Ball State vs. Western Michigan, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, October 11, 2025
Use Code WWWC Ball State (2-3, 1-0 MAC) will be going for their second consecutive win when they visit Waldo Stadium on Saturday afternoon to face Western Michigan (3-3, 2-0 MAC) at 3:30 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Cardinals vs. Broncos prediction. Do you need a boost in your handicapping? Try our NCAAF FREE Picks.
The Cardinals are coming off a 20-14 win over Ohio as 14-point underdogs. The Broncos are coming off a 21-3 win over UMass as 12-point favorites.
Western Michigan is 7-3 in its last 10 games against Ball State. The Broncos won last season’s meeting, 45-42.
Ball State Trying To Snap Three-Game Road Losing Streak
The Cardinals bounced back from their loss to UConn with a win over Ohio in their last game. They have lost three straight road games and will try to put an end to the streak with a win on Saturday.
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Ball State averages 19.6 points per game, which is 117th in the country. They throw for 135.2 yards and rush for 153.8 yards per game.
Kiael Kelly has completed 51 percent of his passes for 657 yards, four touchdowns, and two interceptions. He also has 266 rushing yards and two touchdowns. Qua Ashley leads the team with 64 carries for 316 yards and three touchdowns, while Qian Magwood leads the team with eight catches for 174 yards and one touchdown.
Ball State is giving up 29.4 points per game, which is 104th in the country. They are giving up 245 passing yards and 177.8 rushing yards per game.
Western Michigan Going For Fourth Consecutive Win
The Broncos followed up their three-game losing streak to start the season with three straight wins. In their last game, they beat new MAC member UMass on the road, after beating FCS Rhode Island by 33 and Toledo by one.
Western Michigan averages 20.7 points per game, which is 113th in the nation. They throw for 147.7 yards and rush for 146.8 yards per game.
Broc Lowry has completed 61 percent of his passes for 751 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception. He also leads the team with 70 carries for 319 yards and six touchdowns, while Talique Williams leads the team with 15 catches for 229 yards.
Western Michigan is giving up 20.7 points per game, which is 45th in the country. They are giving up 173.4 passing yards and 154.6 rushing yards per game.
Ball State vs. Western Michigan Picks
Point Spread Pick for Ball State vs. Western Michigan
- Western Michigan Broncos -10 (4 Units)
The Broncos have won three straight games, while the Cardinals have lost three of their last five games. Western Michigan has the edge here because they have a good ground game and will be able to move the ball effectively against the Cardinals, who give up more than 175 yards per game on the ground. They will also be able to throw the ball against Ball State’s struggling secondary, so expect the Cardinals to have a hard time slowing them down.
Scoring won’t be as successful offensively because they’re not very good offensively. They run the ball well, but their passing game isn’t very good. They are facing a team that has a great pass defense and also defends the run well, so expect them to struggle offensively in this game. Go with Western Michigan to cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for Ball State vs. Western Michigan
- Over 42.5 (4 Units)
The Cardinals plate dover the total in two of their last three games. Ball State averages 19.6 points per game. They run the ball 59 percent of the time with the 101st-ranked ground game in the country, and they’re facing a team that is 67th against the run and is giving up 20.7 points per game. The Broncos average 20.7 points per game. They run the ball 58 percent of the time with the 84th-best ground game in the country. They are facing a team that is 102nd against the run and is giving up 29.4 points per game. Expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total. The Broncos and Cardinals played over the total in nine of their last 10 meetings.
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