Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Duke Blue Devils Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, December 31, 2025
We’re in the heart of bowl season and it brings us a clash between the Big 12 and the ACC when the Arizona State Sun Devils travel to face the Duke Blue Devils Wednesday afternoon in the Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl and we have you covered with our Arizona State vs. Duke prediction. Arizona State closed their regular season slate with a 23-7 home loss to #25 Arizona in their previous contest November 28, failing to cover the line as a two-point underdog. Duke downed #17 Virginia 27-20 in overtime in Charlotte to win the ACC Championship Game December 6, winning outright as a 3.5-point underdog, in their previous game. In the all-time series between the teams, the Sun Devils took the only previous meeting, picking up a 36-31 win right here in the Sun Bowl December 27, 2014. Read more about this Arizona State vs. Duke prediction! Don’t get penalized! Increase your bankroll with our NCAAF Betting Picks!
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Arizona State Looking to Earn Victory
Arizona State had won three straight games before getting dropped at home by #25 Arizona in their previous contest. The Sun Devils fell to 8-4 overall on the year and finished 6-3 in Big 12 action on the year. Against Arizona, Arizona State scored the game’s first points on a 27-yard touchdown run by Jeff Sims early in the second quarter and held a 7-3 edge at the half. The Sun Devils’ offense failed to come out for the second half as they were outscored 20-0 to wind up with the loss. Arizona State was outgained 374-214 in total offense, gave up 24 first downs while picking up 12, was destroyed 40:01 to 19:59 in time of possession and turned the ball over five times while forcing just one takeaway in the loss.
The Sun Devils are averaging 211.1 yards per game through the air this season (87th in the nation) while they run for 189.4 yards per contest, which is 29th in the country. Arizona State is 89th in the FBS in scoring offense with an average of 24.7 points per game and they stand 52nd in scoring defense by allowing 23 points per contest. Sam Leavitt is 145 of 238 passing for 1,628 yards with 10 touchdowns against three picks while ranking third on the team with 306 yards and five scores this season. Jeff Sims (78 of 150, 886 yards, seven TD, five INT, 406 rush yards, three TD) is the backup quarterback. Raleek Brown is the leading rusher for the team with 186 carries for 1,141 yards and four touchdowns this season. Kyson Brown (18 carries, 106 yards) and Kanye Udoh (56 carries, 240 yards, two TD) have seen work as well. In the passing game, Jordyn Tyson (61 receptions, 711 yards, eight TD) is the team’s top target. Malik McClain (22 catches, 378 yards), tight end Chamon Metayer (38 receptions, 375 yards, four TD), Derek Eusebio (21 catches, 303 yards, two TD) and Raleek Brown (34 grabs, 239 yards, two TD) are the only other players with more than 200 receiving yards this season. Jesus Gomez is 29 of 29 on extra points and 21 of 29 on field goal attempts with a long of 51 on the year.
Key Injury Report for Arizona State:
- Quarterback Sam Leavitt (transfer portal) is out.
- Tackle Josh Atkins (transfer portal) is out.
- Cornerback Javan Robinson (transfer portal) is out.
- Wide receiver Jordyn Tyson (opt-out) is out.
- Running back Raleek Brown (opt-out) is out.
- Tight end Chamon Metayer (opt-out) is out.
- Tackle Max Iheanachor (opt-out) is out.
- Linebacker Keyshaun Elliott (opt-out) is out.
- Cornerback Keith Abney II (opt-out) is out.
Blue Devils Try to Add Bowl Win to ACC Championship Victory
Duke closed the season with three straight wins as they downed #17 Virginia in the ACC Championship Game. The Blue Devils improved to 8-5 overall on the year and finished the regular season with a 6-2 mark in ACC play. Against Virginia, Duke led most of the way, holding a 7-0 lead after one quarter, 14-7 at the half, 17-10 after three quarters and 20-10 with under five minutes to play in regulation. The Blue Devils allowed the Cavaliers to score 10 unanswered points, tying the game with 22 seconds remaining in regulation. In overtime, Duke scored a touchdown on their possession and picked off a pass on the ensuing possession to secure the win. Duke was edged 344-333 in total offense, gave up 25 first downs while picking up 18, but forced two turnovers while committing one while owning a 34:24 to 25:36 margin in time of possession in the game.
