Air Force Falcons vs. UConn Huskies Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 15th, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Air Force Falcons (3-6, 4-5 ATS, 6-3 O/U) meet the Connecticut Huskies (7-3, 5-3-2 ATS, 7-3 O/U) in an inter-conference clash on Saturday afternoon, and we have you covered with the prediction. The Falcons posted a road win against San Jose State last week. The Huskies issued an upset win against Duke in their previous action.
Can the Falcons keep the score with 10 points on the road on Saturday? Check out the Falcons vs. Huskies prediction. Do you need a boost in your handicapping? Try our NCAAF Picks!
Air Force Eyes Second Straight Win
The Air Force Falcons are seeking a second straight win. Air Force needs three wins in their last three games to secure bowl eligibility. They have won two of their past three games, including a win against Wyoming. Air Force dropped the rivalry meeting against Army two weeks ago and countered with a 26-16 road win against San Jose State last week in a game that had the Falcons marked as 6.5-point dogs. The Falcons have covered the spread in three of their past five games.
Liam Szarka doesn’t usually attempt a ton of passes in a triple-option offense. The sophomore QB has surpassed 200 yards in three games this season. He amassed just 41 yards last week and has recorded 1260 passing yards and a 9:5 TD to INT ratio. He is a huge threat on the ground, leading the team with 903 rushing yards. Owen Allen has been dominant recently, recording 100 or more yards in three of his past four games. The junior RB now has 513 rushing yards on the season. Dylan Carson has 323 yards.
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The receiving core has two players with 300+ yards. Cade Harris has posted fewer than 50 yards in five straight games, and the senior WR leads the squad with 536 receiving yards. The Air Force offense netted 302 total yards last week. They are averaging 438 yards per game.
The Falcons' defense is a weakness, but it has displayed some improvement. They have conceded 21 or fewer points in three straight games. The unit gave up 435 yards last week but only 16 points. They are averaging an average of 457 yards per game. Roger Jones Jr. has made a combined 60 tackles. The pass defense is 133rd while the rush defense is marked 101st.
Air Force is averaging 33 points on the season, ranking them 32nd. The Falcons are squandering an average of 33 points, pegging them 122nd.
UConn Targets Third Straight Win
The Connecticut Huskies are seeking a third straight win. UConn is having an outstanding season and will be playing in a bowl game next month. They dropped a narrow overtime meeting against Rice to conclude October and have answered by winning two games in a row. UConn beat UAB to begin November and posted a 37-34 home win against Duke of the ACC last week. They were 7.5-point dogs in the upset win. The Huskies have covered the spread in four of their past five games.
Joe Fagnano is having a dominating season. The senior QB has some of the best numbers in the country. Fagnano has surpassed 300 yards on five occasions this season, including 311 last week, and has amassed 2840 passing yards, accompanied by a stunning 25:0 TD to INT ratio.
The offense will pass more than run. Cam Edwards is having a superb season on the ground. The junior RB has gained 50 or more yards in each game this season and has delivered 866 rushing yards on the season. The receiving group has a star in Skyler Bell. The senior WR has reported 100 or more receiving yards in six games this season and has 1081 receiving yards on the year. Reymello Murphy is next up with 371 yards. The UConn offense delivered 467 yards in the win against Duke. They are posting an average of 456 yards per game.
The Huskies’ defense is not nearly as potent as the offense. They gave up 37 points against Rice a few weeks ago. They were decent against Duke, keeping them to 390 total yards. The unit is conceding an average of 391 yards per game. Bryun Parham leads the team with a combined 96 tackles. The pass defense is decent, standing 65th, but the rush defense is being exposed, coming in at 109th.
Connecticut is scoring an average of 36.9 points on the season, rating them 16th. The Huskies are keeping opponents to 24.9 points, marking them 73rd in the country.
Air Force vs. UConn Pick
Spread Pick for Air Force vs. UConn
- Air Force Falcons +7 (5 units)
The Air Force Falcons are playing with confidence. They have won two of their past three games, with the only defeat in that span a narrow 20-17 loss against Army. This is a big game considering Air Force needs to win their last three games to secure bowl eligibility. The UConn Huskies are a great team, but have already secured bowl eligibility.
Furthermore, Air Force uses the triple-option offense, which consists of a variety of running plays and is hard to contain. They are averaging 269 rushing yards per game, ranking them 2nd in the entire country. This is very important in this matchup. The Huskies' rush defense is among the worst. They are squandering an average of 174 rushing yards per game, ranking them 109th in the country. The Falcons' defense has been better recently, which should also help keep this one within reach. They have conceded 21 or fewer points in three straight games.
Over/Under Pick for Air Force vs. UConn
- Over 63.5 (5 units)
I expect this one to have a ton of scoring. Air Force ranks 30th in yards per game and, as mentioned, has one of the best rushing offenses. They have scored 30 or more points in six of their nine games on the season. The Huskies' defense is a weakness that stands near the bottom in most categories.
In addition, Connecticut has a dangerous offense that has exposed most of the opposition this season. Joe Fagnano is a star QB who has led his offense to 300 passing yards per game. Expect another big output against a weak Falcons' pass defense that stands 135th in the country. The over is 7-3 in the Falcons' past 10 games.
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