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Xavier Musketeers vs Providence Friars Picks and Prediction for Tuesday February 24 2026

By: Dylan Hellebrand Published 02/24/2026, 06:40 AM ET

The Xavier Musketeers head to Providence, Rhode Island for a game against the Providence Friars, with both teams trying to find some momentum as the season winds down. Xavier comes in at 13-14 overall and 5-11 in Big East play, while Providence is close behind at 12-15 and also 5-11 in the conference. With identical conference records, both programs are essentially neck-and-neck near the bottom of the Big East standings this season. Get involved in the action with our free college basketball picks.

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Xavier vs. Providence Game Information

  • February 24, 2026
  • 7:30pm EST
  • Amica Mutual Pavilion
  • TNT/truTV

Providence Form & Recent Results

Providence heads into this game riding a one-game winning streak and has put together a solid stretch overall, taking three of its last five games. The Friars most recently pulled out a tight 71–68 win over DePaul in Chicago on Saturday, leaning on Jaylin Sellers’ 21-point performance to get them across the line. They also got strong contributions in other areas, with Oswin Erhunmwunse owning the glass for 12 rebounds and Jason Edwards helping keep the offense organized with 6 assists. Providence shot the ball well throughout the game, finishing at 51% from the field and an impressive 50% from three-point range, although they were less efficient at the free-throw line at 62%. They also controlled much of the flow, grabbing 41 rebounds and holding the lead for roughly three-quarters of the game, which shows how consistently they were able to stay in front even as DePaul tried to rally late.

Over the course of the year, Sellers and Edwards have been the go-to scorers for Providence, both averaging 17.3 points per game, while Stefan Vaaks has also been a reliable scoring option at 15.7 points per game. Erhunmwunse has been especially important as the team’s top rebounder, pulling down 8.4 boards per game and giving the Friars extra possessions and second-chance opportunities. When it comes to playmaking, Vaaks and Edwards share the team lead in assists at 3.2 per game each, highlighting how much Providence relies on multiple players to move the ball and create good looks. Offensively, they’ve been productive lately, averaging 81.4 points over their last five games, and they’ve been even more dangerous at home. Providence is 9–5 on its own floor this season, where it’s scoring 88.4 points per game, and they’ll try to keep that offensive edge going when they welcome Xavier on Tuesday.

Xavier Form & Recent Results

Xavier heads into this game in a rough patch, riding a two-game losing streak and having dropped four of its last five games overall. The Musketeers are coming off an 80–75 loss to Butler in Indianapolis on Saturday, a game where Tre Carroll did everything he could to keep them in it. Carroll poured in 24 points and added four assists, while Filip Borovicanin battled on the glass and finished with 10 rebounds. Even with some solid moments, Xavier couldn’t quite find enough consistency from deep, hitting just 31% of its three-point attempts, although it did shoot well at the line at 82%, a sign the offense was still able to generate some quality looks and draw contact.

This season, Carroll has clearly been Xavier’s go-to scorer, leading the team at 18.6 points per game. Jovan Milicevic has been the next most reliable scoring option, averaging 12 points a night so far this year. Borovicanin has been one of Xavier’s most important all-around contributors, leading the team in rebounding at 7.9 per game and also topping the roster in assists at 4.3 per game, which is pretty unusual production for a big man. The bigger concern lately, though, has been defense. Over the last five games Xavier has surrendered 87.8 points per game, and things have been even tougher away from home. The Musketeers are just 1–8 on the road this season, giving up an average of 83.2 points in those games, and that road defense has played a major role in their struggles as they try to steady themselves and snap the skid against Providence.

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Key Stats

  • Xavier’s Filip Borovicanin this season: 7.9 rebounds, 4.3 assists per game
  • Providence’s Jason Edwards this season: 17.3 points, 3.2 assists per game

Betting Odds & Market Overview:

  • PROV -5.5; O/U 171.5

Xavier vs. Providence Picks and Prediction

Providence has been solid at home this season, winning nine of its fourteen games at Amica Mutual Pavilion. Xavier, on the other hand, has really struggled on the road, dropping eight of its nine road games so far. Even with those trends, neither team has found much consistency in Big East play, as both have lost eleven of their sixteen conference games. That said, if Xavier wants to come into Providence and come out with a win, its defense on the road has to be noticeably better than what it’s shown most of the season. The Friars are coming off a tight Big East win at DePaul a few days ago, and they’ll be looking to build on that momentum with another conference victory in this game. Final Score Prediction, Providence Friars win but fail to cover the spread, 82-78.

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