Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Troy Trojans Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 1, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Arkansas State Red Wolves (4-4, 3-1 Sun Belt) visit Troy, Alabama, and Veterans Memorial Stadium on Saturday for a Sun Belt Conference game with the Troy Trojans (6-2, 4-0 Sun Belt). Arkansas State defeated Georgia Southern 34-24 last Saturday. The Red Wolves have won three straight and are third in the West division of the Sun Belt, one game behind co-leaders Troy and Southern Miss. Troy defeated Louisiana 35-23 last Saturday. Troy has won five straight, and the Trojans are tied for first with Southern Miss in the West division of the Sun Belt. Arkansas State will play without RB Ja’Quez Cross, while four others are questionable. Troy has 5 players listed as questionable, including QB Goose Crowder. Make sure to read this in-depth Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Troy Trojans prediction. Your ultimate guide to NCAAF excitement—don’t miss our free picks for the Arkansas State Red Wolves at Troy Trojans prediction!
Arkansas State has a strong passing game, but its pass defense is weak
The Arkansas State Red Wolves score an average of 23.6 points per game, which ranks 99th, and allow an average of 28.5 points per game, which is 96th. Arkansas State is 83rd in rushing and 65th in passing, with an average of 377.6 yards of total offense per game, which is 73rd. The Arkansas State defense is 125th in rushing yards allowed and 94th in passing yards allowed, for a total of 434.4 yards per game, which is 121st.
Arkansas State quarterback Jaylen Raynor has passed for 1,876 yards, with 9 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Raynor has been sacked 22 times, but does have 326 yards rushing and seven TDs. Devin Spencer has 373 yards rushing to lead the Red Wolves, but Kenyon Clay is a close second with 346 yards, and Raynor is third at 326 yards. The three have combined to score 10 touchdowns on the ground. Chauncy Cobb leads all receivers with 555 yards. Kicker Clune Van Andel is a perfect 21-for-21 in extra points and 12-for-15 on field goal attempts, with a long of 51. Safety Brandon Greil leads the Red Wolves in tackles with 52, while lineman Ethan Hassler leads in quarterback sacks with 2.5. Arkansas State’s defense has made 13 sacks and intercepted 4 passes.
Troy is above average on both offense and defense
The Troy Trojans score an average of 29.1 points per game and allow an average of 24.3 points per game, which are 65th and 68th, respectively. Troy averages 133.6 yards rushing and 207.8 yards passing for 341.4 yards of total offense per game, which are 96th and 94th, respectively. Troy's defense allows an average of 175.0 yards rushing and 189.1 yards passing for 364.1 yards per game, which is 67th.
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Troy quarterback Tucker Kilcrease has thrown for 1,234 yards with nine touchdowns and three interceptions. In his last game against Louisiana, he threw for 180 yards and no TDs with a pick. Goose Crowder, who was the starting quarterback at the beginning of the season, has thrown for 374 yards with four touchdowns and three interceptions, but has not played since September 13 due to an injury. Tae Meadows leads all rushers for Troy with 498 yards on an average of 5.0 yards per carry with four touchdowns. Tray Taylor has 346 yards receiving to lead the Trojans and has caught 3 touchdown passes. Troy’s leading tackler is safety Devin Lafayette with 72. End Donnie Smith is the leader in quarterback sacks with 6.0. The Trojans have sacked the quarterback 23 times and have intercepted 7 passes.
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Troy Trojans Pick
Spread Pick for Arkansas State vs. Troy
- Troy Trojans -7 ( units)
The Troy Trojans have performed better on both offense and defense than the Arkansas State Red Wolves. Troy is 65th in scoring and 68th in points allowed, at 29.1 points and 24.3 points, respectively. Arkansas State is 99th in scoring and 96th in points allowed at 23.6 points and 28.5 points, respectively. Troy is averaging 133.6 yards per game rushing and faces an Arkansas State defense that is allowing an average of 197.5 yards per game on the ground, which is 125th out of 136. Arkansas State's strength is its passing game at 235.4 yards per game, but it faces a Troy defense that allows just 189.1 yards passing per game, which is 30th in the nation. Arkansas State has covered the spread in just one of its last six games versus Troy. Troy has won each of its last six games straight up and against the spread.
Over/Under Pick for Arkansas State vs. Troy
- Over 53.5 ( units)
The total has finished over in four of Troy's last five games, in five of Troy's last six games played at home, and in all of Troy's last six games played against an opponent from the Sun Belt conference. Troy is 65th in the nation in scoring, averaging 29.1 points per game, and Arkansas State is 99th, averaging 23.6 points per game, and the Red Wolves are allowing an average of 28.5 points per game, which is 96th.
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