Vanderbilt vs Saint Mary’s, Odds, Picks and Prediction for Friday, November 28, 2025
The Vanderbilt Commodores will play the Saint Mary’s Gaels on Friday in the Championship Game of the Battle 4 Atlantis in Nassau, Bahamas. Vanderbilt reached the title game by defeating Western Kentucky 83-78 in round 1 on Wednesday and VCU 89-74 in the semifinals on Thursday. The Commodores are 7-0. St. Mary’s defeated Wichita State 70-65 on Wednesday in the opening round of the tournament, followed by a 77-66 victory over the Virginia Tech Hokies on Thursday in the semifinals. The Gaels improved to 8-0. Make sure to read this in-depth Vanderbilt Commodores vs Saint Mary’s Gaels prediction. Stay ahead of the tournament curve with our NCAAB picks for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Saint Mary’s Gaels prediction.
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Vandy has been hard to stop on offense
The Vanderbilt Commodores have scored 83 and 89 points in their first two games of the tournament, while allowing 78 and 74. Vanderbilt scored 89 in its win on Thursday against a VCU team that was allowing just 70.8 points per game. The Commodores shot 53% overall and an impressive 11-for-22 (50%) from three-point land. Vandy cleaned house on the glass, outrebounding the Rams 43-29, while pulling down 18 offensive boards for several second-looks. Vanderbilt must lower its turnovers after committing 17 in Thursday’s win.
Duke Miles led the Commodores in Thursday’s win with 20 points, while Tyler Nickel and Tyler Tanner each scored 16 points. Jalen Washington came off the bench to grab a team-best 8 boards, while Tanner was the dish leader, handing out 5 assists. On defense, Vandy held VCU to 36% shooting overall and 24% from three-point territory, while forcing 13 turnovers and giving up just eight offensive rebounds to the Rams. Before Thursday’s game, Vandy was scoring an average of 99.8 points per game and allowing just 73.8 per game.
Injuries: Vandy will play without George Kimble
Saint Mary’s continues to play excellent defense
The Gaels continue to play strong defense, holding Virginia Tech to 66 points on Thursday. The Gaels gave up 31% shooting overall and just 23% shooting from 3-point territory. St Mary's out-rebounded Virginia Tech 39-34, but gave up too many second-look opportunities, allowing Virginia Tech 18 offensive rebounds, and that has to change when the Gaels face Vanderbilt in the title game of the tournament.
Saint Mary's shot 52% overall and 35% from 3-point territory in Thursday's win. Saint Mary's grabbed only 11 offensive rebounds but finished with 12 assists. The leading scorer once again for Saint Mary's was Paulius Murauskas with 19 points, while Andrew McKeever and Joshua Dent each scored 14 points. McKeever grabbed eight rebounds to lead Saint Mary's, and Dent handed out a team-high six assists. Saint Mary's has to take better care of the ball as the Gaels committed 15 turnovers and Thursday’s win. Before Thursday's win, Saint Mary's was scoring an average of 84.6 points per game and was third in points allowed at 59.0 per game.
Injuries: Saint Mary's does not have any players listed on its injury report.
Vanderbilt vs Saint Mary’s Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Earle Sports Bets | +2,298.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,840.00 |
| 3 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,757.00 |
| 4 |  David Hess | +1,745.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +987.00 |
Spread Pick for Vandy vs Saint Mary’s
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Vanderbilt Commodores (4 units)
The Vanderbilt Commodores will face a tough defense when playing the St Mary's Gaels in the championship game of the Battle 4 Atlantis tournament, but Vanderbilt's offense is strong enough to overcome a tough defense. Vanderbilt is scoring 99.7 points per game and has six players averaging double figures in scoring, making it difficult for opponents to key on any one or two players. St Mary's is playing well, having won each of its first eight games, but showed a few vulnerabilities in Thursday’s victory, committing 15 turnovers, allowing too many second-looks and will be facing a tough Vanderbilt man-to-man that gives up just 39.3% shooting overall. St. Mary’s is just 5-8 ATS in its last 13.
Over/Under Pick for Vanderbilt vs Saint Mary’s
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Over (4 units)
St Mary's has a very strong defense that is allowing just 59 points per game, but faces a Vanderbilt offense that is averaging over 98 points per game and can score in bunches. The total has finished over in 9 of Vanderbilt's last 13 games. Vanderbilt is 53rd in adjusted tempo per KenPom at 72.2, while St Mary's is much slower at 66.5 or 333rd, but Vandy, with its strong defensive rebounding, will start transition play and create a quicker pace, helping push the total over.
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