VMI Keydets vs UNC Greensboro Spartans Picks and Predictions for Friday, March 6, 2026

By: Cameron Ross Published 03/06/2026, 06:10 AM ET
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The VMI Keydets will be in Asheville, NC, Friday night for a 7:30 PM matchup against the UNC Greensboro Spartans in the first round of the SoCon championship tournament, and we have you ready to roll with our VMI vs UNC Greensboro prediction. VMI enters the conference tournament with a terrible season, having just six wins through 31 games. UNC Greensboro comes into this matchup 5 games below .500 after 31 games. VMI comes into Friday struggling immensely, riding a long losing streak after a 7-point loss in their last outing. UNC Greensboro has dropped three of the last five after a nine-point road loss to Sanford in their last game. Read more about this VMI vs UNC Greensboro prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!

VMI looks for the upset

Offensively, VMI has averaged 72 points on 40% shooting from the floor this season. Defensively, VMI is allowing 79.9 points per game this year, but has given up an average of 83.8 points per game over its last five losses. Offensively, VMI was mediocre in their last outing, scoring 79 points on 42% shooting, in 34% from beyond the arc. Defensively, VMI was outmatched, giving up 86 points on 50% shooting from the floor. The Keydets lost the rebounding battle by two and shot just 67% from the free-throw line. Cal Liston led the way for VMI with 21 points and 9 rebounds on 16 shots.

TJ Johnson leads the VMI offense this season with 18.4 points and 7.2 rebounds per game. Linus Holmstrom is second on the team, averaging 10.9 points per game this season. Tan Yildzoglu is third on the roster, adding 10.1 points to go along with the team-leading 4.7 assists per game.

Key Injury Report for VMI:

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UNC Greensboro tries to extend its season

The UNC Greensboro offense has been solid this season, averaging 78.7 points on 46% shooting from the floor. Defensively, the Spartans are allowing 81.8 points per game this year, but have given up an average of 88.3 points per game over their last three losses. The UNC Greensboro offense was solid in its last outing, pouring in 78 points on 41% shooting from the floor. Defensively, UNC Greensboro was outmatched, allowing 87 points on 50% shooting, including 51% from beyond the arc. UNC Greensboro lost the rebounding battle by 8 and turned the ball over 8 times in the loss. Lilan Marville led the way for the UNC Greensboro offense against Samford with 21 points and 3 assists on 9 shots.

Justin Neely leads the UNC Greensboro offense this season with 17.6 points, 11.4 rebounds, and 2.5 assists. KJ Younger is second on the team with 14.6 points, and Donald Whitehead Jr. averages 10.5 points per game. Lilian Marville averages 9.4 points in just under 26 minutes per game

Key Injury Report for UNC Greensboro:

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VMI vs UNC Greensboro Pick

  • VMI vs UNC Greensboro Spread Pick

Both teams have been terrible this part of the season, as each is well below .500 coming into the conference tournament. Despite the season struggle, UNC Greensboro is the better team in this matchup. The Spartans are better on offense, and that will carry them on Friday. Look for UNC Greensboro to do the job to salvage their season in round one with a victory against the worst team in the conference. Take UNC Greensboro Friday night to do the job as they get the win and cover in round one of the SoCon championship tournament.

  • VMI vs UNC Greensboro Over/Under Pick

Both teams score the ball well enough, and each has a terrible defense coming into this game. Look for both teams to continue that trend Friday night, as each looks to extend its season in this matchup. Take both teams to run it up, as neither will get stops in this matchup. Look for UNC Greensboro to make the plays down the stretch to get the win in round one, but the number will go well over as two of the worst teams in the conference square off.

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