Appalachian State vs. Georgia State, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, October 11, 2025

By: Bosun Akinpelu Published 10/09/2025, 04:48 PM ET
Mountaineers vs. Panthers Prediction
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Appalachian State (3-2, 0-1 Sun Belt) will be trying to pick up their first conference win of the season when they visit Center Parc Stadium on Saturday afternoon to face Georgia State (1-4, 0-1 Sun Belt) at 3:30 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Mountaineers vs. Panthers prediction. If you are struggling to pick winners, you've come to the right place. We have the strongest College Football Picks.

The Mountaineers are coming off a 27-23 win over Oregon State as 1.5-point favorites. The Panthers are coming off a 1-7 loss to James Madison as 20-point underdogs.

Appalachian State is 10-0 in its last 10 games against Georgia State. The Mountaineers won last seasonโ€™s meeting, 33-26.

Appalachian State Going For Second Consecutive Win

The Mountaineers snapped their two-game losing streak with a win over Oregon State in their last game. They have lost two straight road games and will try to pick up their first road win when they play on Saturday.

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Appalachian State averages 23.4 points per game, which is 100th in the country. They throw for 271.2 yards and rush for 148.2 yards per game.

AJ Swann has completed 60 percent of his passes for 943 yards, six touchdowns, and two interceptions. Rashod Dubinion leads the team with 107 carries for 611 yards and three touchdowns, while Dalton Stroman leads the team with 18 carries for 350 yards and two touchdowns.

Appalachian State is giving up 26.4 points per game, which is 91st in the country. They are giving up 275 passing yards and 109 rushing yards per game.

Georgia State Trying To Snap Two-Game Losing Streak

The Panthers followed up their first win of the season with losses to Vanderbilt and JMU. They have also lost 11 straight games against the Mountaineers. They will try to put an end to both streaks and pick up their second win of the season when they play on Saturday.

Georgia State averages 17.6 points per game, which is 129th in the country. They throw for 233.4 yards and rush for 95 yards per game.

TJ Finley has completed 66 percent of his passes for 725 yards, four touchdowns, and three interceptions. Rashad Amos leads the team with 42 carries for 195 yards and one touchdown, while Ted Hurst leads the team with 28 catches for 406 yards and two touchdowns.

Georgia State is giving up 41.2 points per game, which is 134th in the country. They are giving up 254.8 passing yards and 251.3 rushing yards per game.

Appalachian State vs. Georgia State Picks

Point Spread Pick for Appalachian State vs. Georgia State

  • Appalachian State Mountaineers -1.5 (4 Units)

The Mountaineers have won three of their last five games, while the Panthers have lost four of their last five games. Appalachian State has the edge here because they have one of the best passing games in the league, and theyโ€™re facing a defense that has struggled against the pass, giving up more than 250 passing yards per game. They will also be able to run the ball effectively against one of the worst run defenses in the country.

Scoring won't be as easy for the Panthers because theyโ€™re one-dimensional, which makes them very easy to defend. They run for less than 100 yards per game, so the Mountaineers don't have to worry about them beating them through the air, which will allow them to keep pressure on Finley and force him to make costly turnovers, which he has done consistently this season, so expect them to keep Georgia Stateโ€™s offense in check. Take the Mountaineers to cover the spread.

Over/Under Pick for Appalachian State vs. Georgia State

  • Under 55.5 (4 Units)

The Mountaineers played under the total in seven of their last nine games, while the Panthers played under the total in three of their last four games. Appalachian State averages 23.4 points per game. They throw the ball 55 percent of the time with the 33rd-best passing attack in the country, and theyโ€™re facing a team that is 102nd against the pass and is giving up 41.2 points per game. The Panthers average 17.6 points per game. They throw the ball 60 percent of the time with the 74th-best passing attack in the country. They are facing a team that is 118th against the pass and is giving up 24.3 points per game at home. Donโ€™t expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total. The Mountaineers and Panthers played under the total in three of their last five meetings.

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