Air Force vs. Colorado State Picks and Prediction, Friday, November 28th, 2025
In this Air Force at Colorado State prediction, the Falcons make the short trip to Fort Collins to take on the Rams in a Mountain West Conference matchup. Air Force comes into this rivalry matchup with a record of just 3-8. It has been a down year for Colorado State as well, with an overall mark of 2-9 and just one win in the conference. The opening kick is scheduled for 3:00 pm EST. Don’t get sacked this football season! Try our College Football Picks!
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Air Force Grounded
The Air Force Falcons dropped their second straight last Saturday, this time to New Mexico, 20-3 at Falcon Stadium in Colorado. The Falcons were held scoreless until a field goal in the fourth quarter. The Falcons are now 3-8 on the season.
"We didn't start fast enough, obviously, on both sides of the ball, and we were playing catch-up from thereafter." Head coach Troy Calhoun said after the loss.
Air Force was held in check on Saturday, finishing with just 153 yards of total offense. The vaunted Air Force ground attack finished with just 110 yards rushing. Kemper Hodges made his first career start at quarterback for Air Force. He ran for a team-high 50 yards, but did so on 20 carries. Josh Johnson took over at quarterback in the second half, throwing for 46 yards. Wide receiver Jonah Dawson finished with 28 yards receiving on two catches.
The Falcons held New Mexico to 277 yards of total offense. Linebacker Blake Fletcher led the defense with 11 tackles. He now has over 100 tackles on the season, leading the team. Fellow linebacker Brody Bujnoch added a career-high 10 tackles. Defensive lineman Peyton Zdroik had four tackles in the game, including two for loss. Defensive back Levi Brown had a career-high seven tackles.
Air Force is ranked 64th in the country in points per game. The Falcons are 33rd in the nation in rushing and just 127th in passing. The Falcons are 19th in the nation in red zone attempts per game. They are 42nd in red zone offense conversions. Air Force is ranked 26th in sacks allowed per game. The Falcons are 116th in the nation in points allowed per game. They are just 134th in the country against the run. They are 125th in the nation against the pass. The Falcons are 86th in the country in red zone opportunities this season and 115th in red zone offense. The Falcons are 136th in sacks per game. They are sixth in penalties per game and 100th in turnover margin.
Key Injuries: QB Liam Szarka and WR Tre Roberson are out.
Colorado State Closes Out Season
It has been a disappointing season for the Colorado State Rams. The team got off to a 2-5 start, and that cost head coach Jay Norvell his job on October 19th. Defensive coordinator Tyson Summers has taken over the job on an interim basis. The team is 0-4 with him at the helm, including a 49-21 loss at Boise State last Saturday.
On Wednesday, reports are coming out that UConn coach Jim Mora is going to be the next head at Colorado State in 2026.
Quarterback Darius Curry, the team’s third starting quarterback this season, finished the game 26-of-46 for 293 yards and two touchdowns. He also threw three interceptions in the contest. Tight end Rocky Beers had seven catches for 94 yards and a touchdown. Tay Lanier also added a touchdown grab. In all, the Rams had 332 yards of total offense, including just 39 yards rushing.
Defensively, the Rams allowed Boise State to rack up 533 yards of total offense, including a whopping 293 yards on the ground. They allowed 32 first downs and lost the turnover battle, 4-1. Jace Bellah and Owen Long both finished with double-digit tackles, Bellah leading the way with 17 tackles and Long chipping in with 12. Lemondre Joe registered the team’s only sack of the day.
The Rams will end a difficult season on Saturday, and then set about the difficult task of finding a new head coach to lead the program. They come into this contest ranked just 122nd in the nation in points per game. The Rams are 117th in rushing and 84th in passing. The team is just 125th in the country in red zone opportunities, but 49th in red zone conversions. The Rams are 117th in the country in sacks allowed. On the defensive end, the Rams rank 106th in points allowed per game. They are 130th against the run and 87th against the pass. They have the 56th-ranked red zone defense in the nation. The Rams are 107th in sacks per game, 86th in penalty yards per game, and 78th in turnover margin.
Key Injuries: OL Alex Foster and TE Rocky Beers are questionable. DB Ayden Hector is out.
Air Force at Colorado State
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rob Vinciletti | +1,570.00 |
| 2 |  Dan Kaiser | +1,223.00 |
| 3 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,000.00 |
| 4 |  Earle Sports Bets | +916.00 |
| 5 |  David Hess | +706.00 |
Point Spread pick for Air Force vs. Colorado State
- Air Force -2.5 (4 units)
Last season, the Rams ended a seven-game losing streak to the Falcons with a win on the road. This year, however, the Rams are in too much disarray to pull off a repeat performance. The team is 0-4 since firing its head coach. The Rams also have one of the worst run defenses in the country, ranked 130th in the nation. That plays right into the hands of an Air Force team that thrives on running the football. Air Force ranks 33rd in the country in rushing. The Falcons are also a respectable 64th in the nation in scoring, while the Rams are just 122nd. Colorado State is on its third different quarterback this season, and that has reflected in the team’s output. Simply put, the Rams won’t be able to keep pace offensively in this game, and the disciplined Air Force squad will control the tempo and time of possession with their ground attack to win their 8th in the last 9 meetings with Colorado State.
Take the Falcons -2.5
Over/Under Pick for Air Force vs. Colorado State
- Under 44.5 (4 units)
The Air Force ground attack should be able to consistently make strides against a shaky Rams’ run defense. That, in turn, will slow down this game and give a major edge in time of possession to Air Force. The last three meetings between these two rivals have gone under the number as well, with familiarity favoring both defenses. That trend will continue on Friday.
Take the under.
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