Appalachian State vs Boise State, Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 27, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Appalachian State Mountaineers (2-1, 0-1 Sun Belt) pay a visit to Boise, Idaho, and Albertsons Stadium on Saturday to play the Boise State Broncos (2-1, 1-0 MWC). Appalachian State lost to Southern Miss last Saturday, 38-22, after opening the season with victories over Charlotte (34-11) and Lindenwood (20-13). Boise State defeated Air Force 49-37 last Saturday, following an opening week loss to South Florida (34-7) and a 51-14 victory over Eastern Washington. Appalachian State has two players questionable, including QB JJ Kohl. Boise State will play without RB Jambres Dubar, while two others are questionable, including QB Maddux Madsen. Make sure to read this in-depth application State Mountaineers vs Boise State Broncos prediction.
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Appalachian State is tough on both sides of the line of scrimmage
The Appalachian State Mountaineers score an average of 25.3 points per game and allow an average of 20.7 points per game, which are 89th and 58th, respectively. The Mountaineers average 519.7 yards of total offense per game, which is 13th in the nation, and allow an average of 274.3 yards per game, which is 27th.
Appalachian State's offense is led by its passing game, which averages 357.7 yards per game, which is third best in the country, while the running game averages 162.0 yards per game, which is 68th. Quarterback AJ Swann has completed 63.1% of his passes for 879 yards with five touchdowns but has been picked off four times. Rashod Dubinion has 400 yards rushing with an average of 5.6 yards per carry. Dubinion has scored two touchdowns. Jaden Barnes has caught 24 passes for 337 yards, with an average of 14.0 yards per reception and three touchdowns. Kicker Dominic De Freitas has made each of his eight extra point attempts and is four of five in field goal attempts. Linebacker Colson Phares has 21 tackles to lead Appalachian State, while lineman Thomas Davis is the leader in quarterback sacks with 2.0. Appalachian State’s defense has made nine sacks and intercepted four passes.
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Boise State’s offense is tough to stop but its defense needs help
The Boise State Broncos score an average of 35.7 points per game, which is 47th, while allowing an average of 28.3 points per game, which is 102nd. Boise State averages 535.7 yards of total offense per game, which is 11th in the country, while the defense is 98th, allowing an average of 393.0 yards per game.
Boise State quarterback Maddux Madsen, who is listed as questionable for Saturday but expected to start, has thrown for 808 yards with five touchdowns and one interception. Madsen has been sacked just once through the first three games. Dylan Riley leads the Broncos in rushing, with 314 yards and five touchdowns while averaging 9.8 yards per carry. Chris Marshall has caught just seven passes but has a team-best 164 yards receiving for an average of 23.4 yards per reception. Marshall has one touchdown reception. Kicker Canaan Moore has converted each of his four extra points, while Colton Boomer is 10-for-11 on extra points. Boise State has made just one of three field goal attempts. The leading tackler is cornerback Ty Benefield with 26. Lineman Braxton Fely leads in sacks with 1.5. Boise State's defense has 6.0 sacks and two interceptions
App State Mountaineers vs. Boise State Broncos Pick
Spread Pick for App State vs. Boise State
- Appalachian State Mountaineers +16 ( units)
While Appalachian State is not likely to win straight up, the Mountaineers, behind a very strong offense and a solid defense, will keep the score close enough to cover the spread. As mentioned previously, Appalachian State ranks 13th in total offense and 27th and total defense, while Boise State is 11th in total offense, but the Broncos are only 98th in total defense. Appalachian State’s offense is very strong through the air as AJ Swann has passed for 879 yards, and as a team, the Mountaineers are averaging 357.7 yards passing per game, which is third best in the nation. Boise State opened this season with a disappointing loss to South Florida, and the Broncos will have a tough time at home on Saturday when hosting the Mountaineers.
Over/Under Pick for App State vs. Boise State
- Over 61 ( units)
This is a matchup between two teams that are very strong on offense, as Appalachian State is 13th in the country in total offense and Boise State is 11th. Appalachian State scores an average of 25.3 points for a while, allowing each of 20.7 points per game. Boise State scores an average of 35.7 points per game and is allowing an average of 28.3 points per game. The total has finished over in each of Boise State's last two games.
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