Utah State Aggies vs Air Force Falcons Picks Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, January 6, 2026
The Utah State Aggies (12-1, 3-0 Mountain West) meet the Air Force Falcons (3-11, 0-3 Mountain West) at Clune Arena in Colorado Springs, Colorado, with the opening tipoff at 9:00 PM ET on MWN. Utah State enters riding a five-game winning streak and is fresh off a home win against San Jose State. Air Force returns home after a road loss at UNLV and continues to search for traction in conference play. Basketball glory awaits! Check out our top NCAAB picks for Utah State Aggies vs Air Force Falcons Picks prediction.
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Utah State Aggies Rolling Through Mountain West Play
The Utah State Aggies enter this matchup with a 12-1 overall record and a perfect 3-0 mark in Mountain West play. Utah State is averaging 85.6 points per game while allowing 67.3, supported by a 52 percent field goal rate. The Aggies have controlled games with shot making and ball movement, posting 18.5 assists per game while also forcing 10.5 steals. That pressure has translated into building leads early and sustained control late.
In the most recent game, Utah State defeated San Jose State 96-78 at home. The Aggies pushed tempo and shot efficiently, reaching 96 points for the second time in three games. MJ Collins Jr. continues to set the tone, leading the team at 20.2 points per game on 56.7 percent shooting. Mason Falslev adds 15.7 points and 5.6 rebounds per game, while Garry Clark anchors the interior with 7.1 rebounds. Utah State has scored at least 79 points in each of the last five games and has won four of those by double digits.
Utah State’s depth remains a major advantage. Drake Allen averages 5.3 assists and pushes the pace without forcing the issue, while multiple frontcourt players convert at high rates around the rim. Utah State also holds a plus margin on the glass, averaging 36.5 rebounds per game. Against an Air Force team allowing 73.2 points per game, Utah State’s ability to finish possessions and convert turnovers keeps pressure constant.
Injuries: Utah State does not have any players listed on its injury report
Air Force Falcons Still Searching for Answers
The Air Force Falcons enter at 3-11 overall and 0-3 in Mountain West play, averaging 62.9 points per game while allowing 73.2. Shooting has been a persistent issue, with the Falcons converting 44 percent from the field and 29.6 percent from three-point range. Air Force also averages just 12.0 assists per game, limiting scoring and putting added strain on half-court sets.
In the most recent outing, Air Force fell 67-39 at UNLV. The Falcons struggled to generate clean looks and were held under 40 points, their lowest output of the season. Caleb Walker remains the primary scoring option at 12.2 points per game and shoots 72.2 percent from the field, but his number of shots remains limited. Eli Robinson provides interior effort with 6.1 rebounds per game and leads the team in steals, yet Air Force continues to lose rebounding battles, averaging 31.0 boards per game.
Defensively, Air Force blocks shots at a similar rate to Utah State, but turnovers and missed defensive assignments have led to extended runs by opponents. The Falcons have lost five straight games, allowing at least 68 points in four of those contests. Against a Utah State offense averaging over 85 points, Air Force will need to slow the pace and control possessions, something recent results do not support.
Injuries: Air Force does not have any players listed on its injury list
Utah State Aggies vs Air Force Falcons Picks Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tony Karpinski | +2,976.00 |
| 2 |  Joe Duffy | +2,595.00 |
| 3 |  The Insiders Room | +2,320.00 |
| 4 |  Mark Ruelle | +1,627.00 |
| 5 |  Jackie Mack | +1,451.00 |
Spread Pick for Utah State Aggies vs Air Force Falcons Picks
- Utah State Aggies (5 Units)
Utah State holds clear advantages across scoring, shooting percentage, rebounding, and recent form. The Aggies have topped 90 points twice in the last three games and continue to force turnovers at a high rate. Air Force has scored fewer than 60 points in three of the last five games and just managed 39 in the most recent loss. With Utah State converting over 52 percent from the field and averaging nearly 19 assists, this matchup leans heavily toward the Aggies maintaining control from start to finish.
Over/Under Pick for Utah State Aggies vs Air Force Falcons Picks
- Over (4 Units)
Utah State games continue to trend toward higher totals due to pace and shot quality. The Aggies have scored at least 83 points in four of the last five games and are coming off a 96-point effort. Air Force’s defense allows over 73 points per game and has struggled to slow teams that push tempo. Even if Air Force’s scoring remains limited, Utah State’s offensive output alone puts the over in play based on recent results and season averages.
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