Ball State vs. UConn, Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 20, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Ball State Cardinals (1-2) pay a visit to East Hartford, Connecticut, and Pratt & Whitney Stadium on Saturday to play the UConn Huskies (1-2). Ball State opened the season with two consecutive losses before winning its most recent game 34-29 over New Hampshire last Saturday. Ball State lost to Purdue (31-0) and Auburn (42-3). UConn opened the season with a 59-13 win over Central Connecticut, but has since lost to Syracuse (27-20), and last Saturday fell to Delaware (44-41). Ball State has 13 players listed as questionable for Saturday. UConn will play without RB Mel Brown, while two others are listed as questionable. Make sure to read this in-depth Ball State Cardinals vs UConn Huskies prediction. Exciting vibes? Get ready with our free NCAAF picks for Ball State Cardinals at UConn Huskies prediction and stay ahead of the game.
Ball State needs help on both sides of the line of scrimmage
The Ball State Cardinals are one of the worst in the nation in scoring, averaging 12.3 points per game, which is 130th, while the defense allows an average of 34.0 points per game, which is 118th. Ball State averages 140.3 yards rushing and 87.7 yards passing for 228 yards of total offense per game, which is 136th or last in the FBS. The defense allows an average of 149.7 yards rushing and 290.0 yards passing, for 439.7 yards per game, which is 122nd.
Ball State quarterback Kiael Kelly has passed for 263 yards with two touchdowns and one interception. Kelly has been sacked 11 times. The leading rusher is Qua Ashley with 209 yards and a pair of touchdowns, while Kelly has rushed for 143 yards and one touchdown. Eric Weatherly leads all receivers with seven catches for 60 yards. The leading tackler for Ball State is linebacker Alfred Chea with 13. Ball State's defense has made 10 quarterback sacks but has not yet intercepted a pass.
UConn is performing well on offense, but needs to tighten its defense
The UConn Huskies are scoring an average of 40.0 points per game, which is 33rd, while allowing 28.0 points per game, which is 101st. The Huskies average 189.0 yards rushing and 336 yards passing for 525 yards of total offense per game, which is 14th. The UConn defense allows an average of 139.7 yards passing and 270.3 yards rushing for a total of 410.0 yards per game, which is 103rd.
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UConn quarterback Joe Magnano has thrown for 865 yards with five touchdowns. Fagnano has been sacked three times. Cam Edwards leads all rushers with 306 yards and three touchdowns. Mel Brown, who is second in rushing with 159 yards, is out with a broken collarbone. Skyler Bell has 22 receptions for 332 yards and a pair of touchdowns to lead all receivers for the Huskies. Linebacker Bryun Parham leads UConn in tackles with 24. The Huskies’ defense has made 9.0 quarterback sacks and intercepted one pass.
Ball State vs. UConn Cardinals Pick
Spread Pick for Ball State Cardinals vs. UConn Huskies
- UConn Huskies -21 (4 units)
The UConn Huskies are performing much better on both sides of the line scrimmage for the Ball State Cardinals to keep pace on Saturday. UConn is 33rd in scoring at 40.0 points per game and 14th in total offense, averaging 525.0 yards per game, which both play to the weakness of Ball State, as the Cardinals are 118th in points allowed at 34 per game and 122nd in total yards allowed per game at 439.7. Ball State is also very weak on offense, as the Cardinals average 12.3 points per game with a total offense of 228 yards per game, which is last in the nation. Ball State has committed three turnovers and has yet to have a takeaway, while UConn has not yet committed a turnover and has one takeaway.
Over/Under Pick for Ball State vs. UConn
- Over 52.5 (4 units)
Two of UConn’s first three games this season have finished over. As mentioned previously, Ball State allows an average of 34.0 points per game. UConn is scoring an average of 40 points per game and is allowing an average of 28 points per game. UConn will use its strong passing attack that averages 336 yards per game against a weak Ball State passing defense that allows an average of 290 yards per game, which is 128th in the nation. This will produce more points in less time, creating more scoring opportunities for both.
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