Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs Picks and Predictions for Wednesday, February 25, 2026

By: Cameron Ross Published 02/25/2026, 06:05 AM ET
Utah State prediction
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The Utah State Aggies will be on the road Wednesday night, playing the San Diego State Aztecs in San Diego, CA, at 11:00 PM. Utah State has 23 wins and four losses coming into this matchup. The San Diego State Aztecs return home Wednesday night with eighteen wins and eight losses. Utah State comes into this matchup having four of its last five games, following a three-point road loss to Nevada in its last outing. San Diego State comes into this matchup on a 2-game skid after a nine-point road loss to Colorado State last time out. Read more about this Utah State vs San Diego State prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!

Utah State looks to get back rolling

Offensively, Utah State has been phenomenal this season, scoring 84 points on 51% shooting from the floor. Defensively, Utah State has been even better, holding opponents to 69 points per game through 27 games this season. Offensively, Utah State scored the ball well in their last outing, scoring 77 points on 40% shooting and 44% from beyond the arc. Defensively, Utah State was outmatched, giving up 80 points on 51% shooting, 53% from beyond the arc. Utah State lost the rebounding battle by double digits and turned the ball over 10 times in the loss. Drake Allen led the way for the Utah State offense with 17 points on 13 shots.

MJ Collins Jr. leads the Utah State offense this season, averaging 17.9 points per game. Big man Mason Falslev is 2nd on the team, averaging 16.1 points to go along with the team's leading 5.6 rebounds per game. Drake Allen averages 7 points and leaves the team dishing out 4.8 assists per game this season.

Key Injury Report for Utah State:

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San Diego State tries to end the losing streak

The San Diego State offense has been the team's biggest strength this season, averaging 78.9 points on 47% shooting from the floor, but the Aztecs are averaging just 68.5 points per game over their last two losses. Defensively, San Diego State is allowing 70 points per game this season and has given up an average of 78 points per game during its current 2-game losing streak. Offensively, San Diego State struggled immensely in its last outing, scoring 78 points on 30% shooting and 38% from beyond the arc. Defensively, the Aztecs struggled in their last game, giving up 83 points, including 45 in the second half. Colorado State shot 47% from the floor. San Diego State did win the rebounding battle by two, but turned the ball over 12 times in the loss. Reese Dixon-Waters led the way for the San Diego State offense with 16 points on 11 shots.

Reese Dixon-Waters leads the San Diego State offense this season, with 12.6 points per game. Miles Byrd is second on the team, with 10.8 points, to go along with the team-leading 2.7 assists. BJ Davis averages 10.4 points, Magoon Gwath averages 8.7 points per game, Miles Heide averages 5.7 points, and leaves the team pulling in 4.8 rebounds per game.

Key Injury Report for San Diego State:

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Utah State vs San Diego State Pick

  • Utah State vs San Diego State Spread Pick

Utah State is a far better team in this matchup, and it will show from the opening minutes on Wednesday. Look for the Aggies to bounce back in a big way following their loss last time out. Take Utah State to do the work on both sides of the ball as they overwhelm any struggling San Diego State team in this game. Utah State will get the win and cover on the road Wednesday night to pick up its 24th victory of the season.

  • Utah State vs San Diego State Over/Under Pick

Both teams score the ball extremely well, but each defends at a high level. Look for Utah State to stifle San Diego State from the opening minutes, as they will be out for a win following the upset loss last time out. San Diego State will score the ball, but will have issues down the stretch against a tough defense. Take Utah State Wednesday night to do the job as they get the winning cover on the road in San Diego in a game that goes under the number.

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