UConn vs. Kansas Picks and Prediction, Tuesday, December 2, 2025

By: Michael Briggs Published 12/02/2025, 10:11 AM ET
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On Tuesday, the UConn Huskies will play the Kansas Jayhawks on the hardwood at Allen Fieldhouse, and we have you ready to go with our UConn vs. KansasΒ prediction, odds, and preview. Tip-off from Lawrence, KS, is at 9:00 p.m. ET.

The Huskies are 1.5-point spread favorites, and the game total is 140.5 points scored.

These programs played in 2023, a game KU won 69-65. If you want the UConn vs. Kansas prediction, read on to get our topΒ NCAAB predictionsΒ and increase your bankroll!

Healthy again, UConn is a deep and talented team

UConn (6-1 SU, 2-5 ATS, and 2-5 O/U) beat Illinois 74-61 in New York last Friday, covering the 4.5-point spread. The Huskies led by 11 at the half and held off the Illini's comeback efforts with a strong defensive effort. U of I shot just 32 percent overall, including 6-for-29 (21%) from three-point distance. Connecticut averages 82.6 points per game (199th) on 49.5 percent shooting (52nd), and its opponents score 61.4 points per game (7th) on 37.5 percent shooting (22nd), including 25.5 percent from long range (11th).

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The Huskies were 24-11 last season, finishing third in theΒ Big East with a 14-6 conference record. They sought to become the first college basketball team to win three straight national championships since UCLA won seven straight (1966–67 to 1972–73), but lost to eventual champion Florida in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. UConn is led by eighth-year head coach Dan Hurley, who has compiled a 171-70 record in Storrs.

The 2025-26 Huskies squad was picked to finish second behind St. John's in the Big East's preseason poll. They placed three players on the preseason All-Big East First Team: junior guard Solo Ball (14.3 PPG and 3.7 RPG this season), senior forward Alex Karaban (14.0 PPG and 5.7 RPG), and senior center Tarris Reed Jr. (15.5 PPG, 8.3 RPG, and 2.0 BPG). Retaining all three was significant, along with junior forward Jaylin Stewart (6.9 PPG and 3.7 RPG). Hurley also strengthened the roster through the transfer portal and high school ranks. Silas Demary Jr. was a significant addition, as the Georgia transfer fills a need at point guard. The 6-foot-5 junior has a desired blend of size, athleticism, and work ethic, and averaged 19.0 points over the final 10 games last season. Another Huskie to watch against BYU is senior guard Malachi Smith (10.4 PPG and 5.3 APG at Dayton last season).

UConn Huskies Injury Report:

  • No injuries to report for Tuesday's game at Kansas.

Jayhawks are battle-tested, but are they weary?

Kansas (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS, and 2-6 O/U) defeated Tennessee 81-76 as 7.5-point underdogs in its last game. The Jayhawks won three games in the Players Era Tournament, strengthening their non-conference resume after taking earlier losses to North Carolina and Duke. In the win over the Vols, they exploded for 45 second-half points, finishing strong after trailing by as many as 12. They forced their way to the charity stripe often (26-for-30 FT shooting) and scored 32 points in the paint.

Kansas lost significant production from last season's team, most notably point guard Dajuan Harris Jr. and center Hunter Dickinson. Talented guards Rylan Griffen and Zeke Mayo are also gone, forcing Sell to recruit hard (six incoming frosh) and hit the transfer portal to fill those holes. KU returns six letterwinners, including sophomore forward Flory Bidunga (15.8 PPG and 8.4 RPG this season), a defensive presence who averages 2.6 blocks. Unlike Dickinson, he makes opponents think twice about attacking the Jayhawks at the rim. Senior guards Melvin Council Jr. (10.8 PPG and 5.3 APG), a St. Bonaventure transfer, and Tre White (14.4 PPG and 6.4 RPG), a portal addition from Illinois, are also key contributors for Kansas. True freshman guard Darryn Peterson, a top NBA prospect who scored 22 vs UNC, will be sidelined for the immediate future with a hamstring injury that has limited him to two games.

Kansas averages 76.3 points per game (279th) on 47.3 percent shooting (108th), including 33.5 percent from beyond the arc (192nd). Defensively, the Jayhawks surrender 64.5 points per game (20th) on 37.4 percent shooting (21st), including 24.5 percent from three (7th). KU is ranked 20th in the country, with rankings of 51st in offensive efficiency and 9th in defensive efficiency, according to KenPom.

Kansas Jayhawks Injury Report:

  • Peterson last played on Nov. 7. His status for Tuesday's game against UConn is unclear.
  • Senior guard Jayden Dawson (4.3 PPG in six games) is questionable (wrist). He hasn't played since Nov. 24.

UConn vs. Kansas Pick and Preview

Spread Pick for UConn vs. Kansas

  • Huskies -1.5 (5 Units)

I'm not as convinced by the Jayhawks' progress as the oddsmakers, who have them getting just one point on the spread against UConn on Tuesday. With or without Peterson taking the court for KU, I favor the Huskies, who are healthy again after missing Reed for three games, including their only loss to Arizona. The big man is a key piece for Hurley's squad, and he should be closer to 100 percent after playing 15 minutes against Illinois. His presence vastly improves the Huskies' frontcourt depth, and he'll be an x-factor in their defense of Bidunga and Kansas' slashing guards. While the Jayhawks' win over Tennessee was impactful, it's a bit overstated. It was the third game of an early-season holiday tournament, and UT clearly wasn't as sharp as it was in its momentous win over Houston. The Volunteers led at the half and most of the second half, but I'm not sure how important the third-place game was to them. UT guard Ja'Kobi Gillespie's uncharacteristically awful shooting performance (5-for-19, including 1-for-10 from three) certainly helped Kansas win that one.

I'm also concerned about Kansas' depth in this matchup. It features a top-heavy rotation, with just four healthy players scoring more than 6.4 points per game. They aren't a reliable three-point shooting team and will find it challenging to score around the rim against the Huskies (2nd in opponent near-proximity shooting percentage). Connecticut, meanwhile, is deep and plays like a squad with a variety of scoring options (5th in assist/turnover ratio). They'll take the open shots the defense gives them and will get to the foul line frequently (22nd in FT attempt rate). Unlike Kansas, UConn didn't participate in a multi-game Thanksgiving tourney, and has played just once since November 23. Following a convincing neutral-court win over Illinois β€” which they led by as many as 21 points and from start to finish β€” I believe they'll win and cover the 1.5-point spread on Tuesday in Lawrence.

Over/Under Pick for UConn vs. Kansas

  • Under 140.5 (4 Units)

Betting Trends: The under is 5-1 in KU's previous six games and 4-1 in UConn's last five.

These teams will be competitive for a good portion of the game, with neither team dominating offensively or shooting a high percentage from the floor. While both could get to the free-throw line frequently, I don't see that being enough to push the total over 140 points, especially given the visitors' free-throw shooting woes (70.3% this season and 50% in their loss to Arizona). Kansas' elite three-point defense will force UConn to settle for more mid-range jumpers, while the Huskies will prevent the Jayhawks from scoring many buckets in the paint. I also feel confident that Connecticut will slow down the pace (312th in schedule-adjusted tempo), which Kansas will be comfortable with (239th in adjusted tempo).

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