USC Trojans vs. Boise State Broncos Picks and Prediction for Monday, November 24, 2025
It’s an early season clash on the hardwood and it brings a non-conference tilt between foes from the Big Ten and the Mountain West on the hardwood in the Aloha State as the USC Trojans take on the Boise State Broncos Monday afternoon in a first round matchup of the Maui Invitational and we have you covered with our USC vs. Boise State prediction. USC comes in off a 107-106 triple overtime win over Troy at home Thursday night in their previous contest, failing to cover the line as a 18.5-point favorite. Boise State slipped past Wichita State 62-59 at home Tuesday night in their previous contest, failing to cover the line as a 9.5-point favorite. This marks the first time the two programs have met as Division I foes on the hardwood. Read more about this USC vs. Boise State prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!
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USC Seeking to Advance to Semifinals
USC managed to survive a wild contest against Troy, prevailing on a game-winning contested three-pointer at the buzzer in the third overtime, to remain unbeaten on the year. The Trojans ran their record to 4-0 on the year as they take the floor here searching to punch their ticket to the semifinals. Against Troy, USC was tied at the half, took their biggest led at 55-44 with 9:38 remaining in regulation and led by six with less than three minutes remaining in regulation only to end up tied at 68, forcing overtime. The Trojans led by five in the first overtime and by as many as four in the second overtime only to wind up even again. USC trailed by six multiple times in the third overtime, the last at 103-97 with 1:43 to go, but outscored Troy 10-3 the rest of the way, capped by Marsh’s game winner at the buzzer. The Trojans shot 42.7% from the floor, including nine of 29 from beyond the arc, hit 34 of 46 free throw attempts and forced 20 turnovers to offset getting pounded 63-39 on the glass. Chad Baker-Mazara led the way for USC with 34 points and nine rebounds in the win.
The Trojans average 100.5 points per game on the season, putting them 4th in the nation in scoring offense. USC comes into this one grabbing 43.5 rebounds a night (38th) while they dish out 22.8 assists a night. The Trojans are below average on the defensive end of the floor, ranking 283rd by allowing 80 points per game this season. Chad Baker-Mazara is one of four players in double figures as he puts up 22.5 points and 6.8 rebounds a game this season. Rodney Rice (20.5 points, 4.8 rebounds, 7.8 assists) and Ezra Ausar (18.3 points, 4.5 boards) provide solid secondary scoring. Jacob Cofie (10.8 points, 7.8 rebounds, Amarion Dickerson, Jaden Brownell, Jordan Marsh, Gabe Dynes, Terrance Williams II and Jerry Easter II are all averaging solid minutes for coach Eric Musselman this season. USC shoots 47.5% from the field as a team this season, putting them 111th in the nation. The Trojans drill eight three-pointers per game while shooting 34% from beyond the arc. USC is average at the line as they shoot 70.6% at the stripe as a team this season, which is 195th in Division I.
Key Injury Report for USC:
- No Key Injuries
Broncos Try to Stampede to Fifth Straight Win
Boise State won their fourth straight game as they took down Wichita State at home in their previous contest Tuesday night. The Broncos improved to 4-1 on the year and look to make it five consecutive victories as they take the floor here. Against Wichita State, Boise State trailed 7-0 just under five minutes into the game before rallying to take a 32-27 advantage at intermission. The Broncos took their biggest lead at 50-35 with 12:20 remaining and led 60-50 with 3:13 to play before scoring just two points the rest of the way. They survived a potential game-tying three-pointer in the closing seconds to earn the win. Boise State shot 37% from the floor, including seven of 17 from three-point range, and hit 15 of 23 free throw attempts in the game. Drew Fielder led the Broncos with 17 points and six rebounds in the win.
The Broncos are 210th in the nation in scoring offense as they average 77.6 points per game on the year. Boise State is 221st in rebounding with 36.6 boards a night and stands 152nd by handing out 15.6 assists per contest. The Broncos are 87th in the country in scoring defense as they allow an average of 67.6 points per game this season. Javan Buchanan is one of the more reliable scoring options on the team as he puts up 11.4 points and 4.6 rebounds per contest this season. Drew Fielder (12.6 points, five boards) and Andrew Meadow (15.6 points, 4.8 rebounds) are capable scoring options for the Broncos. Dylan Andrews (10.8 points, three rebounds, 5.4 assists), Spencer Ahrens, Aginaldo Neto, Pearson Carmichael, Dominic Parolin, RJ Keene II and Julian Bowie are important contributors in the Boise State rotation for coach Leon Rice. Boise State shoots 43.4% from the field as a team on the season, putting them 264th in the nation. The Broncos connect on nine three-pointers a night while shooting 36.9% as a team from beyond the arc. Boise State is an excellent team at the free throw line as they knock down 76.9% of their attempts at the line this season, which is 52nd in the nation.
Key Injury Report for Boise State:
- No Key Injuries
USC vs. Boise State Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rob Vinciletti | +1,570.00 |
| 2 |  Dan Kaiser | +1,223.00 |
| 3 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,000.00 |
| 4 |  Earle Sports Bets | +916.00 |
| 5 |  David Hess | +706.00 |
USC vs. Boise State Spread Pick
- USC -5.5 (4 units)
USC has been excellent offensively in the first few weeks of the season and their ability to light up the scoreboard poses a challenge for Boise State. The Broncos are slightly below average on the offensive end of the floor and will have a tough time containing the Trojans on the glass. While Boise State has the advantage on the defensive end of the floor, the fact that they struggle to shoot the ball is going to be problematic against a USC squad that has won three of their four games by at least 20 points. The Trojans are pretty sound on both ends of the floor and they have an experienced group to lean on in crunch time. Look for USC to shrug off that war of attrition with Troy to punch their ticket to the semifinals.
USC vs. Boise State Over/Under Pick
- Over 150.5 (4 units)
USC enters this contest having seen the over post a 2-2 mark in their four games this season. The Trojans are 4th in the nation in scoring offense, 34th in offensive efficiency, 22nd in turnover percentage (12.8%), 11th in free throw rate (.554 FT attempts per FG attempt) and second in free throws made (27) while ranking first in free throw attempts (38.3) per contest. USC is a run and gun team, ranking 34th in adjusted tempo with 73.3 possessions a night according to KenPom. Boise State has stayed under the number in three of four games with a posted total. The Broncos are 80th in offensive efficiency, 79th in three-point shooting, 52nd in free throw shooting and 30th in free throw rate (.489 FT attempts per FG attempt) this season. Boise State is 251st in adjusted tempo with 69 possessions a night. With both teams good at getting to the stripe, that gives the potential for plenty of points being scored with the clock stopped. Take the over in this contest as a result.
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