UNLV vs. Maryland, Picks and Prediction, Monday, Nov. 24, 2025

By: Ben Hayes Published 11/24/2025, 10:57 AM ET
UNLV vs. Maryland prediction
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The Players Era men's tournament continues with a game played at 12amET on Monday night from Las Vegas. in this UNLV vs. Maryland prediction. UNLV (3-2) is the road team even though they are playing at home. Confusing? Yes, but welcome to holiday tournament season. But the Rebels will face No. 11 Alabama on Tuesday and then after that, it becomes a tournament format. Maryland (4-1) is struggling with injuries and hopes that it can win this matchup before facing No. 13 Gonzaga on Tuesday. The Terps are a 2.5-point favorite and the total is 162.5. Check out more free college basketball predictions and picks from other sports at Winners and Whiners.

Rebels are Runnin'

UNLV used to be called the Runnin' Rebels back in the Jerry Tarkanian years and that name fit. This season, they are 14th in Adjusted Tempo according to KenPom and they're averaging over 93 points per game after beating St. Joe's 99-85 on Nov. 20 at home. Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn led six players in double digits with 20 points, adding eight boards.

Sophomore Jacob Barnabie, a 6-9, 235-pound forward from Alaska, added 12 points and 11 rebounds with four assists against the Hawks. He's averaging 7.8 points and 5.6 rebounds. UNLV has won two straight over the Hawks and Memphis (92-78) as they were a 9.5-point dog against the Tigesr. That came after a 102-93 loss at home to Montana as a 10-point favorite. They also opened the season with an 86-81 defeat at home against Tennessee-Martin as a 17-point favorite.

Injuries have been an issue as Ladji Dembele (6-8, 255) has missed the last two games with a foot injury. The Iowa transfer is averaging 7.8 points and five rebounds in the first three games. UC Irvine transfer Myles Che, who averaged 12.3 points last season with the Anteaters, is also out with a foot injury.

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The Rebels are ranked 98th overall according to KenPom and is 64th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency.

Key Injuries for UNLV:

  • F Ladji Dembele (foot) is doubtful.

Terps need Coit to take down Mount St. Mary's

Maryland needed a 41-point performance from David Coit, a Kansas transfers, who led the team to a 95-90 overtime win over Mount St. Mary's on Wednesday. That performance tied him with Gene Shue, Len Bias and Greivis Vasquez for the third-most points in program history.

Coit is a 5-11 senior who is averaging just over 18 points per game and had just dropped 19 points at Marquette in an 89-82 win. Maryland's only loss came at home against local rival Georgetown (70-60) on Nov. 7. The Terps are 67th overall as ranked by KenPom, while they rank 81st in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency rating and 57th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency.

In the Marquette win, forward Pharrel Payne (6-9, 250) fell awkwardly on his hip after a dunk. He was averaging 18.2 points and 6.2 rebounds, but remarkably, is listed as questionable for this game. F Solomon Washington, a transfer from Texas A&M, has yet to play this season. G Myles Rice, who had 19 points against Georgetown and averaged 10.1 points per game with Indiana last season, is questionable after playing just one game.

Key Injuries for Maryland

  • F Pharrel Payne (hip) is questionable.
  • F Solomon Washington (ankle) is questionable
  • G Myles Rice (ankle) is questionable.

Spread Pick for UNLV vs. Maryland

Maryland vs. UNLV Pick and Prediction

  • Maryland -2.5 (4 units)

Both teams have key injuries for this one, but Buzz Williams is the better coach in this matchup against former Memphis coach Josh Pastner. He's had some time to prepare after a near loss to an inferior team at home. With Gonzaga coming up, Maryland needs to win this game to gain some momentum against the Zags. The Rebels struggle defensively, allowing teams to shoot 45.5% from the field. They also shoot just 28.3% from beyond the arc.

Over/Under Pick for Maryland vs. UNLV

The Terps are going to need to slow the ball down with a light bench against the Runnin' Rebels. Maryland ranks just 195th in Adjusted Tempo and they might need to be around 300 to win this game with a game on Tuesday. Defensively, Maryland's biggest issue is their three-point defense (35.5%), but they are facing a poor shooting squad in UNLV.

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