UNLV vs. San Diego State, Picks and Prediction, Friday, March 6, 2026
Use Code WWWC UNLV (16-14, 11-8 MW) will be trying to close out their season with a win when they visit Viejas Arena on Friday night to face San Diego State (19-10, 13-6 MW) at 10 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Rebels vs. Aztecs prediction. Do you need a boost in your handicapping? Try our NCAAB Betting Picks.
The Rebels are coming off a 92-65 win over Utah State as 7.5-point underdogs. The Aztecs are coming off an 86-77 loss to Boise State as 1.5-point underdogs.
San Diego State is 7-3 in its last 10 games against UNLV.
UNLV Going For Third Consecutive Win
The Rebels bounced back from their loss to Grand Canyon with two straight wins, giving them their third win in four games. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their fourth win in their last five games when they play on Friday.
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UNLV averages 80 points per game. They’ve made 47.2 percent of their field goals and 34.4 percent of their three-pointers.
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn leads the Rebels with 20.6 points and 3.1 rebounds per game. Kimani Hamilton averages 12.7 points and 4.9 rebounds per game, while Tyrin Jones averages 11.5 points and 4.7 rebounds per game.
UNLV is giving up 78.5 points per game. Opponents have made 46 percent of their field goals and 36 percent of their three-pointers against them.
San Diego State Trying To Snap Two-Game Losing Streak
The Aztecs followed up their win over Utah State with two straight losses, giving them four losses in their last five games. They have also dropped into a tie for second in the Mountain West standings, one game behind Utah State. They will try to put an end to their streak with a win on Friday.
San Diego State averages 79.1 points per game. They’ve made 48 percent of their field goals and 36 percent of their three-pointers.
Reese Dixon-Waters leads the Aztecs with 13 points and 3.6 rebounds per game. Miles Byrd averages 10.8 points and 4.5 rebounds per game, while BJ Davis averages 10.2 points and 3.1 rebounds per game.
San Diego State is giving up 71 points per game. Opponents have made 39.3 percent of their field goals and 33 percent of their three-pointers against them.
UNLV vs. San Diego State Picks
Point Spread Pick for UNLV vs. San Diego State
- San Diego State Aztecs to cover. (4 Units)
The Aztecs have won 13 of their 14 home games, while the Rebels have won six of their 11 road games. San Diego State has the edge here because they play well offensively at home, scoring more than 81 points per game, while making 49 percent of their shots. They’ve also done a better job at the charity stripe, making over 773 percent of their free throws, while the Rebels make less than 70 percent of theirs. Their ball movement is very good, and they rebound the ball well, grabbing more than nine offensive rebounds per game, which will give them more scoring chances. They turned the ball over less than 10 times per game in their last three games, so don’t expect them to give up many easy-scoring chances. The Rebels aren’t very good defensively, and they’re giving up more than 80 points per game on the road, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Aztecs. Take San Diego State to cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for UNLV vs. San Diego State
- Under (4 Units)
The Rebels average 80 points per game. They play at the 54th-fastest pace in the country, averaging 73.2 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that is giving up 68.4 points per game at home. The Aztecs average 79.1 points per game. They play at the 92nd-fastest pace in the country, averaging 72.3 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that gave up 76 points per game in their last three games. Don’t expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total.
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