On the year, the Blue Devils are 15th in the nation in passing offense with 282.2 yards per game and 94th in rushing offense as they grind out 132.5 yards per contest on the ground. Duke is 19th in the FBS in scoring offense as they put up an average of 34 points per contest while the team is 90th in scoring defense by allowing 28.7 points per game. Darian Mensah is 305 of 449 passing for 3,646 yards with 30 touchdowns and five interceptions on the year plus a rushing score. Henry Belin IV (two of five, 22 yards, 15 rush yards) is the backup. Nate Sheppard leads the ground game with 178 carries for 962 yards plus 10 scores. Anderson Castle (110 carries, 470 yards, 11 TD) and Jaquez Moore (39 carries, 192 yards, TD) are also involved in the mix. Cooper Barkate leads the team with 68 catches for 1,069 yards and six scores on the season. Que’Sean Brown (54 catches, 668 yards, three TD), Sahmir Hagans (37 catches, 463 yards, six TD), tight end Jeremiah Hasley (34 catches, 404 yards, five TD), Andrel Anthony (26 grabs, 246 yards, five TD), Landen King (15 catches, 203 yards, four TD) and Sheppard (35 receptions, 266 yards, TD) are all over the 200-yard mark on the year. Todd Pelino is 49 of 49 on extra points and 14 of 19 on field goal attempts with a long of 49 this season. Cosme Salas hit his lone extra point attempt while not attempting a field goal on the year.
Key Injury Report for Duke:
- Safety Terry Moore (knee) is out.
- Tackle Brian Parker II (opt-out) is out.
- Cornerback Chandler Rivers (opt-out) is out.
- Defensive end Vincent Anthony Jr. (opt-out) is out.
- Cornerback Kimari Robinson (undisclosed) is questionable.
- Defensive end Bryce Davis (undisclosed) is questionable.
Arizona State vs. Duke Prediction
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tony Karpinski | +2,976.00 |
| 2 |  Joe Duffy | +2,595.00 |
| 3 |  The Insiders Room | +2,320.00 |
| 4 |  Mark Ruelle | +1,627.00 |
| 5 |  Jackie Mack | +1,451.00 |
Spread Pick for Arizona State vs. Duke
- Duke -2.5 (4 units)
Arizona State was playing well before falling to Arizona in their regular season finale. The Sun Devils enter this one minus a slew of key contributors on the offensive side of the ball. Arizona State won’t have their initial starting quarterback (Leavitt), their leading ground gainer and their top three pass catchers on the field for this contest. Duke won three straight to close the season and they have most of their key contributors back in the mix offensively here. That includes Mensah, who said he will return in 2026, giving Duke their signal caller for this contest. Duke should take advantage of a thinned-out Sun Devils squad to earn the win here.
Over/Under Pick for Arizona State vs. Duke
- Under 49.5 (4 units)
Arizona State has seen the under post an 8-4 mark in their 12 games this season. The Sun Devils recorded back-to-back overs before falling to Arizona in their finale. Missing so many of their big contributors on the offensive side of the ball means that the Sun Devils are going to have their issues moving the ball, much less putting points on the board. Duke has seen the over post a 9-4 mark in their 13 games this season. The Blue Devils are an excellent offensive squad though they have had defensive issues. Duke cracked the 30-point mark eight times during the season while allowing the opposition to score at least 30 points seven times. The Blue Devils should be able to hold Arizona State in check, which means their offense won’t need to pile up big numbers. Take the under in this contest as a result.
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