Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Baylor Bears Prediction and Picks - Saturday, September 20, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Baylor Bears (2-1) are hosting the Arizona State Sun Devils on Saturday in a Big 12 showdown. Last season, Arizona State went 11-3 and won the Big 12, while Baylor went 8-5 overall and 6-3 in the conference.
This will be the first head-to-head meeting between these teams since 1990.
If you are struggling to pick winners, you've come to the right place. We have the strongest NCAAF Predictions.Â
Looking to build off a special season
Arizona State comes into this week with a 2-1 record, fresh off a convincing 34-15 home win over Texas State. Through the first three games, the Sun Devils average 232.3 rushing yards per contest, which ranks among the top 25 nationally. Running back Raleek Brown has been the standout playmaker, rushing for 292 yards at 8.3 yards. Quarterback Sam Leavitt has been serviceable, completing just over 58 percent of his attempts with six touchdowns, but he has also tossed five interceptions.
Get Free $30 Credit for Premium Picks + Exclusive Discounts
Subscribe Now
Defensively, Arizona State has been solid overall, holding opponents to 326.3 yards per game and keeping Texas State under three yards per rush. However, there are lingering questions about how their pass defense will hold up against higher-caliber quarterbacks. Mississippi State exposed them in Week 2, and now Robertson and Baylor’s quick-strike passing game represent another difficult test.
While the Sun Devils’ physicality in the trenches is their strength, their lack of offensive balance could prove costly. To compete in Waco, ASU needs Leavitt to limit mistakes and for the offensive line to pave the way for sustained rushing drives to keep Baylor’s offense off the field.
Bears looking to defend their turf
Baylor also sits at 2-1, bouncing back from a tough Week 1 loss to Auburn with a thrilling overtime victory at SMU and a dominant 42-7 showing over Sam Houston. The Bears’ offensive profile has been eye-catching: they rank 16th nationally in total yards at 517.3 per game and a remarkable 4th in passing yards at 368. Quarterback Sawyer Robertson has emerged as a reliable leader, throwing for over 1,000 yards with seven touchdowns against two interceptions. His connection with Josh Cameron, who has caught 15 passes for 244 yards and three scores, has been a key in unlocking Baylor’s offensive ceiling.
On the ground, Bryson Washington provides balance with 304 rushing yards and four touchdowns, though Baylor has been more explosive through the air than consistent between the tackles. The Bears average 38 points per contest, demonstrating firepower that exceeds what Arizona State has shown through three weeks.
Defensively, Baylor’s numbers (356 total yards allowed per game) speak to some bend-but-don’t-break tendencies, but their secondary has been opportunistic with four takeaways.
Arizona State vs Baylor Picks:
Spread Pick for Arizona State vs. Baylor
- Baylor -2.5 (5 units)
Laying less than a field goal at home is a manageable number for a Baylor team that appears to have more offensive answers and balance than Arizona State. The Bears’ passing attack under Robertson is far more dynamic than what the Sun Devils have faced outside of Mississippi State, and their ability to generate explosive plays through the air should tilt the matchup. Arizona State’s defense has held firm against weaker opponents but has not demonstrated it can consistently slow down a top-20 passing attack.
Arizona State's heavy dependence on the run game puts pressure on them to stay ahead in down and distance. Leavitt has been turnover-prone, so if he is forced into long passing situations, Baylor’s secondary and pass rush give the Bears a strong edge. With the crowd behind them and a quarterback playing at a higher level, Baylor is the side to back at -2.5.
Over/Under Prediction for Arizona State vs. Baylor
- Over 59.5 (4 units)
This total hinges on whether Arizona State’s ground-and-pound style can slow Baylor’s tempo. Even if the Sun Devils chew some clock, Baylor’s pace and passing efficiency should create enough chunk plays to force a higher scoring game. Robertson and Cameron have been difficult to defend, and Baylor’s balanced attack has pushed them over 38 points per game.
Arizona State has scored at least 20 in all three contests this season and should find rushing lanes against a Baylor defense that surrendered a combined 83 points in their first two outings. If the Bears build an early cushion, ASU will have to push the pace more than usual, setting up a game script favorable for the over.
Betting on College Football?
- Bet with other College Football fans at the best sportsbooks
- Sign up today and get started with the latest college football sportsbook promos
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
