Youngstown State Penguins vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies Picks and Predictions for Thursday February 12 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 02/12/2026, 07:00 AM ET
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The Youngstown State Penguins travel to Rochester, Michigan, to face the Oakland Golden Grizzlies on Thursday, February 12, 2026. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET at the OU Credit Union O’rena, and the game will be streamed on ESPN+. At the time of this writing, the moneyline odds were not released. The total is set at 156.5 points (over -110 / under -110), and Oakland is favored by 4.5 points (-115), while Youngstown State is +4.5 (-105). Before locking in your wagers, make sure to check out our free college basketball picks for additional insight on today’s board.

Penguins Hoping to Carry Momentum on the Road

Youngstown State enters this matchup with a 12-13 overall record and has shown flashes of strong play despite inconsistency. The Penguins recently lost to Robert Morris but earned a dominant road win over Purdue Fort Wayne. They also picked up victories against IU Indianapolis and Green Bay while suffering a narrow loss to Milwaukee. That recent stretch shows a team capable of competing when shots fall.

The Penguins average 78.0 points per game while allowing 72.4 points per contest. They shoot an efficient 47% from the field and average 34.2 rebounds per game. With 14.2 assists per contest, they demonstrate solid ball movement, and defensively they create pressure with 7.1 steals and 3.7 blocks per game.

Youngstown State’s biggest strength is its offensive efficiency. Shooting 47% from the field and scoring nearly 78 points per game, the Penguins are comfortable playing at a faster tempo. Their defensive activity, particularly in passing lanes, allows them to generate transition opportunities. However, defensive lapses have occasionally led to high-scoring games, which could be a factor in this matchup.

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Golden Grizzlies Relying on Offense at Home

Oakland comes into Thursday night’s contest at 14-11 overall and has been competitive on its home floor. The Golden Grizzlies recently lost to Cleveland State but earned wins over Northern Kentucky, Purdue Fort Wayne, and Detroit Mercy. They also suffered a high-scoring loss to IU Indianapolis, illustrating both their offensive potential and defensive vulnerability.

Oakland averages 83.3 points per game while allowing 81.5 points per contest, signaling a team that thrives in up-tempo matchups. Like Youngstown State, the Golden Grizzlies shoot 47% from the field. They grab 35.6 rebounds per game and average 15.8 assists per contest, highlighting strong offensive flow. Defensively, they generate 7.5 steals and 3.8 blocks per game.

The key identity of Oakland is pace and scoring. Averaging over 83 points per game, they are comfortable pushing the ball and engaging in shootouts. However, allowing more than 81 points per game leaves the door open for opponents to stay within striking distance. At home, their offense tends to dictate tempo, which could turn this into one of the higher-scoring games on the slate.

Youngstown State vs Oakland Pick

Youngstown State vs Oakland Spread Pick

  • Pick: Oakland -4.5

Oakland’s home-court advantage combined with its offensive firepower gives it a slight edge in this matchup. While Youngstown State has shown it can score efficiently, the Golden Grizzlies’ 83.3 points per game and strong assist numbers suggest a team capable of creating consistent scoring runs. In what should be a competitive contest, Oakland’s ability to generate offense in bunches could help them cover the 4.5-point spread.

Youngstown State vs Oakland Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 156.5

I’m looking at both teams’ scoring averages and defensive numbers and leaning toward the over. Oakland allows 81.5 points per game, and Youngstown State averages 78.0. With both teams shooting 47% from the field and playing at a quicker pace, this matchup has the ingredients for a high-scoring affair. If each side reaches the upper 70s or low 80s, the total should clear comfortably.

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