UNLV Rebels vs Fresno State Bulldogs Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Tuesday, February 3, 2026
It’s a big game in the Mountain West Conference on Tuesday, Feb. 3. Read our UNLV vs Fresno State prediction along with our NCAAB picks for the night. UNLV is 10-11 and they have a 5-5 conference record. The Rebels are struggling to find winning plays as they have lost three straight. Fresno State is also 10-11 with a 4-6 league record. The Bulldogs have won two of their last three home games. UNLV did defeat Fresno State by 12 points in the first meeting. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 11 P.M. EST.
Get Free $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Discounts
Subscribe Now
UNLV struggling with three straight losses
UNLV is 10-11 overall this season. The Rebels are in sixth place in the Mountain West with a 5-5 conference record. UNLV has a 4-3 road record this season. After winning three straight games, UNLV has lost three in-a-row.
In their last game, UNLV lost 89-76 to Nevada on the road on Friday, Jan. 30. It was a wire-to-wire win for the Wolf Pack as UNLV could never get out of an early hold. Nevada led 9-0 after the opening four minutes of the game. The Rebels shot 46% from the field and 42% from behind the 3-point line. Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn the team with 26 points on 10-for-17 shooting.
UNLV defeated Fresno State 84-72 in the first game of the conference schedule on Dec. 20.
Gibbs-Lawhorn leads the team with 17.5 points per game. Howie Flemin Jr. leads the team with 5.7 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game.
According to KenPom, UNLV is the 136th ranked team in the nation. They are 124rd in defensive rating and 167th on the defensive end.
UNLV is averaging 78 points per game, which ranks 186th. They are shooting 45.8% from the field, which ranks 150th. They are the 297th ranked 3-point shooting team, making 31.8% from behind the arc.
On defense, UNLV is allowing 77.9 points per game, which ranks 251st. They are the 259th ranked defensive team, allowing 45.3% from the field. The Rebels are giving up 34.5% from behind the arc, placing them 241st.
UNLV is 9-11 against the spread this season. The Rebels are 4-3 against the spread when playing on the road. They are 5-5 against the spread in Mountain West play. The Rebels are 3-0 against the spread as a favorite against league foes. They are 2-5 against the spread as an underdog in conference play. The over is 11-9 when UNLV has played. The over is 4-3 when UNLV has played on the road. The under is 5-4 when UNLV has been a favorite with the under hitting in five straight instances.
Fresno State finding form at home
Fresno State is 10-11 overall this season. The Bulldogs are 4-6 this season in Mountain West Conference play as they are in eighth place. Fresno State have a 7-5 home record this year. They have won three of their last five games. The Bulldogs have also won two of their last three home games.
In their latest game, Fresno State defeated 79-62 away from home on Saturday, Jan. 31. Fresno State went on a 14-3 run in the second half which was a big difference in giving them some breathing room and confidence in taking the win. The Bulldogs shot 47% from the field and 41% from behind the 3-point line in the win. David Douglas Jr. led the team with 21 points on 7-for-11 shooting.
Jake Heidbreder leads the team with 17.2 points per game. Wilson Jacques is grabbing 8.5 rebounds, while Aaron Collins is passing for 4.9 assist per game.
Fresno State is 135th in the nation according to KenPom. The Bulldogs are the 231st ranked offensive team in the nation, while they also rank 68th in defensive rating.
Fresno State is averaging 72.1 points per game, which ranks 305th. They are shooting 43.8% from the field, placing them 267th. The Bulldogs are hitting 31.6% from behind the arc, which ranks 307th.
On defense, Fresno State is allowing 70.3 points per game, which ranks 67th. They are the 156th ranked defensive team, giving up 43.3% from the field. The Bulldogs are the 6th best 3-point defensive team, giving up just 27.7% from behind the arc.
Fresno State is 13-7 against the spread this season. The Bulldogs are 8-4 against the spread at home this season. Fresno State is also 4-1 against the spread at home against conference opponents. The under is 12-8 when Fresno State has played this season. The under is 7-5 when they have played at home. 
UNLV Rebels vs Fresno State Bulldogs Picks
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sean Higgs | +1,855.00 |
| 2 |  Joe Duffy | +1,497.00 |
| 3 |  Ben Burns | +1,112.00 |
| 4 |  Ross Benjamin | +618.00 |
| 5 |  Bryan Power | +607.00 |
UNLV vs Fresno State Spread Pick
- Take Fresno State to cover (5 units)
These two teams couldn’t be more equal on the season. KenPom has the two teams separated by one just one spot in their overall rankings. The big difference is going to be Fresno State’s defense, which is excellent. They have the 67th ranked scoring defense and they rank sixth best in 3-point defense. In a low scoring game, Fresno State’s defense will be key in helping the home team keep its strong form at home. They have won two of their last three home games, while UNLV have lost three straight outings. The Rebels rank 297th in 3-point shooting, a big perimeter day for the Rebels is not likely in this game.
Take Fresno State to cover.
UNLV vs Fresno State Over/Under Pick
- Take the under (5 units)
Fresno State’s defense continues to not just be one of the best in the conference, but it is one of the best in the nation. KenPom has the team’s defense ranked 68th. The pace of the game shouldn’t be too fast with UNLV ranked 186th in points per game. The under is 7-5 when Fresno State has played at home.
Take the under on Tuesday.
Betting on College Basketball?
- Join Winners and Whiners premium for free and get a free $30 coupon with code FREE30
- Get started and wager on college hoops today with our favorite online sportsbooks
- Claim a CBB betting bonus offer with the best sportsbook promos
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
Bet $5 & Get $150 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose
