Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, October 14, 2025
Use Code WWWC On Tuesday, the Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-4, 1-1 Sun Belt) pay a visit to Mobile, Alabama, and Hancock Whitney Stadium for a Sun Belt Conference showdown with the South Alabama Jaguars (1-5, 0-2 Sun Belt). Arkansas State defeated Texas State 31-30 last Saturday, snapping a four-game losing streak. South Alabama lost to Troy 31-24 last Saturday and has lost five straight since opening the season with its only win. Arkansas State will play without RB Ja’Quez Cross, while eight others are questionable. South Florida has seven players listed as questionable, with three on the offense, three on the defense, and a kicker. Make sure to read this in-depth Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars prediction. Buckle up! Dive into our top NCAAF picks for the Arkansas State Red Wolves at South Alabama Jaguars prediction and dominate your wagers.
Arkansas State must play better on both sides of the ball
The Arkansas State Red Wolves score an average of 23.3 points per game, which ranks 102nd, and allow an average of 31.7 points per game, which ranks 120th, or near the bottom of the standings nationally among 136 FBS teams. Arkansas State is 108th in rushing and 60th in passing, with an average of 362.0 yards of total offense per game, which is 88th. The Arkansas State defense is 129th in rushing yards allowed, 120th in passing yards allowed, for a total of 474.3 yards per game, which is 133rd or 3rd from the bottom.
Arkansas State quarterback Jaylen Raynor has passed for 1,451 yards, with eight touchdowns and four interceptions. Raynor has been sacked 20 times. Devin Spencer has 200 yards rushing to lead the Red Wolves, but Raynor is a close second with 196 yards, and Kenyon Clay is third at 194 yards. The three have combined to score six touchdowns on the ground. Chauncy Cobb leads all receivers with 406 yards. Kicker Clune Van Andel is a perfect 17-for-17 in extra points and 7-for-9 on field goal attempts, with a long of 51. Safety AG McGhee leads the Red Wolves in tackles with 35, while three players lead in quarterback sacks with 1.5 each. Arkansas State’s defense has made 7 sacks and intercepted 4 passes.
South Alabama must improve its offense as well as its defense
The South Alabama Jaguars are 91st in scoring, averaging 25.0 points per game, and 120th in points allowed at 31.7 points per game. South Alabama's offense is 29th in rushing yards and 110th in passing yards, with an average of 380.5 yards of total offense per game. The South Alabama defense is 127th in rushing yards allowed and 21st in passing yards allowed for 371.0 yards per game, which is 73rd.
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South Alabama quarterback Bishop Davenport has 1,063 yards passing with nine touchdowns and four interceptions. Davenport has been sacked 12 times. Kentrel Bullock leads a very strong ground game for South Alabama with 496 yards and five touchdowns, while three other players have 187 yards or more rushing. South Alabama's receiving corps is led by wide receiver Devin Voisin, who has 501 yards and four touchdown receptions. Kicker Hamilton DiBoyan has made 14-of-15 extra points and 6-of-7 field goals with a long of 47 yards. Safety Christopher Wallace Jr is the leading tackler for South Alabama with 43. Lineman Tyler Thomas is the leader in quarterback sacks with two. The South Alabama defense has made seven quarterback sacks and intercepted two passes.
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. South Alabama Jaguars Pick
Spread Pick for Arkansas State vs. South Alabama
- South Alabama -6.5 (4 units)
South Alabama has covered the spread in 4 of the last 6 games against Arkansas State. The Jaguars' defense has played the best, but is performing better than Arkansas State’s. South Alabama allows 371 yards and 31.7 points per game, while Arkansas State allows 474.3 yards and 31.7 points per game. South Alabama, with its strong ground game that averages 202.5 per game, will march up and down the field repeatedly against an Arkansas State defense against the run that is allowing an average of 212.8 yards per game, which is 129th out of 136 nationally. South Alabama has struggled through six games, with just one win, but has not faced a defense that allows so many yards on the ground, and will keep the Arkansas State offense off the field enough to win and cover.
Over/Under Pick for Arkansas State vs. South Alabama
- Over 58.5 (5 units)
Both teams are allowing 31.7 points per game. The defense for Arkansas State is weak against the run, and South Alabama will make plenty of big runs and advance the chains enough to put up plenty of points on the board. Arkansas State faces a below-average defense for South Alabama and will move with relative ease up and down the field. The total has been over in four of South Alabama's last six games and in all of South Alabama's last six games played at home.
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