Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverines Picks, Prediction, Odds and Line Movement for Saturday, January 10, 2026
It’s a Big Ten contest on the hardwood as the Wisconsin Badgers travel to the Great Lakes State to battle the #2 Michigan Wolverines Saturday afternoon and we have you covered with our Wisconsin vs. Michigan prediction. Wisconsin downed UCLA 80-72 at home Tuesday in their previous contest, covering the line as a 3.5-point favorite. Michigan edged Penn State 74-72 on the road Tuesday night in their previous game, failing to cover the line as a 24.5-point favorite. In the all-time series between the teams, the Badgers own a 28-18 advantage though the Wolverines have taken the last four meetings, including a 59-53 win in the most recent matchup in the Big Ten Tournament, which was held in Indianapolis March 16, 2025. Read more about this USC vs. Michigan prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!
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Wisconsin Looking to Hand Wolverines First Loss
Wisconsin won their third game in the last four contests as they dropped UCLA at home in their previous contest. The Badgers improved to 10-5 overall and stand 2-2 in the Big Ten on the season entering this contest. Against UCLA, Wisconsin trailed just once in the game, at 4-3, and then reeled off 13 unanswered points to take a 16-4 advantage with 13:42 to play in the first half. The Badgers led 45-31 at the half and by as many as 20 in the second half while cruising to the win. Wisconsin shot 45.5% from the field, including 10 of 30 from three-point range, and knocked down 20 of 27 free throw attempts in the game. Nick Boyd led the Badgers with 20 points, eight rebounds and five assists in the win.
The Badgers are 86th in the nation in scoring offense this season as they are putting up an average of 82.5 points per game. Wisconsin grabs 37.9 rebounds per contest and hands out 15.6 assists per game. The Badgers are 204th in the nation in scoring defense as they allow 74.1 points a night. Nick Boyd is one of three Badgers averaging in double figures as he averages 19.5 points plus 3.2 assists a night on the season. John Blackwell (17.4 points, 4.8 rebounds), Austin Rapp (9.4 points) and Nolan Winter (14.6 points, 9.2 rebounds) are good secondary options. Andrew Rohde, Braeden Carrington, Aleksas Bieliauskas, Isaac Gard, Jack Janicki, Will Garlock, Hayden Jones, Jack Robinson and Riccardo Greppi are all called upon for key minutes and contributions for the Badgers. Wisconsin is shooting 45.1% from the floor as a team this season. The Badgers sink 10 three-pointers a game (45th) while hitting 32.6% (243rd) from beyond the arc. Wisconsin is excellent at the free throw line, converting 76.3% of their attempts at the free throw line this year, putting them 42nd in the nation.
Key Injury Report for Wisconsin:
- Forward Austin Rapp (undisclosed) is questionable.
Wolverines Hope to Learn From Narrow Win
Michigan remained unbeaten on the year as they slipped past Penn State on the road Tuesday night in their previous contest. The Wolverines improved to 14-0 overall and stand 4-0 in the Big Ten, leaving them tied for the top spot in the conference. Against Penn State, Michigan trailed by as many as six in the first half and led by as many as 10 in the first half before settling for a nine-point margin at intermission. The Wolverines took their biggest lead at 63-48 with 10:41 remaining and managed to hang on after seeing Penn State get within one with 1:04 remaining. Michigan shot 45.6% from the field, including eight of 27 from three-point range, and held Penn State to 34.9% shooting in the contest. L.J. Cason led the Wolverines with 14 points off the bench in the win.
The Wolverines are 2nd in the nation in scoring offense as they put up an average of 95.1 points per game on the season. Michigan grabs an average of 44.1 rebounds per contest on the season while ranking 4th in assists by dishing out 20.8 dimes a night. The Wolverines are above average on the defensive end of the floor, ranking 39th in the nation in scoring defense by allowing 66.9 points per contest. Yaxel Lendeborg leads the Wolverines as he puts up 14.7 points and seven rebounds a night this season. Roddy Gayle Jr. (10.2 points, 3.7 rebounds) and Morez Johnson Jr. (13.9 points, 6.7 rebounds) are solid secondary scoring options. Trey McKenney (10.9 points), Aday Mara (10.2 points, eight rebounds), Nimari Burnett, Elliott Cadeau, L.J. Cason, Will Tschetter, Winters Grady and Oscar Goodman have to contribute for coach Dusty May. Michigan shoots 52.6% from the field as a team this season, putting them 5th in Division I. The Wolverines drain an average of 10 three-pointers a night while shooting 36.3% from beyond the arc on the year. Michigan is average at the free throw line this season, hitting 71.4% of their attempts at the line, putting them 194th in the country.
Key Injury Report for Michigan:
- No Key Injuries
Wisconsin vs. Michigan Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tony Karpinski | +2,494.00 |
| 2 |  Joe Duffy | +1,859.00 |
| 3 |  The Insiders Room | +1,788.00 |
| 4 |  Mark Ruelle | +1,428.00 |
| 5 |  Jackie Mack | +1,400.00 |
Wisconsin vs. Michigan Spread Pick
- Michigan (4 units)
Michigan is still unbeaten and will be motivated to show that the narrow win over Penn State was an aberration. The Badgers have played just one true road game this season and were walloped 90-60 by Nebraska. Rapp’s status is concerning as you need all hands on deck to try and keep up with Michigan’s talent and depth. Michigan owns 10 wins by at least 25 points already this season and hasn’t had a true home game decided by less than 28 points. The Wolverines are explosive offensively and they shoot the ball extremely well. Wisconsin can’t slow the Wolverines down or get the stops required to hang in here. Michigan wins going away.
Wisconsin vs. Michigan Over/Under Pick
- Over (4 units)
Wisconsin has seen the over post an 8-7 mark in their 15 games so far this season. The Badgers are 63rd in offensive efficiency, 43rd in defensive efficiency, 38th in turnover percentage (14.5%) and 17th in allowed offensive rebounding percentage (24.9%) this season. Wisconsin is 51st in adjusted tempo with 71.1 possessions a night. Michigan has seen the under post an 8-6 mark in their 14 games on the year. The Wolverines are first in defensive efficiency, first in effective field goal percentage defense (40.6%), first in field goal percentage defense (34.6%), first in two-point defense (38.7%) and fourth in the nation in rebounding. Michigan is 7th in tempo with 74.9 possessions a night. Look for the Wolverines to pile up points and force the Badgers to try and keep pace, pushing this one over the number.
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