UTSA at USC Prediction, Picks, and Odds Movement for December 17 2025

By: Devin Erickson-Sheehy Published 12/17/2025, 09:12 AM ET
Use Code WWWC

The UTSA vs USC matchup on Wednesday night brings a heavy favorite into the spotlight, and this non-conference showdown is firmly on the radar for anyone tracking college basketball picks. USC welcomes UTSA to the Galen Center with the Trojans laying a large number, while the total reflects the expectation of an up-tempo game.

Quick Picks and Prediction

  • Spread Pick: USC -23.5
  • Total Pick: Over 155.5
  • Projected Final Score: USC 92, UTSA 66

Odds and Line Movement

Opening Odds

Team Spread Total
UTSA +23.5 155.5
USC -23.5 155.5

Current Odds

Team Spread Total
UTSA +23.5 (-110) Over 155.5 (-110)
USC -23.5 (-110) Under 155.5 (-110)

Line Movement - Spread

Date UTSA USC
12/16 +23.5 (-110) -23.5 (-110)
12/16 +24.5 (-110) -24.5 (-110)

Line Movement - Total

Date Over Under
12/16 155.5 (-110) 155.5 (-110)
12/16 154.5 (-115) 154.5 (-105)

Key Matchups and Handicap

UTSA heads west with a 4-6 record to take on a USC team that has been one of the more consistent non-conference performers in the country. The Trojans enter this matchup at 10-1 under Eric Musselman, showing balance on both ends of the floor with a potent offense and defensive fundamentals that have translated well against lesser competition.

UTSA has shown occasional flashes this season, but the Roadrunners have struggled to sustain offensive efficiency and defensive stops, especially against teams with size and athleticism similar to USC. Recent losses to Power Five opponents highlighted issues defending in transition and closing out on shooters, which is a concern against a Trojan roster that thrives when playing fast and attacking early in the shot clock.

The spread reflects the clear gap between these programs. USC has consistently taken care of business when heavily favored, and UTSA is likely to need an outlier shooting performance to keep this game competitive deep into the second half. With USC expected to control tempo and create separation, the handicap strongly favors the home side.

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  • USC has been a reliable cover when favored by large margins this season.
  • UTSA has struggled against Power Five competition.
  • USC games have pushed totals higher when playing at home.
  • UTSA has allowed opponents to score efficiently in transition.

Key Injuries and Notes for UTSA vs USC

  • USC remains without freshman guard Alijah Arenas following offseason knee surgery.
  • No additional major injuries have been reported for USC’s primary rotation.
  • UTSA has no publicly reported injuries impacting starters entering this matchup.

ATS and Total Picks

  • USC -23.5 against the spread
  • Over 155.5 total points

Final Score Prediction

USC 92, UTSA 66

How to Bet UTSA vs USC

This matchup presents a classic heavy-favorite betting opportunity. When looking to place wagers, comparing prices across sportsbook promo codes and browsing the best sportsbooks can help secure the most favorable number. Bettors interested in alternative options can also explore social sportsbooks for added flexibility.

Those seeking specific offers can review the latest bet365 bonus code or check out the current fliff promo code before locking in a play on USC to cover or the game total.

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