Auburn Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 6, 2025
Use Code WWWC It’s a battle of SEC foes from the Volunteer State on the gridiron as the Auburn Tigers are on the road to battle the #16 Vanderbilt Commodores Saturday afternoon, and we have you covered with our Auburn vs. Vanderbilt prediction. Auburn was downed 10-3 by Kentucky in their previous contest last Saturday, covering the line as an 11.5-point underdog. Vanderbilt was downed 34-31 by #20 Texas on the road in their previous game last Saturday, pushing the line as a three-point underdog. In the all-time series between the teams, both teams have 22 wins on the ledger with one tie, though Vanderbilt picked up a 17-7 road win in the most recent matchup on November 2, 2024. Read more about this Auburn vs. Vanderbilt prediction! Don’t get penalized! Increase your bankroll with our NCAAF Betting Picks!
Auburn Hoping to Get Back in Win Column
Auburn suffered their fifth loss in six games after opening the season 3-0 as they were dropped by Kentucky at home. The Tigers fell to 4-5 overall and stand 1-5 in the SEC on the season entering this contest. After the game, Auburn fired Hugh Freeze, who was 15-19 as head coach. Against Kentucky, Auburn struggled to move the ball and that ended up sending them to defeat. The Tigers held a slim 241-240 advantage in total offense, picked up 17 first downs while allowing 16 and lost time of possession by a 31:46 to 28:14 margin. Both teams turned the ball over twice in the game, and Auburn surrendered seven sacks in the contest.
The Tigers enter this game 120th in the FBS in passing offense with an average of 164.8 yards per game on the season. Auburn is 56th in the country with an average of 164.8 yards a night when it comes to moving the ball on the ground. The Tigers are 104th in the nation in scoring offense with an average of 22.3 points a game. Auburn is above average defensively as they stand 18th in scoring defense by allowing 17.7 points a contest. Jackson Arnold is 133 of 210 passing for 1,267 yards with six touchdowns against two interceptions while ranking second on the team with 258 rushing yards and seven scores. Ashton Daniels (19 of 38, 185 yards, INT, 83 rush yards) and Deuce Knight (two of five, 20 yards, 16 rush yards) are next up on the depth chart. Jeremiah Cobb is the lead back in the ground game with 137 carries for 789 yards and four scores this season. Damari Alston (32 carries, 128 yards, TD) and Omar Mabson II (15 carries, 67 yards, TD) have been effective on the ground as well. Eric Singleton Jr. leads the team with 40 catches for 379 yards and two scores this season. Cam Coleman (37 grabs, 474 yards, three TD), Perry Thompson (12 receptions, 115 yards), Horatio Fields (12 catches, 106 yards) and Malcolm Simmons (15 receptions, 119 yards) have all exceeded the 100-yard mark in receiving yards this season. Alex McPherson is 22 of 22 on extra point attempts and 13 of 16 on field goal attempts with a long of 47 this season.
Durkin announced that Daniels will get the start at quarterback for this contest.
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Commodores Seeking to Bounce Back From Near Miss
Vanderbilt had their two-game win streak snapped as they fell on the road to #20 Texas in their previous contest. The Commodores dropped to 7-2 overall and stand 3-2 in the SEC on the season. Against Texas, Vanderbilt trailed 17-0 after the opening quarter and was playing from behind the rest of the way. The Commodores were down 24-10 at the half and 34-10 after three quarters before staging a rally. Vanderbilt outscored Texas 21-0 to get within three with 33 seconds remaining but saw the ensuing onside kick go out of bounds, ending their chance to rally. The Commodores were outgained 428-423 in total offense, picked up 25 first downs while allowing 23, owned a 30:59 to 29:01 edge in time of possession and committed the game’s lone turnover.
The Commodores enter this contest 55th in the FBS in passing offense with an average of 245.2 yards per game through the air. Vanderbilt is 33rd in rushing offense as they average 187.2 yards per contest on the ground as a team. The Commodores are 13th in the FBS in scoring offense with an average of 37.6 points per game, while they are 31st in scoring defense as they allow an average of 20.4 points per contest. Diego Pavia is 166 of 240 passing for 2,063 yards with 18 touchdowns against five interceptions. He leads the team with 501 yards and six scores on the ground. Blaze Berlowitz (five of 12, 76 yards, TD, 73 rush yards, TD), Whit Muschamp (two of three, 40 yards, eight rush yards) and Drew Dickey (one of two, 28 yards, 13 rush yards, TD) have also seen action. Sedrick Alexander (78 carries, 399 yards, six TD), Makhilyn Young (35 carries, 389 yards, five TD) and Jamezell Lassiter (eight carries, 144 yards, two TD) are also effective in the ground game. In the passing game, Eli Stowers leads the team with 38 receptions for 543 yards and four scores. Tre Richardson (26 catches, 325 yards, TD), Junior Sherrill (31 grabs, 395 yards, five TD), tight end Cole Spence (nine catches, 150 yards, TD) and Richie Hoskins (21 receptions, 243 yards, two TD) are each over the 150-yard mark in receiving yards this season. Brock Taylor is 39 of 40 on extra points and eight of nine on field goal attempts with a long of 51 this year. Justin Dewers is one of one on extra point attempts while Mason Rohmiller is two of two. Neither has attempted a field goal.
Auburn vs. Vanderbilt Prediction
Spread Pick for Auburn vs. Vanderbilt
- Vanderbilt -6.5 (4 units)
Vanderbilt struggled on the road against Texas for three quarters and their furious fourth-quarter rally fell just short. Now, the Commodores return home for this contest and they are a perfect 5-0 as the home team this season. That includes wins over LSU and Missouri in the past few weeks. Auburn has struggled this season and has five losses in their last six games. It’s tough to adjust to a mid-season coaching change, and Durkin didn’t have a great track record at Maryland, posting an 11-15 mark before being fired. With Daniels making his second start of the year at quarterback, Auburn struggles and Pavia leads the Commodores to a victory here.
Over/Under Pick for Auburn vs. Vanderbilt
- Under 46 (4 units)
Auburn enters this game having seen the under hit in seven of their nine games this season. The Tigers went over the total in both their wins, coming over Baylor and Arkansas. On the road this season, Auburn has seen split their four road games in relation to the total. We’ve seen the Tigers have scored 17 points or less in five of their eight games this season. Vanderbilt has gone over the total in five of their nine games on the year, scoring at least 31 points in seven of their contests. The Commodores likely hit that number again here but you can’t expect much more than 10 points from Auburn. Take the under in this contest as a result.
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