VCU Rams vs. George Mason Patriots Picks, Prediction, Odds and Line Movement for Saturday, January 10, 2026
It’s a collision of Atlantic 10 programs on the hardwood as they do battle in search of a victory in the Old Dominion as the VCU Rams are on the road as they make the trip to take on the George Mason Patriots Saturday afternoon and we have you covered with our VCU vs. George Mason prediction. VCU fell 71-62 to Saint Louis at home in their previous contest Wednesday night, losing outright as a 2.5-point favorite. George Mason dropped Fordham 67-58 on the road in their previous game Wednesday night, covering the line as a 5.5-point favorite. In the all-time series between the teams, the Rams own a 28-10 advantage and have won the last six meetings. That includes a 68-63 win on a neutral floor in Washington, D.C. as part of the Atlantic 10 Tournament in the most recent meeting on March 16, 2025. Read more about this VCU vs. George Mason prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!
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VCU Seeking to Beat George Mason for Seventh Straight Time
VCU had their five-game win streak snapped as they were beaten at home by Saint Louis Wednesday night and look to get back on track. The Rams fell to 11-5 overall and stand 2-1 in the Atlantic 10 on the year entering this contest. Against Saint Louis, VCU trailed 30-22 at the half and was down as many as 14 in the second half before rallying. The Rams took their only lead of the night at 62-61 with 2:30 remaining but went cold from there. VCU gave up the final 10 points in the game to wind up with the loss. The Rams shot 28.6% from the field, including six of 24 from three-point range, and lost the points in the paint battle 40-24. Terrence Hill Jr. led the way with 17 points in a losing effort for VCU.
For the year, VCU is putting up an average of 85.6 points per game so far this season, putting them 48th in the nation in scoring offense. The Rams are collecting an average of 37.8 rebounds per contest while dishing out 15.2 assists a night this year. VCU has given up an average of 73.3 points a game this season, putting them 182nd in the nation in scoring defense. Terrence Hill Jr. leads the Rams as he puts up 14.2 points per game on the season. Lazar Djokovic (13.1 points, 5.6 boards), Jadrian Tracey (10.3 points) and Nyk Lewis (9.7 points, 3.6 rebounds) are the team’s most reliable secondary scoring options. Barry Evans, Brandon Jennings, Michael Belle, Ahmad Nowell, Jordan Tillery, Keyshawn Mitchell and Tyrell Ward are all key contributors being looked to for solid minutes for Phil Martelli. As a team, VCU is shooting 46.5% from the floor on the year. The Rams are connecting on an average of 9.9 three-pointers per game while shooting 36.8% from beyond the arc. VCU is sinking 74.7% of their attempts from the charity stripe on the season, which is 92nd in the country.
Key Injury Report for VCU:
- Forward Christian Fermin (personal) is out.
Patriots Shoot to Keep Winning
George Mason ran their win streak to six as they took down Fordham on the road in their previous game. The Patriots improved to 15-1 overall on the year and they are 3-0 in Atlantic 10 action on the year. Against Fordham, George Mason led by two and trailed by as many as nine in the first half before trailing 28-23 at intermission. The Patriots took the lead at 36-35 with 14:04 remaining and led the rest of the way en route to the win. George Mason shot 47.9% from the field, including one of 11 from three-point range, but dominated points in the paint by a 40-26 margin. Riley Allenspach led the Patriots with 18 points in the win.
The Patriots are 157th in scoring offense with 78.2 points per game on the season. George Mason is 169th in rebounding by pulling down 36.8 boards a night while they hand out 13.3 assists per contest. The Patriots are above average on the defensive end of the floor, ranking 30th in scoring defense as they allow 65.9 points per contest on the year. Kory Mincy is one of four Patriots offensively scoring in double figures as he puts up 17.1 points per game this season. Riley Allenspach (12.6 points, 5.9 rebounds), Jahari Long (11.1 points, 3.7 assists) and Fatt Hill (10.5 points) are the other players averaging in double figures this season. Masai Troutman, Malik Presley, Emmanuel Kanga, Nick Ellington, Dola Adebayo, Stas Sivka and Devin Booker are important pieces of the rotation for the Patriots. George Mason is shooting 48.4% from the floor this season. The Patriots knock down 6.4 three-pointers a night while hitting 36.3% from beyond the arc. George Mason is slightly above average at the free throw line as they cash in 73.1% of their chances on the year, putting them 137th in the nation.
Key Injury Report for George Mason:
- No Key Injuries
VCU vs. George Mason Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tony Karpinski | +2,494.00 |
| 2 |  Joe Duffy | +1,859.00 |
| 3 |  The Insiders Room | +1,788.00 |
| 4 |  Mark Ruelle | +1,428.00 |
| 5 |  Jackie Mack | +1,400.00 |
VCU vs. George Mason Spread Pick
- VCU -1.5 (4 units)
George Mason has a pretty record at 15-1 but they aren’t overly battle tested at this point of the year. The Patriots have played just one game against a foe ranked in the top 100 of the KenPom rankings and that was an 11-point loss at Virginia Tech December 6. That marks their lone blemish on the year but they now face a VCU squad that enters this one ranked 45th in the KenPom rankings. The Rams have five losses but they came to teams ranked in the top 53 of the KenPom rankings. VCU also whipped that Virginia Tech team that beat George Mason, 86-68, on a neutral floor November 28 and they also downed South Florida. Look for VCU’s experience and battle tested rotation to earn the win.
VCU vs. George Mason Over/Under Pick
- Under 147.5 (4 units)
VCU is very stout on the defensive end and the metrics bear that out. The Rams are 57th in defensive efficiency, 82nd in effective field goal percentage defense (48.4%), 127th in forced turnover percentage (18.2%), 147th in field goal percentage defense (42.9%), 48th in two-point defense (46.5%) and 277th in three-point defense (35%) on the year. They are an above average team in terms of tempo, ranking 78th with an average of 70.2 possessions a night. The Rams have seen the over post a 9-7 mark in their 16 games on the year. George Mason has seen the under post an 8-7 mark in their 15 contests so far this season. The Patriots are 47th in the nation in effective field goal percentage defense (47.1%), 50th in field goal percentage (40.3%) and 51st in two-point defense (46.6%) this season. They are more pedestrian defending the perimeter, ranking 244th in threes allowed per game (8.2) and 140th in three-point defense (32.2%) on the year. George Mason plays at a slow pace as they are 310th in terms of adjusted pace with an average of 65.6 possessions a game. With the Patriots good at slowing the pace, this game gets slowed down and that leaves it short of the total.
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