Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Utah Utes Picks and Prediction for Saturday, October 11, 2025
Use Code WWWC Two teams with matching 4-1 records meet Saturday night in a pivotal Big 12 matchup as No. 21 Arizona State (2-0 B12) visits Utah (1-1 B12) at Rice-Eccles Stadium at 10:15pmET. Both squads are riding momentum after early-season success, though each is coming off a bye week. They’ll bring contrasting styles to the field as Utah leans on one of the nation’s top rushing offenses and a stingy defense, while Arizona State counters with a balanced attack and one of the country’s better run defenses. Check out the Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Utah Utes prediction. Do you need a boost in your handicapping? Try our NCAAF Picks
Can Arizona State win the Big 12 again?
No. 21 Arizona State has started strong at 4-1, highlighted by back-to-back comeback wins over Baylor and TCU. Quarterback Sam Leavitt has thrown for 1,039 yards with eight touchdowns and three interceptions, completing 63.1% of his passes. The Sun Devils rely on a strong ground game led by Raleek Brown, who’s piled up 506 yards and two scores on 77 carries.
The defense is anchored by one of the best run-stopping units in the country, allowing just 78.2 rushing yards per game, which ranks eighth nationally and second to Texas Tech in the Big 12. ASU also leads the Big 12 with 3.8 sacks per game. The secondary has been shakier, giving up 242.8 yards through the air, but the Sun Devils make up for it with a +5 turnover margin. While the offense struggles on third down (30.4%, 128th nationally), the team’s ability to pull out close games can’t be ignored.
On the injury front, ASU is banged up like most teams at this point in the season. DL Zac Swanson, and CB Montana Warren are out with undisclosed injuries.
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Big Test for Utah
Utah is also 4-1, powered by one of the nation’s top rushing attacks at 242.6 yards per game. Running back Wayshawn Parker has led the charge with 280 yards and three touchdowns, while quarterback Devon Dampier has been efficient and steady, throwing for 1,027 yards and 11 touchdowns while completing 72.5% of his passes. They've also not won a conference game at home since joining the Big 12 last season, going 0-5.
Defensively, Utah ranks 25th nationally, allowing 300.4 total yards and 14.6 points per game. The Utes are tough against the pass, holding opponents to just 159.6 yards per game, but their red-zone defense has been a weak spot, giving up touchdowns on every trip inside the 20 this season. Utah also dominates time of possession, ranking seventh in the nation, and will look to control the tempo at home as it chases its first Big 12 home win.
On the injury front, S Rabbit Evans is out.
Arizona State Sun Devils vs Utah Utes Predictions
Side Pick for Arizona State vs. Utah
- Arizona State Sun Devils +6 (4 units)
Arizona State gets the edge as a six-point underdog. The Sun Devils have covered three straight games and shown they can handle adversity, often rallying late in tight contests. Their elite run defense should limit Utah’s biggest strength, forcing the Utes to throw more often. Arizona State’s pass rush and opportunistic secondary can take advantage.
Utah’s red-zone issues and limited experience in close Big 12 battles give ASU a chance to keep this one within a touchdown. The Sun Devils haven’t played since Sept. 26, when they edged TCU 27-24, so they should be fresh and ready for another one-possession game.
Total Prediction for Arizona State vs. Utah
- Under 48.5 (4 units)
Rain in the forecast should slow things down and make this a more methodical, low-scoring battle. Utah will look to grind out yards on the ground and control the clock, while Arizona State’s disciplined defense should limit explosive plays. Both teams rank well nationally on defense, and Utah’s red-zone struggles point to more stalled drives than touchdowns. Expect a tough, physical game centered on field position and ball control, with the final score staying under the total.
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