UTSA Roadrunners vs Memphis Tigers Picks and Predictions for Sunday January 18 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 01/18/2026, 06:00 AM ET
Use Code WWWC

The UTSA Roadrunners hit the road on Sunday evening to take on the Memphis Tigers at FedEx Forum in Memphis, Tennessee. This matchup is scheduled for a 6:00 PM EST tip-off and will be televised on ESPNU. At the time of publication, the money line, spread, and total are all off the board, but this AAC matchup still offers a clear contrast in momentum and defensive intensity. Before placing any wagers, make sure to check out our free college basketball picks for the latest odds and expert analysis.

Roadrunners Facing an Uphill Battle Away from Home

UTSA enters this matchup with a 4-13 overall record and has struggled mightily away from home this season. The Roadrunners come into this game riding a five-game losing streak, having recently lost to Rice, Tulane, Charlotte, Temple, and Florida Atlantic. Those results highlight a team that has had difficulty competing against conference opponents, particularly on the defensive end.

Statistically, UTSA is averaging 68.5 points per game while allowing 78.2 points per game, one of the larger negative scoring margins in the conference. The Roadrunners are shooting just 38% from the field, while grabbing 37.9 rebounds per game and dishing out 11.2 assists per contest. Defensively, they average 3.9 blocks and 7.2 steals per game, but those numbers have not translated into stops on the scoreboard.

The biggest concern for UTSA is offensive efficiency. Poor shooting and limited ball movement have made it difficult for the Roadrunners to keep pace when opponents push the tempo. That issue becomes even more pronounced against teams that pressure the ball and force mistakes.

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Tigers Looking to Build Consistency at Home

Memphis comes into Sunday’s contest with an 8-8 overall record and has been far more competitive at home. In their last five games, the Tigers have recently won over Temple, Rice, North Texas, and Alcorn State, with their lone loss coming against Florida Atlantic. That stretch shows a team that is starting to find rhythm, particularly on the defensive end.

From a statistical perspective, Memphis is averaging 73.2 points per game while allowing 72.9 points per game. The Tigers shoot 43% from the field, pull down 37.2 rebounds per game, and average 14 assists per contest. They also contribute 4.3 blocks and 9.5 steals per game, underscoring their aggressive defensive approach.

Memphis thrives when games become physical. Their ability to create turnovers and protect the rim often leads to easy transition points, especially at home. Against a UTSA team that struggles with ball security and shooting, that defensive pressure could be decisive.

UTSA Roadrunners vs Memphis Tigers Pick

UTSA Roadrunners vs Memphis Tigers Pick

  • Pick: Memphis Tigers

With the spread currently unavailable, I strongly lean toward Memphis in this matchup. The Tigers’ defensive activity, combined with UTSA’s offensive struggles, points to a game where Memphis controls tempo and scoring opportunities. At home, Memphis is better equipped to exploit UTSA’s inefficiencies and pull away as the game progresses.

UTSA Roadrunners vs Memphis Tigers Total Pick

  • Pick: Under

I also lean toward the under once a total is posted. UTSA has struggled to score consistently, and Memphis tends to win games by slowing opponents down rather than engaging in shootouts. This matchup sets up as a grind-it-out game with limited possessions.

Final Score Prediction: Memphis Tigers 74, UTSA Roadrunners 58

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