Western Michigan Broncos vs Iowa Hawkeyes, Picks, Odds, Preview, and Prediction, Sunday, December 14, 2025

By: Liam Keating Published 12/14/2025, 10:37 AM ET
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It’s a key matchup in the non-conference setting on Sunday, Dec. 14. Read our Western Michigan vs Iowa prediction along with our NCAAB picks for the night. The Broncos are 5-5, and they have won three of their last four games coming into this matchup. Western Michigan has lost its only game against a Power-Four opponent. Iowa is 8-2 overall this season, but they have lost two of their last three games. The Hawkeyes fell to Iowa State in their last game by a close margin. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 3 P.M. EST.

Western Michigan winners of 3 of last 4 games

Western Michigan is 5-5 overall this season. They have played just one Power-Five conference foe this season and it came in a 33-point loss to Ohio State. Since the Ohio State loss, Western Michigan has won three of their last four games highlighted by a home win over Mount St. Mary’s.

In their last game, Western Michigan defeated SIU Edwardsville 83-73 on the road on Saturday, Dec. 6. Western Michigan went wire-to-wire in the win as they shot 57% from the field and 60% from behind the arc. They did turn the ball over 19 times in the loss, but they out-rebounded the Cougars 36-23 to clinch the win. Jalen Griffith led the team with 28 points on 8-for-12 shooting.

Griffith is the team's leading scorer with 16.3 points and 4.6 assists per game. Jayden Brewer is grabbing 7.5 rebounds per game, too.

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Western Michigan is averaging 76.7 points per game, which ranks 241st. They are shooting 46.3% from the field, placing them 143rd. The Broncos are the 121st 3-point shooting team, making 35.4% from behind the arc.

On defense, Western Michigan is allowing 78.3 points per game, which ranks 221st. They are the 153rd-ranked defensive team, allowing 42.8% from the field. Opponents are hitting 33.9% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 244th.

Western Michigan is 5-3-1 against the spread this season. They are 1-3-1 against the spread when they have played on the road. The Broncos are 2-3-1 against the spread as an underdog. They are also 0-1 against the spread as a double-digit underdog. The under is 5-4 when the Broncos have played this season. The under is 3-2 when Western Michigan has played on the road. The over is 2-1 when the total has been set at 149 points or less.

Iowa coming off close loss to in-state rival

Iowa is 8-2 overall this season. The Hawkeyes started the season with seven straight wins, highlighted by victories over Xavier and Ole Miss. Iowa has lost two of their last three games coming into this matchup, but both have come at the hands of top-10-ranked opponents.

In their last game, the Hawkeyes lost 66-62 to in-state rival Iowa State on the road to No. 4 Iowa State on Thursday, Dec. 11. Iowa led Iowa State 33-25 at halftime, but the Cyclones went on a 24-5 run which helped them secure the win. Iowa shot 51% from the field and 47% from behind the 3-point line. Iowa turned the ball over 16 times, which led to 18 points for the Cyclones. Tavion Banks led the team with 14 points on 5-for-9 shooting.

Iowa is led in scoring by Bennett Stirtz with 17.9 points and 4.8 assists per game. Cam Manyawu is grabbing 4.5 rebounds per game this season.

Iowa is averaging 78.1 points per game, which ranks 224th. They are the 17th-best shooting team in the nation hitting 51.6% from the field. The Hawkeyes are also making 39.1% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 25th best.

On defense, Iowa is allowing 62.9 points per game, which ranks 10th best in the country. They are allowing 43.5% from the field, placing them 186th. Iowa is the 157th-ranked 3-point defense, surrendering 32.2% from behind the arc.

Iowa is 8-2 against the spread this season. They are 5-1 against the spread when they have played at home. The Hawkeyes are 5-1 against the spread when they have been double-digit favorites. The over is 5-4-1 when Iowa has played this season. The over is 4-1-1 when Iowa has played at home.

Western Michigan Broncos vs Iowa Hawkeyes Picks

Western Michigan vs Iowa Spread Pick

  • Iowa Hawkeyes -28 (5 units)Β 

Iowa has handled their business against lesser quality opponents this year and it’s hard to see it not continuing in this matchup. Iowa is 5-1 against the spread as a double-digit favorite. Western Michigan is 1-3-1 against the spread when they have played on the road. The Broncos are the 244th-ranked 3-point defensive team and they cannot stop opposing offenses from scoring at will. Iowa, with their methodical offense, can score efficiently. They are hitting over 50% from the field, which ranks inside the 20th-best teams in the nation. The Hawkeyes are also hitting the 25th-best 3-point percentage mark, too. Iowa should come out swinging after their loss to Iowa State and should cruise to an easy win.

Take Iowa to cover.Β 

Western Michigan vs Iowa Over/Under Pick

  • Over 144 (5 units)

Iowa is the ninth slowest team in the nation. They play deep into the shot clock and rarely turn the ball over. But, Iowa is one of the most efficient offenses in the nation. They rank 35th in offensive rating and they hit over 50% from the field. The ball will move slowly, but the Hawkeyes will score the ball often. Western Michigan will try to speed the game up in transition as they rank 140th in adjusted tempo. The Broncos will allow points as they rank over 78 points per game this season. The over is 4-1-1 when Iowa has played at home. The over is 2-1 when the total has been set at 149 points or less for Western Michigan games.

Take the over on Sunday.

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