranked defensive team.
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Duke is averaging 83 points per game, which ranks 61st in the nation. They are shooting 49.6% from the field, which ranks 19th. The Blue Devils are making 35.3% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 107th.
On defense, Duke is allowing 62.5 points per game, which ranks second-best. They are the seventh-best ranked defensive team, allowing 38.9% from the field. The Blue Devils are giving up 30.1% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 21st.
Duke is 20-16 against the spread this season. The Blue Devils are 2-4 against the spread during the NCAA Tournament and ACC Tournament. Duke is 19-16 against the spread as a favorite this year. They are 4-5 against the spread as a single-digit favorite. The under is 23-13 when Duke has played this year. The over is 4-2 during the postseason.
UConn outlasts Michigan State in the Sweet 16
UConn is 32-5 overall this season. They are the No. 2 seed in the tournament. The Huskies started the NCAA Tournament with an 11-point win over Furman. They followed it with a double-digit win over UCLA. In their last game, the Huskies defeated No. 3 Michigan State 67-63 in an impressive victory in the Sweet 16.
Tarris Reed Jr. leads the team with 14.3 points per game and 8.8 rebounds, while Silas Demary is dishing out 6.1 assists per game.
UConn is the 10th ranked team in the nation, according to KenPom. They are ranked 30th in the country on the offensive end. They are also the ninth ranked defensive team.
UConn is averaging 78.2 points per game, which ranks 144th in the nation. They are the 36th ranked shooting team, making 48.4% from the field. The Huskies are making 35.7% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 85th.
On defense, UConn is allowing 65.3 points per game, which ranks 10th. They are the 17th ranked defensive team, allowing 40.1% from the field. The Huskies are also the 35th ranked 3-point defensive team, giving up 30.8% from behind the arc.
UConn is 14-22 against the spread this season. The Huskies are 4-2 against the spread during the NCAA Tournament and Big East Tournament. UConn has covered in six of their last 10 games. The Huskies are 1-0 against the spread when playing as an underdog this year. The under is 19-17 when UConn has played this season. The under is 4-2 when playing during the postseason. The under is 7-3 in their last 10 games.
Duke Blue Devils vs UConn Huskies Picks
Duke vs UConn Spread Pick
- Take UConn to cover (5 units)
The Huskies have only been underdogs once this season. But, they are peaking at the right moment with a big win over Michigan State in the last round. UConn’s defense and outside shooting is coming together at a perfect moment. Duke started the NCAA Tournament with a shock comeback win over No. 16 Siena. The Blue Devils have not played to their potential throughout the postseason, which makes me believe that they are vulnerable against a tough UConn team that consistent plays close games in the Big East. UConn has covered six of their last 10 games coming into this matchup. Duke is 2-4 against the spread during the NCAA Tournament. They are also 4-5 against the spread as a single-digit favorite.
Take UConn to cover.
Duke vs UConn Over/Under Pick
- Take the Under (5 units)
For UConn to win this game, the Huskies are going to want to slow the tempo down and limit possessions. The Huskies are the 320th ranked adjusted tempo team in the nation. Duke also wants to play slow, as they rank 286th in tempo. Expect slow possessions and strong rebounding to highlight this meeting. The under is 7-3 in UConn’s last 10 games. The under is 23-13 when Duke has played this year.
Take the under on Sunday.
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