USC Trojans vs. Arizona State Sun Devils Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, November 26, 2025
The championship game of the Maui Invitational brings a clash on the hardwood between the Big Ten and the Big 12 when a pair of former Pac-12 programs collide as the USC Trojans take on the Arizona State Sun Devils Wednesday afternoon and we have you covered with our USC vs. Arizona State prediction. USC rallied to down Seton Hall 83-81 in their semifinal clash Tuesday afternoon, failing to cover the line as a six-point favorite, in their previous contest. Arizona State advanced by downing Washington State 100-94 in their semifinal matchup Tuesday night, covering the line as a 5.5-point favorite, in their previous game. In the all-time series between the programs, the Trojans own a 29-17 advantage, including an 81-73 home win in the most recent matchup March 7, 2024. Read more about this USC vs. Arizona State prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!
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Trojans Looking to Earn Tournament Title
USC battled to the end and managed to edge Seton Hall in their semifinal matchup Tuesday to punch their ticket to the title game here. The Trojans improved to 6-0 on the year and look to earn a tournament title as they take the floor here. Against Seton Hall, USC trailed by as many as 13 in the first half before slicing the margin to four at the half. The Trojans were down eight early in the second half and trailed by five with 17:11 to play before going on a 17-6 run to go up 63-57 with 12:15 remaining. USC led the rest of the way as they went on to the victory. The Trojans shot 50% from the floor, including six of 12 from three-point range, and hit 31 of 38 free throws to help offset 16 turnovers. Ezra Ausar led the way for USC with 25 points and eight rebounds in the win.
The Trojans average 92.5 points per game on the season, putting them 14th in the nation in scoring offense. USC comes into this one grabbing 40 rebounds a night (41st) while they dish out 18.5 assists a night. The Trojans are below average on the defensive end of the floor, ranking 258th by allowing 78 points per game this season. Chad Baker-Mazara is one of three players in double figures as he puts up 19.8 points and 5.8 rebounds a game this season. Rodney Rice (20.3 points, 3.3 rebounds, six assists) and Ezra Ausar (17.8 points, 5.3 boards) provide solid secondary scoring. Jacob Cofie (9.5 points, 7.5 rebounds, Amarion Dickerson, Jaden Brownell, Jordan Marsh, Gabe Dynes, Terrance Williams II and Jerry Easter II are all averaging solid minutes for coach Eric Musselman this season. USC shoots 47.3% from the field as a team this season, putting them 130th in the nation. The Trojans drill 8.2 three-pointers per game while shooting 38% from beyond the arc. USC is average at the line as they shoot 72.1% at the stripe as a team this season, which is 211th in Division I.
Key Injury Report for USC:
- No Key Injuries
Arizona State Seeking to Beat Another Former Conference Foe
Arizona State slipped past Texas in the opening round and then downed a fellow former Pac-12 program in Washington State in the semifinals to advance to the championship game. The Sun Devils ran their record to 5-1 on the season and look to down a second straight former Pac-12 foe to win the title. Against Washington State, Arizona State trailed 9-0 out of the gate before answering with 14 straight points of their own to lead by five. The Sun Devils trailed by six at the half and by 12 with 18:33 remaining before rallying. Arizona State took the lead for good at 79-78 on an Allen Mukuba three-point play with 6:05 to go and went on to the victory. The Sun Devils shot 58.9% from the field, including 11 of 23 from three-point range, and cashed in 23 of 29 free throws in the contest. Maurice Odum led the way for the Sun Devils with 26 points and five assists in the win.
The Sun Devils put up an average of 81.7 points per contest this season, putting them 183rd in the nation in scoring offense. Arizona State hauls down 33.1 rebounds per game (294th) while dishing out 12.4 assists a night on the year. The Sun Devils are average defensively so far as they are 170th in scoring defense by allowing 75 points per game this season. Maurice Odum is one of four players for the Sun Devils scoring in double figures with 19.4 points, 3.4 rebounds, 6.3 assists and two steals a night. Massamba Diop (12.3 points, 5.3 rebounds), Anthony Johnson (13.3 points, three rebounds) and Bryce Ford (11.3 points, 2.6 boards) are solid secondary scoring options. Santiago Trouet, Allen Mukeba, Andrija Grbovic, Marcus Adams Jr., Noah Meeusen and Trevor Best are all averaging solid minutes for coach Bobby Hurley. Arizona State shoots 46.5% from the floor as a team this year. The Sun Devils drain 8.4 triples a night and knock down 37.8% of their long-range attempts, putting them 100th in the country. Arizona State is converting 70.9% of their chances at the free throw line this season, leaving them 229th in Division I.
Key Injury Report for Arizona State:
- No Key Injuries
USC vs. Arizona State Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Earle Sports Bets | +2,298.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,840.00 |
| 3 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,757.00 |
| 4 |  David Hess | +1,745.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +987.00 |
USC vs. Arizona State Spread Pick
- USC (4 units)
These teams used to be familiar conference foes before the demolition of the Pac-12 sent these teams to different power conferences. USC won a defensive struggle with Boise State before slipping past Seton Hall in their first two games. The Trojans have done a ton of damage at the charity stripe this season and has quality depth in their rotation. Arizona State has won both games here on the islands but if Odum is held in check in any form or fashion, you have to wonder where the Sun Devils will get their offense from in this contest. Look for the Trojans to wear down the Sun Devils and come away with the tournament crown.
USC vs. Arizona State Over/Under Pick
- Over (4 units)
USC enters this contest having seen the under post a 3-3 mark in their six games this season. The Trojans are 14th in the nation in scoring offense, 36th in offensive efficiency, 84th in turnover percentage (15.2%), 5th in free throw rate (.553 FT attempts per FG attempt) and 10th in free throws made (25) while ranking third in free throw attempts (34.7) per contest. USC is a run and gun team, ranking 41st in adjusted tempo with 73 possessions a night according to KenPom. Arizona State enters this game having stayed under the number in four of their seven games this season. The Sun Devils stand 71st in offensive efficiency, 110th in effective field goal percentage (53.6%), 40th in turnover percentage (14%) and 69th in free throw rate (.431 FT attempts per FG attempt) on the year. Arizona State is 99th in adjusted tempo with 71.6 possessions a night. Look for both teams to run and pile up points, pushing this game over the number.
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